So folks... I hadn't paid too much attention at the beginning of the year, but I've been looking at the play-in tournament situation, and we're in GREAT shape for at least 1 bonus game after the season ends.
Quick details:
At the end of the regular season, the 7-10th seeds in each conference will participate in a play-in tournament.
1) 7-8 play. The winner gets the 7th seed. The loser moves to step #3
2) 9-10 play. The winner moves to step 3. The loser goes to the lottery.
3) the loser of #1 and winner of #2 play. The winner gets the 8th seed. The loser goes to the lottery.
We should all be extremely excited to be in a strong position to grab at least the 10th seed. But clearly, #6 or better is highly desirable.
Can we get to 6th? The team most likely to fall are the Hornets, who are down Ball, Hayward, and Monk. The Heat and Celtics have underperformed all-season but you'd think these playoff tested teams can get it together for a mini run.
We have 2 games left against the Celtics as well as 2 against the Hornets, so we have some level of control of our destiny to move up.
On the other hand, I think we're in pretty solid shape to stay in the top 8. The Pacers are extremely banged up and will have to resort to using LeVert in the short term for hero ball. Sabonis and Turner are both nursing through ankle sprains and Brogdon has had his fair share of nagging issues, most notably a bad hip.
The Bulls made some interesting moves at the trade deadline, acquiring Vucevic. They're mostly healthy, but they're also missing "something" - defensive chemistry - no defensive anchor? Billy Donovan hasn't been able to work his magic with the roster.
As of morning 4/7:
4th: 27-24 Atlanta
5th: 25-24 Hornets
6th: 26-25 Heat
7th: 25-26 Knicks
8th: 25-26 Celtics
9th: 22-27 Pacers
10th: 21-28 Bulls
11th: 20-31 Raptors
https://www.nba.com/news/nba-play-in-tournament