Posted by fishmike:
it depends on the matchups, but I could see Memphis beating them in round 1. Houston is another bad matchup for them but I think they will dodge that bullet. No way they beat the Spurs if Duncan is healthy and if they make it to round 2 Sac or Dall could both beat them.
Marion at 6'7" or 6'8" will struggle guarding Pau Gasol at about 7'. I still think Phoenix would win, though.
If the Suns make it to the 2nd round:
I'd give the Rockets and Mavs each about a 40% chance of beating Phoenix.
I'd give the Kings about a 15% chance.
I'd give the Sonics about a 15% chance too.
If the Suns make it to the 3rd round:
If Duncan's healthy, I'd give the Spurs about a 90% chance of beating the Suns.
If the Suns make it to the 4th round:
I'd give the Heat about a 90% chance of beating the Suns.