I suppose I was thinking more in terms of age vs NBA experience. And my criteria is a player taking his game to a new level, rather than becoming a #1 option which is a tough thing to quantify.
If you want to be technical, there should only be 29 (now 30) #1 options in the NBA. Until this year, Kobe was technically a #2 man; Yao Ming was a #2, etc. I'm not concerned with that--- I'm thinking in terms of this: Can an also-ran player make the leap to impact player after being mediocre for years?
I think there's enough evidence to think that TT can elevate his game at his age--- but IMHO in order to be a top-two scoring option on your team, you need to be on a bad team or simply be exceptional. I don't think either situation applies with TT--- he's good, he can contribute on a good team... but you're not afraid that he'll drop 20 on a consistent basis. There are too many other excellent scoring options on the Knicks for us to go to him enough times to get his 20... unless of course he shows big improvements (ie he demands the ball and the coach calls his number a lot).
(note:Guys who've played international ball or in the CBA often are older to begin with once they crack the NBA--- so that factors into advanced age of some of these breakthroughs)
As far as my late-breakthrough guys go:
In the case of Starks, he really broke through at age 28 (all-star).
Anthony Mason became a first-time All-star in his 2000-2001 season with the Miami Heat at the ripe old age of 34. I suppose I forgot about his fantastic 96-97 season (year 8 of his NBA career-- age 31). After the Knicks, he had the opportunity to get more touches and actually started taking (and making) some mid-range jumpers. As a Knick, he was just a brutal, banging, defensive force... and started developing in his partial season under Don Nelson.
http://www.nba.com/playerfile/anthony_mason/printable_player_files.html
You're right, it took Cassell only until his 5th season for him to truly burst into the scene with a 19.3ppg average in 23 games when he was traded to the Nets. His breakthrough truly occurred when he averaged 19.6 for the whole 97-98 season, at age 28.
Jayson Williams never was a top 2 scoring option, but he was a nice #3 guy who averaged 13.4ppg 13.5rpg in his 7th season after complete mediocrity early in his career.
http://www.nba.com/playerfile/jayson_williams/printable_player_files.html
Posted by OldFan:
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I wouldn't say any of these guys had their first breakout year after year 8. Only a few of them were ever their teams first offensive option.
Anthony Mason played great ball in NY. I don't think he got any better in Charlotte just more minutes. He left NY after 7 years. I think he
was just as good in 92-93 (his 4th year) and I would take Mason in year 4 over TT in year 8 anyday.
Starks had is best year in 93-94 (his 5th year)
Cassell - Hell he killed the knicks in the finals his rookie year. He has improved late in his career - but he was pretty established by year 5 or 6.
Jayson Williams - Never a go to guy. Best year was his 7th.
Ben Wallace - is basically the same player he was 4 years ago which was his 5th year. He's improved slightly and gotten a TON more recognition.
Petrovic - Only played 5 years - was averaging 20 by his 4th.
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