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misterearl
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If you had to choose who would you rather have on this team?
David Lee
Zach Randolph
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babyKnicks
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7/1/2007  9:26 PM
Posted by Rich:

Ensure me that Randolph is going to get in the best shape of his life, that he is going to expend as much effort on the defensive end as he does on the offensive end, that he is going to have no problem settling for less shots if that is what Isiah asks, that he is going to tell the bad influences in his life that he will see them after he retires, that the reason that he had microfracture surgery will never resurface.

Then maybe I will change my mind.

Oh Baby...imagine he and curry come into camp in shape?

Let's go Knicks. That's amare
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misterearl
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7/1/2007  10:31 PM
BlueSeats - do you think David Lee should be testing his leg in Summer League?

or should he wait until training camp?
once a knick always a knick
misterearl
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7/1/2007  10:44 PM
technomaster - if sixth man was good enough for John freakin' Havlicek...

(and I loved David Lee from the moment he made that "dribble, step and pull the jersey over the head dunk from the baseline" in high school)
once a knick always a knick
BlueSeats
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7/1/2007  10:46 PM
Posted by misterearl:

BlueSeats - do you think David Lee should be testing his leg in Summer League?

or should he wait until training camp?


I'll be doing an exploratory operation on his leg tomorrow, I'll let you know after I've opened him up and had a look...

From the sounds of it he's not ready, and with Randolph here effectively eliminating competition for the starting job Lee should take his time. Last we'd heard there was confusion among doctors about the extent of his condition; hopefully by now there is more clarity in the matter and the proper course of rehab is in effect. But I have little confidence of that.

Do you think Eddy should play in summer league?
misterearl
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7/1/2007  10:52 PM
BlueSeats... I mean Ben Casey... I mean... Doogie Howser MD...

I agree with you on DLee... he has nothing to prove and Isiah will probably bring in a few more ringers to flesh out the roster.

Imagine if a cat we've never heard of can play. Goshdarnit, where is Avis Wyatt?

one more thing

I think Eddy should hook up with Billy Blanks and Tae-Bo until he drops
once a knick always a knick
PresIke
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7/1/2007  11:40 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:

Randolph is a slightly better shooter than Lee both his (Zach's) % is still too low from the outside for it to be a serious threat. Teams will double Eddy every time and practically beg Zach to take jump shots, knowing that he hits only 41% of them.

You really don't stop with misrepresenting facts that contradict your beliefs do you? Is hard evidence not sufficient to change your mind? Not only did you completely disappear from this thread:

http://ultimateknicks.com/forum/topic.asp?t=22253&page=2

when I presented evidence demonstrating why your statement about Randolph's jump shooting FGe% is probably wrong, but now you continue to post the same misinformation in an entirely separate thread. I'm flabbergasted, seriously. Then to add to it all you then say Randolph is a "slightly better shooter than Lee." Ok, so I haven't tested the significance of the disparity between David Lee's jump shot FGe% (not the same as FG, as I stated repeatedly in the above linked thread) and Randolph's, but just at face value, and with a basic overview of the jump shooting FG efficiency percentage of most PF's in the NBA who are good shooters (which I listed in the other thread), we can see that Randolph is probably more than "slightly better," than Lee at shooting. Your statement, is again lacking factual basis but apparently comes from your own subjective take on how to analyze or read statistics, which seems to involve ignoring evidence you don't like (notice a theme?). A very minor example is also your repeated posting of Zach's outside shooting FGe% as 41% when .417 rounds up to 42%, or so said my 5th grade math teacher.

What you don't seem to get is that guards tend to shoot better percentages on jump shooting than PF's. There's a great classic book called 'How to Lie With Statistics' and I might argue that you keep using the seemingly low jump shooting % of 42 because you compare it to good 3 point shooters who shoot around the same number. Then one might say, "Hey a 3 pointer is a lower percentage shot, so if a PF shoots around that number, and doesn't take 3 pointers he must suck at shooting." However, are you considering other factors that may make that number seem lower than it might actually be?

One thing is that some players are better at shooting 3's than mid-range jumpers. Why might this be? Sure it could be because they only practice 3's, but maybe it's also because as you get closer to the basket (I'd guess based on observation, but would be interesting to test) that the likelihood of being closely guarded increases. So guards who shoot 3's seem to take a lot of those shots (another thing interesting to test) while standing and waiting for the ball to be swung to them for an open look, or take them uncontested altogether. A guy like Randolph and other strong shooting post up PF's are probably taking many of their outside shots while being guarded, or maybe even double teamed. This would certainly decrease their outside shooting FGe%, no? So, maybe that number is actually pretty high for a PF, which the numbers I've already posted appear to show.

Now, here's some more numbers that I might think contradict your subjective comment that "Randolph is a slightly better shooter than Lee" disregarding him as a serious threat.

Jump shooting FG efficiency %:

David Lee - .289 using 29% of his shots
Zach Randolph - .417 using 59% of his shots

So, first we can see that 42% seems at face value to be more than "slightly better" than 29% when it comes to outside shooting. As I stated, the statistical significance has not been tested, but comparing guys who shoot 52% to a player who shoots 39% seems pretty drastic, based on more typical overall FG%'s we see in the NBA. Secondly, Randolph takes a far greater number of his shots from the outside, which usually means your FG% is going to decrease, because jump shooting is a lower % shot than inside play by nature. So, by taking as many shots as he does from the outside, and being defended 42% could be considered good, as is presented in the statistical evidence I've repeatedly referred to and posted multiple times. However, visual evidence also seems to demonstrate Randolph's shooting ability to be FAR superior to Lee's (who I love) and has been repeated by multiple experts who watch the NBA. I mean have you even seen Randolph play? I wonder, to be honest.
Forum Po Po and #33 for a reason...
PresIke
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7/1/2007  11:41 PM
Posted by misterearl:

and you would prefer that Lee takes that outside shot over Randolph?

I'm jus' axin.

which rebounder do you prefer?

I'm cool with citing statistical analysis... let's talk matchups, from the emotional or reputation perspective of a team in the locker room discussing strategy in their pre-game meetings....

...which Knicks player presents more of a matchup challenge to their power forward:

Lee or Randolph?



[Edited by - misterearl on 06-30-2007 09:01 AM]

Earl, he's not even presenting the statistical evidence fairly. It's a complete distortion of reality.
Forum Po Po and #33 for a reason...
BasketballJones
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7/2/2007  12:33 AM
The problem is you guys don't take yourselves seriously enough.
https:// It's not so hard.
Michael6835
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7/2/2007  8:27 AM
Anyone looking at the two objectively can clearly tell Randolph is the better offensive player. Lee is better on defense and better suited to finish on a fast break. Almost all of Lee's field goals come on put backs or dunks off of a pick and roll. Go back and watch the video someone posted on a welcome to NY for Zach thread. Tell me honestly if Lee can do those things, Lee is good at what he does. He is not an offensive option.
M
Bonn1997
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7/2/2007  8:39 AM
Posted by PresIke:
Posted by Bonn1997:

Randolph is a slightly better shooter than Lee both his (Zach's) % is still too low from the outside for it to be a serious threat. Teams will double Eddy every time and practically beg Zach to take jump shots, knowing that he hits only 41% of them.

You really don't stop with misrepresenting facts that contradict your beliefs do you? Is hard evidence not sufficient to change your mind? Not only did you completely disappear from this thread:

http://ultimateknicks.com/forum/topic.asp?t=22253&page=2

when I presented evidence demonstrating why your statement about Randolph's jump shooting FGe% is probably wrong, but now you continue to post the same misinformation in an entirely separate thread. I'm flabbergasted, seriously. Then to add to it all you then say Randolph is a "slightly better shooter than Lee." Ok, so I haven't tested the significance of the disparity between David Lee's jump shot FGe% (not the same as FG, as I stated repeatedly in the above linked thread) and Randolph's, but just at face value, and with a basic overview of the jump shooting FG efficiency percentage of most PF's in the NBA who are good shooters (which I listed in the other thread), we can see that Randolph is probably more than "slightly better," than Lee at shooting. Your statement, is again lacking factual basis but apparently comes from your own subjective take on how to analyze or read statistics, which seems to involve ignoring evidence you don't like (notice a theme?). A very minor example is also your repeated posting of Zach's outside shooting FGe% as 41% when .417 rounds up to 42%, or so said my 5th grade math teacher.

What you don't seem to get is that guards tend to shoot better percentages on jump shooting than PF's. There's a great classic book called 'How to Lie With Statistics' and I might argue that you keep using the seemingly low jump shooting % of 42 because you compare it to good 3 point shooters who shoot around the same number. Then one might say, "Hey a 3 pointer is a lower percentage shot, so if a PF shoots around that number, and doesn't take 3 pointers he must suck at shooting." However, are you considering other factors that may make that number seem lower than it might actually be?

One thing is that some players are better at shooting 3's than mid-range jumpers. Why might this be? Sure it could be because they only practice 3's, but maybe it's also because as you get closer to the basket (I'd guess based on observation, but would be interesting to test) that the likelihood of being closely guarded increases. So guards who shoot 3's seem to take a lot of those shots (another thing interesting to test) while standing and waiting for the ball to be swung to them for an open look, or take them uncontested altogether. A guy like Randolph and other strong shooting post up PF's are probably taking many of their outside shots while being guarded, or maybe even double teamed. This would certainly decrease their outside shooting FGe%, no? So, maybe that number is actually pretty high for a PF, which the numbers I've already posted appear to show.

Now, here's some more numbers that I might think contradict your subjective comment that "Randolph is a slightly better shooter than Lee" disregarding him as a serious threat.

Jump shooting FG efficiency %:

David Lee - .289 using 29% of his shots
Zach Randolph - .417 using 59% of his shots

So, first we can see that 42% seems at face value to be more than "slightly better" than 29% when it comes to outside shooting. As I stated, the statistical significance has not been tested, but comparing guys who shoot 52% to a player who shoots 39% seems pretty drastic, based on more typical overall FG%'s we see in the NBA. Secondly, Randolph takes a far greater number of his shots from the outside, which usually means your FG% is going to decrease, because jump shooting is a lower % shot than inside play by nature. So, by taking as many shots as he does from the outside, and being defended 42% could be considered good, as is presented in the statistical evidence I've repeatedly referred to and posted multiple times. However, visual evidence also seems to demonstrate Randolph's shooting ability to be FAR superior to Lee's (who I love) and has been repeated by multiple experts who watch the NBA. I mean have you even seen Randolph play? I wonder, to be honest.
I'll go through each point:
a) Sorry I didn't round correctly.
b) You're right that the difference between Lee and Zach's shooting is more than "slight"; I didn't actually look up Lee's % before replying. I'd add that the difference between their rebounding, hustle, and attitude problems is more than slight too (all favoring Lee).
c) You keep comparing Zach's 41.7% to other PFs. I think one can go too far in comparing shooting percentages only to other players at the same position. I know it's more valuable if you can pull the other team's PF out of the paint than another team's SG or PG, but the perimeter FG still counts for the same 2 points regardless of the position the player plays. You're actually also taking Zach out of the picture for the offensive rebound when he shoots from the perimeter and our only big man under the basket is a very poor rebounder in Curry.

If these guys had histories of winning and making their teammates better, I'd be more optimistic, but I really hope this works out with Zach and Eddy. We've suffered through four seasons of Isiah and about eight or nine through Dolan.
VDesai
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7/2/2007  8:58 AM
From Knickerblogger.net:
However, Randolph is more of a perimeter player. Last season he attempted a full 59% of his FGAs on jumpers and dropped them in at a .417 clip, which is actually pretty good efficiency on a jump shot for a big guy. (By way of comparison, in Frye’s rookie season he attempted 64% of his FGAs on jumpers and shot an identical .417 clip. The similarity here is actually pretty eerie.) A relatively paltry 41% of Randolph’s FGAs came in the paint, and his eFG% on those inside attempts was .551– good, but not Eddy Curry good.

If Randolph can shoot jumpers the way that Frye did his rookie year, that's pretty good.
misterearl
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7/2/2007  9:22 AM
Bonn - I don't consider Zach Randolph an attitude problem on the court.

Whether New York provides a fresh start, or an environment wher he bond
b) I'd add ths with his teammates, remains to be seen,

Zach will also hit the boards.

But what amazes me is how z-Bo is typecast among such knowledgeable fans as a plodder. Zach is listed at a svelte 215 pounds which would make him a skinny contrast to the much heavier 250 pound Lee.

but what do I know?



once a knick always a knick
franco12
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7/2/2007  9:25 AM
I'll take Lee over Zach- because Lee makes things happen- he's an intangible player.

And if I had to bet on which one could develop a strong 3pt shot, I would pick Lee because in one season he improved his FT% fro m 577 to 817.

And how did he do that?

Effort and not being satisfied. Attitude. Big difference, I think, between Lee who spends his off season improving his game and Zach who spends his free time hanging out with his pals- what is his group of 'friends' called?- paying prostitutes to perform sex acts in front of him.

End of story.

Give me 5 guys like Lee who will bust their butt trying to win over 5 guys like Zach, who are more talented, but have a questionable desire to win.
VDesai
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7/2/2007  9:26 AM
Posted by misterearl:

Bonn - I don't consider Zach Randolph an attitude problem on the court.

Whether New York provides a fresh start, or an environment wher he bond
b) I'd add ths with his teammates, remains to be seen,

Zach will also hit the boards.

But what amazes me is how z-Bo is typecast among such knowledgeable fans as a plodder. Zach is listed at a svelte 215 pounds which would make him a skinny contrast to the much heavier 250 pound Lee.

but what do I know?

Where the heck are you getting 215 pounds from? You don't watch much basketball do you? Zach Randolph is around 260 on his best day.

misterearl
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7/2/2007  9:27 AM
VDesai - the Knicks website

you could look it up
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misterearl
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7/2/2007  9:30 AM
just for the record, I've probably watched more hoop than you may think

Zach is listed at 215 in several places.. including the official NBA site.

Who you gonna believe, me or your lyin' eyes?
once a knick always a knick
VDesai
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7/2/2007  9:30 AM
http://
Posted by misterearl:

VDesai - the Knicks website

you could look it up

Or you could watch basketball and notice its an OBVIOUS typographical error.

Or look here:
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/3531
Or here:
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/profile?statsId=3531
Or here:
http://www.nba.com/draft2001/playerfiles/zach_randolph.html?nav=ArticleList


misterearl
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7/2/2007  9:32 AM
VDesai - so sue me
once a knick always a knick
arkrud
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7/2/2007  9:35 AM
Posted by VDesai:
Posted by misterearl:

Bonn - I don't consider Zach Randolph an attitude problem on the court.

Whether New York provides a fresh start, or an environment wher he bond
b) I'd add ths with his teammates, remains to be seen,

Zach will also hit the boards.

But what amazes me is how z-Bo is typecast among such knowledgeable fans as a plodder. Zach is listed at a svelte 215 pounds which would make him a skinny contrast to the much heavier 250 pound Lee.

but what do I know?

Where the heck are you getting 215 pounds from? You don't watch much basketball do you? Zach Randolph is around 260 on his best day.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zach_Randolph
Position Power forward
Nickname Z-Bo
Height 6 ft 9 in (2.06 m)
Weight 251 lb (114 kg)
Team New York Knicks
Nationality United States
Born July 16, 1981 (1981-07-16) (age 25)
Marion, Indiana
College Michigan State
Draft 19th overall, 2001
Portland Trail Blazers
Pro career 2001–present
Former teams Portland Trail Blazers 2001-07

"There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are dreamt of in your philosophy." Hamlet
BlueSeats
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7/2/2007  9:35 AM
Posted by VDesai:

From Knickerblogger.net:
However, Randolph is more of a perimeter player. Last season he attempted a full 59% of his FGAs on jumpers and dropped them in at a .417 clip, which is actually pretty good efficiency on a jump shot for a big guy. (By way of comparison, in Frye’s rookie season he attempted 64% of his FGAs on jumpers and shot an identical .417 clip. The similarity here is actually pretty eerie.) A relatively paltry 41% of Randolph’s FGAs came in the paint, and his eFG% on those inside attempts was .551– good, but not Eddy Curry good.

If Randolph can shoot jumpers the way that Frye did his rookie year, that's pretty good.


Yes and no. Let's remember that Frye's first season was mixed, he started out well but ended poorly. Remember people were blaming brown for killing his confidence. So that .417 includes his middling latter results as well. All told we were hoping for a betterment from Frye in his second season. If all we get from Zach is what we got from Frye's rookie season it's a waste of money as I think with better utilization we could have gotten that from Frye again, if not better. Poor utilization of Zach, so as to fit with Curry, could undermine his value as well.

My fear is that Eddy's inflexibility requires that all PFs adapt to him. That's fine when he outclasses the PF, as was the case with Frye, but Zach may be than Curry and I'm less sure he should be the one compromising his game. I know a lot of people have full confidence in Isiah's ability to get in player's heads to get the best of them and make things work, but that's not what we saw in the case of Frye, so I don't make the same automatic assumptions.

Sorry, I know you were simply implying he's a good shooter. I think he is too, but from 15 feet in. Isiah was talking about extending Eddy that far out by developing his jumper. Maybe that plan is shelved now, but Zach at 18 feet and beyond, where Isiah stuck frye, will no longer be Zach.

[Edited by - blueseats on 07-02-2007 09:40 AM]
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