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Insider - 4/25
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martin
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4/25/2002  9:25 AM
THE GREAT "MOVING" WALL OF CHINA

Yao is expected to be the next great thing. At 7-foot-5, most league executives who talk about him haven't spoken so glowingly about a big man since Tim Duncan made his way to the league in 1997. Almost everyone believes he'll be the first or second player taken in the draft . . . but that is always subject to change.

Yao's team, the Shanghai Sharks, has given its blessing for Yao to come to America next season. The folks in Beijing, however, threw up significant roadblocks for Yao Wednesday.

The Shanghai Star reported today that the Sharks are seeking heavy compensation for Yao in return for his release. NBA teams are only eligible to pay $350,000 toward a buyout. The report also said that Yao will not hire a U.S. agent.

The New York Times goes even further, describing the financial restrictions China will put on Yao. Yao will be forced to turn over 50 percent of his pre-tax income derived from playing basketball and endorsements to the government. That's not all. Yao will be forced to share the other 50 percent with his coaches and teammates on the Sharks.

"Chinese athletes are different from those in the U.S.," Shanghai Sharks deputy general manager Li Yaomin told the Times. "American athletes are free."

That won't scare away NBA teams -- they could care less what he does with his money. But the NBA Players' Association is already saber rattling.

"What makes the Chinese government any different than an agent, who is only entitled to 4 percent?" executive director Billy Hunter told the Times. "If they are saying he's going to come on the condition that he sends half his money back, well, we would not recognize any written agreement to that effect. That does not work with the rules of the collective bargaining agreement."

What will scare away teams is the other restriction that China will put on Yao. Under China's new rules, obviously enacted with Yao in mind, he may not leave the country until any potential contract is approved by the Sharks, the local sports bureau, the registered Chinese agent AND the China Basketball Association.

If they don't like the team that drafted Yao, or if the NBA tries to do anything to help Yao keep some of his money, they can keep him in China.

That's downright scary for some. GM's were already a bit skiddish about Yao before all of this went down. Teams just can't afford to use a top 3 pick in the draft if China will make it difficult for him to actually play in the NBA.
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martin
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4/25/2002  9:25 AM
IF YOU DRAFT THEM, WILL THEY COME?


Such are the difficulties when drafting foreign players. Last year, the Jazz drafted point guard Raul Lopez of Real Madrid, but haven't figured out a way to get the team to waive Lopez's $5 million buyout. He's got a whopping four years left on his contract.

Fears about Jake Tsakalidis' contract situation in Greece caused his stock to slip from the lottery all the way down to the 25th pick in the 2000 draft. Tsakalidis still might be playing in Greece if Suns GM Bryan Colangelo didn't have some great contacts overseas.

Even Gasol's status was tricky. He had to turn over most of his first year's earnings to Real Madrid just to get permission to play in the U.S. Even after the Grizzlies drafted him, he almost didn't come to the NBA this season.

"I was really afraid of coming here because of what happened with Sept. 11," Gasol told the Commercial Appeal, referring to the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington last year. "I almost didn't come. It's true. I was scared. My friends were scared. My family was scared. They didn't want me to get killed."

Many young foreign players are at the whim of their clubs. They are locked into huge, long-term contracts with substantial buyout clauses. Given that teams are limited in what they can do to get a player released, and given that many European players prefer to play in Europe, where they are treated like Gods, scouting these kids is the least of the NBA's worries.

No wonder David Stern dreams of setting up some NBA franchises overseas.

Still, as long as there is talent, the NBA will continue drafting these kids. All of the contract problems do have one positive aspect -- they allow teams to draft kids and let them develop in Europe while keeping them off the cap. More and more teams, especially those drafting late in the first round, are willing to follow the Jazz's lead and draft young players only to keep them in Europe for a few seasons while they develop. Call it the Kirilenko pay-off.
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martin
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4/25/2002  9:26 AM
SCOUTING THE TOP FOREIGN PROSPECTS


While there are no Gasols in this year's draft -- even Yao is considered a two-to three-year project -- there is a plethora of talent.

The top European prospect is Nikoloz Tskitishvili, who plays for Benetton Treviso in Italy. Tskitishvili is a two guard in a 7-foot frame. Think Nowitzki with a cross-over. According to NBA scouts, Tskitishvili is the most athletic big man they've ever scouted in Europe. He's got a terrific first step, loves to take the ball the basket, has a lethal outside jumper and great handles. He's also extremely raw.

At 19, he barely gets playing time on his European club. He's very thin and doesn't have the low-post game that Nowitzki or Gasol does. Tskitishvili's agent, Marc Fleisher, told ESPN Insider that he will put the 7-footer's name in the draft. If Tskitishvili is guaranteed to go in the top 10, he'll stay in the draft. According to Fleisher, Tskitishvili's contract with Benneton doesn't have a buyout until next season, but he may be able to make his way to the NBA sooner if Tskitishvili is able to pay off his team the way Gasol did last year.

The other top foreign player, Hilario Maybiner, plays for Vasco de Gama in Brazil. Maybiner, a 6-foot-9, 250-pound man child has already left Brazil and is reportedly working out in Cleveland in preparation for the NBA draft.

Maybiner is an incredible athlete, who runs the floor, blocks shots, rebounds and already has a polished low-post game. Scouts love his aggressiveness, especially on the offensive boards. While he lacks the face-the-basket skills that teams like to see, he's considered a top prospect in the draft IF he can prove to teams that his team in Brazil will let him play in the NBA. If he's eligible, he could move all the way up into the lottery. If he isn't, he'll slip to the late first round.

Several teams told Insider that they were getting mixed messages on Maybiner from his team. Vasco de Gama claims it has Maybiner signed to a long-term deal and the team would require a significant buyout to let him go.

Several other Europeans should also slip into the late first round this season.

Tskitishvili's teammate, Bostjan Nachbar, a 6-foot-9 swingman from Slovenia, is a run-and-gun type player. He loves to play on the break, has excellent ball-handing skills and a killer outside jumper. Scouts say that he reminds them of a bigger version of Hidayet Turkoglu. In the Euro League, Nachbar is averaging 12.1 ppg in 25 mpg for Benneton.

Turkish big man Faith Solak, a 7-foot, 280 pound center has also had his share of suitors. Solak is a strong low post defender with emerging offensive skills. While he's a lot closer to Vitaly Potapenko than Gasol, with the lack of true centers in this draft, he could easily slip into the first round.

A few more combo guards -- Jiri Welsch, Sani Becirovic and Juan Carlos Navarro -- have also caught scouts' eyes. The 6-foot-5 Welsch, who plays for Olimpija Ljubljana, is a tough scorer and defender. Welsch is a penetrator who likes to take the ball to the basket or dish on the dribble drive. He's got a sweet outside jumper, and is a solid decision maker and leader. He averaged 17.1 ppg on 56.8 percent shooting during the Euro league Top 16. Scouts project his as a late first round, early second round pick.

The 6-foot-4 Becirovic, of Kinder Bologna in Italy, has been compared to Drazen Petrovic because of his shooting and the ability to take his man off the dribble. However, a late-season injury may keep Becirovic out of the draft this year.

Navarro, a 6-foot-3 combo guard, is very quick and an explosive scorer. However, scouts believe Navarro might not be able to play point guard in the pros -- he's really a two guard in a point guard's body. His lack of a consistent outside shot also hurts his chances of getting drafted.

Another player on teams' radar screens is 6-foot-10 power forward David Andersen. Andersen, originally from Australia, is playing for Kinder Bologna this year. Andersen has a soft touch around the basket, has the ability to put the ball on the floor, and plays strong in the post. He's a project, he only averaged about 8 ppg this season, but he's been mentioned as a late first round, early second pick by several scouts.

There's a lot of buzz over 18-year-old Christos Tapoutos of AEK Athens. The sweet shooting 6-foot-8 small forward is already being touted as the next Toni Kukoc. He only averaged 8 mpg in Europe this season, but teams typically don't play their younger players for a few years. Several scouts told Insider that there's a possibility he could be in the draft. If he is, he'll slip into the first round on potential alone.

Finally, Europe even has its own version of LeBron James. His name is Darko Milicic, a 16-year-old, 6-foot-11 phenom from Yugoslavia who has everyone in Europe buzzing. Milicic has the ball-handling skills of a guard, the shot-blocking skills of a center and the athleticism of Kevin Garnett. He won't be in the draft this year, but he'll be making a buzz in the NBA sooner than you think.

Other players who will get a look in the late first round/second round include Luis Scola, PF, Tau Ceramica Baskonia; Carlos Delfino, SG, Reggio Calabria; Lazaros Papadopoulos, Greece; Mario Stojic, Italy; Viktor Khyrpa, Russia; and Andreas Glyniadakis, Greece.

Insider will give you a more in depth scouting report on all the top European prospects next week when we head to Bologna, Italy to scout the European Final Four.
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martin
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4/25/2002  9:26 AM
LeBron James happy to stay in the U.S.

Speaking of European phenoms, an unsubstantiated rumor began flying around Tuesday that high school star LeBron James was talking to a club in Italy about signing for $9 million. Add in a lucrative shoe contract from Nike and James could start collecting on all of his new-found fame a year before he's even eligible for the draft.

The man James considers his father, Eddie Jackson, said the report was ridiculous.

"I don't know where or how all that stuff gets started," Eddie Jackson told the Cleveland Plain Dealer. "What, does someone just wake up one day and decide they're going to put something in the paper without bothering to check the facts?

"I am telling you it is not going to happen. For the record, LeBron will finish his high school career at St. Vincent-St. Mary. He said so last week [during a news conference for the Gatorade Award presentation], and nothing has changed since then. We have not talked to anyone about LeBron playing in Italy, and we have not talked to anyone about $9 million. No one has called. There is no truth to it."

Rumors have been swirling around James all year. The European rumor, along with several others, was being told and retold at the Portsmouth Camp three weeks ago. It was old news then, and even older news now.

Will he try to challenge the rule that prohibits high school underclassmen from declaring for the NBA draft? No. Will he join a touring AAU team instead of playing high school ball next season? No. Will he go ahead and cash in on a lucrative shoe contract now and still keep his high school eligibility? He'd like to, but he'll lose his eligibility if he signs the deal.

Still, even though James insists he'll play high school ball next year, you have to wonder how long it will be before a less grounded high school phenom decides that he doesn't want to wait for the NBA. In Europe, they could care less how old you are.

The Kansas City Star's Jason Whitlock writes that, if he were James, he'd be learning Italian.

"If I were a high school sophomore or junior with pro potential, I would offer myself up to a pro team over in Europe for a million a year. Rich kids study abroad all the time. You've heard of foreign-exchange students, right? Why not apply that principle to basketball, take a couple of semesters off and go overseas and pursue your hoop dreams for some major cheddar? James could afford to move his parents to Italy. Didn't Kobe Bryant spend some formative years in Italy? It didn't hurt him."
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Knixkik
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4/25/2002  3:10 PM
The other top foreign player, Hilario Maybiner, plays for Vasco de Gama in Brazil. Maybiner, a 6-foot-9, 250-pound man child has already left Brazil and is reportedly working out in Cleveland in preparation for the NBA draft.

Maybiner is an incredible athlete, who runs the floor, blocks shots, rebounds and already has a polished low-post game. Scouts love his aggressiveness, especially on the offensive boards. While he lacks the face-the-basket skills that teams like to see, he's considered a top prospect in the draft IF he can prove to teams that his team in Brazil will let him play in the NBA. If he's eligible, he could move all the way up into the lottery. If he isn't, he'll slip to the late first round.

Several teams told Insider that they were getting mixed messages on Maybiner from his team. Vasco de Gama claims it has Maybiner signed to a long-term deal and the team would require a significant buyout to let him go.
I like Hilario more and more as i hear more about him. The difference between him and most of these other power forwards and centers coming into the nba is they are all very raw offensively while his offensive game is already fairly developed. Not only that, but he has those natural tools(size, strength, quickness) that make him a very promising player with loads of potential. My only question is which name comes first Maybyner or Hilario because this is really beginning to confuse me.
Insider - 4/25

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