houston20 wrote:I am not paying 60 to 100 million if mitch robinson asking for that he can leave that is way to much for 8 points and 8 rebounds. The knicks do have some leverage because this draft has lot solid bigs like mark williams, orlando robinson, walker kessler, kofi ****burn and also jalen duren. I still think its and over pay but fair deal if the knicks give 4 years 48 million dollars to mitch robinson.
It's not the draft that is going to collapse MRob's market value. It's that many teams are running small ball 5s as their primary center and keeping one or maybe two cheap big body types for hard contact or when they face a rough matchup like an Embiid. That means Tier 4 and Tier 5 of FA will have some available rim runner/lob threat/rim protector types. Will they be elite? Probably not. Will they be serviceable? That's the more important question.
You don't need a traditional big who can give you 35 minutes a game. You need a quasi enforcer big body who can give you 15 minutes and six hard fouls.
MRob at 12-18 million AAV, the range people are talking here, on a long term deal, is not his likely market value.
Put it this way, I've been posting here for years now. When I say a player is not worth X amount of money, how often does that spin opposite of my projections? MRob, from a market based perspective is not worth 12-18 million AAV. Does that mean he won't get it? Well you only need one team to outbid themselves for something stupid to happen.
If the Knicks and Leon Rose give MRob a 12-18 million AAV on a long term deal, that's bad roster management and that's bad cap management. I would say they won't do something that nutty, but then again they drafted Toppin and they signed a bunch of guys to Middle Class Contracts last offseason.
The best scenario is to sign and trade MRob for anything. A couple of late 2nds. The rights to some fringe Euro stash. A new washing machine. The secret recipe for making cabbage "steaks" that taste like real meat.
I can tell you right now if the Knicks sign MRob to a long term deal, he's going to baby every last single injury and ding and scratch he has for the entire duration. Players are starting to figure out if they play sparingly by gaming the system, they save their legs to try for another long term contract if they just show up and try hard the last year of their current deal.That's what Kawhi Leonard is doing. He's literally milking his situation to keep his legs fresh enough for another end of career long term deal. The shift from the Over36 to the Over38 Rule changed the entire dynamic of how players are trying to angle for the most money possible.