Knixkik wrote:We can make a lot of the last 2 months with the win streaks and losing streaks, but the bottom line is the Knicks are good when their top 6 guys all play and bad when one or more of them don’t. How the team approaches this at the deadline will be interesting. Knicks aren’t upgrading their starting 5 when healthy. It would require a star trade. The bench is the opportunity outside of Quickley. Knicks could just try and weather the storm and hope Mitch comes back well and no one else gets hurt. They hang around .500 and call this season a small step forward. Or they can use the protected picks that aren’t proving valuable for a big star trade and add the pieces that make the margin for error a little better. For example, Knicks could deal Hartenstein and 2 protected picks (let’s say the lesser of the Knicks/ Dallas pick and any one of the Wash/Det/Mil picks) for Jakob Poeltl right now. That’s the asking price. Then they could trade Rose and Reddish and the 2 remaining protected picks for Rozier, or the same package of players along with just 1 of those picks for Eric Gordon. So the bench is IQ, Gordon (or Rozier), Toppin and Poeltl. And if someone outside of Brunson or Randle is out then you’re not worse off. Is this smart? Probably not to this extent, but all I’m saying is you can get better now without sacrificing any of our own picks (saved for the star trade) and the top 6 guys on this team are insured so to speak. Summing all this up, I’m very curious to see what the Knicks do at the deadline, because there’s an opportunity to lock in a playoff spot but the Knicks top 6 will need some support in the meantime.
For me, I don't think the Knicks solely focus on how to make the team better just for this year. So for instance, let's say there is a hypothetical, in-a-vacuum trade for Rozier ($23M this year, increasing up to $26.5 in 2025) that kinda-sort makes sense for both team. The question for me would be, does it really fit into their long term plan? Lots of assumptions and things absolutely change, but that's my perspective and guess.
My best inclination is that, barring some major changes (like some team giving the Knicks an over the top, many multiple first round picks and a young player like Kuminga for Randle trade), the Knicks will most likely want to upgrade their team via the free agent market of 2024 (and maybe even push that to 2025 depending on how things shake out). That's probably the best way to add talent with the lowest amount of cost, just like with Jalen - it's really the only way to upgrade the talent with a large enough step forward without straight tanking.
So, if you think that may be the course the Knicks take (and maybe they don't), it'll narrow the choices of the type of player and contract you target and take on.
That's my guess as to why they are looking to understand the market value for both Obi and IQ - their extensions and cap holds effect summer 2024 salary cap expectations.
As soon as you trade for a Rozier type (contract past summer 2024), free agent market goes away for you and it's a whole new set of avenues you are geared towards (and maybe you have planned for that too).