arkrud wrote:Normal place to be. Most of the contracts are break even in value. Some are steels and some busts.
Its all variance driven. You cannot win the lottery without buying the tickets.
Except of some sure things most of the players are an educated guess, Hardaway included.
This shows a deep misunderstanding of the concept of a "lottery ticket" in resource management terms.
In professional sports, if you FAIL the resource management part of the game, you fail before the ball gets on the court.
Kent Bazemore is a good cross example. As a young player, he did not get minutes with the Warriors. Hawks got him for 2 years / 4 million , he played very well. His lack of minutes was because of talent load at GSW, not a reflection of his abilities. This is a LOTTERY TICKET. His next contract was an albatross. Long contract, high AAV. This is an INVESTMENT.
The Knicks made an INVESTMENT in THJr. Based on 1/2 of a decent season with the Hawks. They also made an investment when they drafted him. And he failed them. Much of it was his undisciplined play. The Knicks invested in a player a SECOND TIME when he failed them the first time.
The contract is indefensible. THJr was sitting all that offseason. No one else was going to give him that kind of AAV/length.
A good investment is only doing so when there is actual evidence that you can get a solid return back. THJr in his first run with the Knicks, often played like a total ****head. It wasn't just rookie pains/blues, he was just sort of a selfish ****head.
This kind of scenario is presented in pro sports front office type interviews all the time. I've spent some time in plenty of front offices and in draft war rooms, if some guy trying to come up gave the answer you gave, they would kick him out of the ****ing building. The term is called "Pack Your Trash" You get a big 55 gallon trash bag/contractor bag, and you have to put all your **** in it and security walks you out. Some teams even have "code phrases" to alert each other on a guy who needs to get kicked the **** out right now.
Steve Mills could no longer hide behind someone else. Many front office guys on the edge, they need to say to their owner, I did something, this year, something I can use to justify keeping my job. Phil Jackson FUCKED the Knicks for four years for Rose/Noah/Lee/Thomas so he could try to justify staying a little longer. Mills FUCKED the Knicks on THJr so he could go to a meeting with Dolan and say, well I did this to make the team better.
I make it a point on this forum, when I post, when I disagree with people ( which is often) to acknowledge their right to their own views. Some people don't act that way, but some people are basically a bunch of worthless ****suckers. If you feel THJrs contract is a lottery ticket, then that's your view. No one can take that from you. But if you walked into a real NBA front office, a competent one, and said the same thing, they'd hand you a trash bag.
Personally, I'd get a couple of interns to take your stuff from your cubicle, then get 200 rolls of duct tape, and put all your stuff in the center, and empty all the roll into a giant duct tape ball. And if you want your house keys, you'll have to find your way to the center. You'll have to roll it out of the building. So big you couldn't put it in a car. Then on the outside, I'd have someone spray paint on the outside, "The best part of prison was showering with other men. I miss you so much, Tyrone"
When you and Tyrone cuddled, were you the spoon? Or the spooner?