meloshouldgo wrote:smackeddog wrote:reub wrote:I would take Ariza and Anderson right now for Melo although I'd still prefer getting Harkless.
Why? Then you're stuck with Andersons £20mil per salary for THREE years! (at a position where KP AND Willy play). I would rather buy Melo out than accept that crap. how does Ariza sweeten the pot?!
I was willing to take Anderson with two first round picks, I will take him with Ariza and one pick as well. The math you provide is not the ONLY version of the truth.
We owe Melo 54MM over two years, if we don't trsde him to Houston he will be pissed and probably won't take a buyout, Houston also can't pay him a lot unless they don't dump RA. Let's assume Melo agrees to buyouts at 50 MM
We would owe RA 60MM over 3 years, he can probably still make 10MM per in the FA market and his value is probably decent around 30MM for 3 years. Now maybe we pay him an extra 10MM and buy him out at 60-30+10= 40MM then by itself that's cheaper than Melo. We can buy him out up to 50MM of this contract and still be a wash.
Ariza and draft picks would be gravy, yes I made up those numbers (hint @Bonnie) but it's the premise I am trying to communicate. Melo only wants to play at Houston so we can only buy him out for what they can pay without making any changes. RA doesn't have that disadvantage.
Ariza has no use to the 2016-17 Knicks.
As to Anderson, "if we don't trsde him to Houston he will be pissed and probably.." isn't a "version of the truth", it's speculation.
Your math is solid enough, RA's $62.2m isn't that much different that Melo's presumed $54.2m in the context of a buyout. It's a $27.9m ETtO in which you make a personal intuitive assumption.
That said, another assumption is Anderson's FA value and overlooking the fact nobody has any cap room left to give him $10m this year.