meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 5/3/2014
Member: #5801
|
Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:TheGame wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:We have little use for Anderson. We're basically paying $60 mil for 2 distant 1st round picks. No GM will do that. Those picks are 3 and 5 years away. That means probably 5 to 8 years before the players are peaking. If Dolan would give me an 8 year guarantee, I'd consider the deal, but I think it's too much to pay for the picks anyway. Cleveland's distant picks don't work either. 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Ryan Anderson $19,578,455 $20,421,546 $21,264,635 Carmelo Anthony $26,243,760 $27,928,140 Under the NBA trade rules, Houston would have to include one other minor expiring contract to make the deal work. We would save about $2 mill in year one (with the added expiring contract of another player), and $5-$7 mill in year two. In year three, we would have to pay $21,264,635. So we would essentially be paying about $11 million for two future draft picks, or about $5.5 million per pick. That is not a huge costs for the picks. In fact, depending on where the picks fall, that would be fair compensation for those picks. Plus, we would get those picks at a time when KP and Frank might be earning near max salary. Thus, we will need cheap labor to fill in the roster. We would get five first round picks over a three year period to restock our roster. So I disagree with the argument that the costs is too much. Both Noah and Ryan's deals will expire the same year, which will likely give us one, and possible two max salary spots that year with two first round draft picks and KP and Frank ready to really compete. To me, it makes sense. Is it the best deal, no? But given that Melo controls all the cards, it is the best deal we are likely to get in the foreseeable future. First, Melo may opt out. Second, despite the difficulties, I believe we can trade him for players that fit our roster rather than doing this trade. It will just require a lot of patience. So your trade would be $60 mil wasted compared to the option of trading for players who fit our team. And it's way too early to give up on that option. Your trade is a decent idea and this is a good thread though. I had thought about this option. I'm not trying to just trash your thread. What players can we trade for that fit our roster? It's not 60 million wasted, it's 60 million minus the 50 owed to Melo wasted. Because we are going to waste that 50 million no matter what. We are not trading for Ryan Anderson, we are trading for draft picks(in the scenario that was presented in this thread), we are accepting Anderson to make it worth it for Houston. One extra year of 17 million cap hold is fine for two first round picks. Anderson maybe Houston's problem but Melo is ours. Can't keep him on this team otherwise all this is just theoretical. Keeping Melo = bad draft pick, 37 wins, more negativity around KP, Billy and Frank Sure, if you start from the assumption that Melo is $50 mil wasted and is guaranteed to result in a trade with at least $50 mil wasted coming back to us, then the proposal is just another $10 mil wasted. If you start with that mindset, you're almost guaranteed to make a bad trade though. There's no reason to think that way now. There's still 3 months left in the off-season. I do think Melo has enough trade value that we can pull off something much better but neither of us has any idea. You want me to list the players we'd get in a better trade? I have no idea who the 3rd and possibly 4th teams will be a trade. I haven't been on the phones talking with team's GMs. Worst case scenario, I'm wrong and we could discuss doing this trade in October. Not trying to force you into a corner, but Melo wants to go to two teams only, they won't give up their better players that scenario won't change if they really want to win it all. And yeah I looked at Melo's entire second contract as dead weight from day 1 and as far as I can tell there's no reason for me to reconsider that.
I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
|