Posted by BRIGGS:
4 years, if I really felt four years, I would never say take him 8th. That is way to long for a franchise to wait on anyone. What I am saying is similar to Biendrins year 1, 10-12 minutes 4 points 4 rebounds 1 blocks 60% shooting, year 2 12 points 8 rebounds 2 blocks in 25 minutes off the bench year 3 18-20 points 10-11 rebounds -3 blocks at 34 minutes----> franchise starter numbers in 3 years, not sitting with splinters in his arse. I would not be surprised for him to be an impact type player at his rate of development off the bech 2nd half of year 1, with a clear posibility to start year 2.
either that or i hope he comes to uconn, but the only place you will see him is at Uconn and a top 3 pick in 2 years, probabaly number 1.
Andrew Bogut went from potential 2nd round pick, to number 1 pick in the draft in 2 years.
I'm not saying he wouldn't be the number one pick in two years (though if there's a 20yr old age limit, it would be three years because he has a late birthday). I fully agree he'd be a top three pick if he went to Uconn. I don't think he'd be picked over Oden - the real next Shaq.
I really do think it will take 4 years though. Why? It takes most big men whole play in the post longer to develop if they don't learn the basics at college - look at Jermaine O'neal. Bynum didn't get a full senior year at high school, that had to set back his skills development. He doesn't seem to be fully physically developed either, he's not the man-child that Moses Malone and Amare were, he seems to be growing into his body, as well as dealing with weight issues.
Also, we're talknig about the Knicks here which means either he'll be brought along way too slowly, or thrown into the fire way too early. I just think that his development would be very tough and would take that extra year to get him to starter territory.