martin
Posts: 75063
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Joined: 7/24/2001
Member: #2 USA
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Other Chad notes...
SCOUTING THE REST OF THE BEST
Scouts think Gonzaga point guard Dan Dickau is a lock for the first round and could even slip into the lottery if he works out well. USC's Sam Clancy and Fresno State's Melvin Ely also are likely first-round picks.
Do the math. That's four seniors in the first round, one, possibly two, in the lottery.
After that it gets tricky. Depending on the number of talented underclassmen that declare, UCLA center Dan Gadzuric, Cincinnati guard Steve Logan, Kentucky swingman Tayshaun Prince, Tennessee swingman Vincent Yarbrough, Arkansas St. center Jason Jennings and Maryland guard Juan Dixon all have shots of sneaking into the late first round.
How can Dixon, a serious candidate for Player of the Year, not be a first-round pick?
Scouts say his lack of size and a natural position in the NBA kills him. He doesn't have the mentality to be a point guard and doesn't have the size or the consistent long-range jumper to play shooting guard. With that said, Dixon's incredible quickness, leaping and slashing ability along with his superb defensive skills will earn him a place in the league, it just may not be in the first round.
In a perfect world, Dixon, who has overcome an enormous amount of adversity on and off the court, would be the poster child for staying in school. Like Battier, he's done everything right, improved his game tremendously, and has a legitimate shot at a National Championship this spring.
In the NBA world, Dixon, like every other senior, has been "exposed" to a certain extent. After scouting a guy for four years, it becomes tough to overcome a player's shortcomings.
"When a team drafts a high school kid or a young underclassman, it's about potential more than it is ability," one scout told Insider. "After seeing a player for four years in college, we have a much better handle on just how far that potential can take a guy. That's why so many seniors are in the doghouse before they even hit the first camp."
How do they get out of the doghouse? The NCAA Tournament has been the traditional way. Seniors like Syracuse's John Wallace and Utah's Andre Miller helped their stock by turning in huge performances. The other way is at one of the NBA's draft camps. This year there is only one camp exclusively for seniors, Portsmouth. Of the 56 seniors invited, only Marcus can really afford to skip it.
The question Dixon and the rest of the senior class will be faced with is how to make a proven product more attractive than a pie in the sky. In the NBA world that answer remains elusive.
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