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GoNyGoNyGo
Posts: 23559 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/29/2003 Member: #411 USA |
10/25/2016 12:39 PM
TheGame wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:Nalod wrote:Math is not strong among Trump supporters. Agree, the article is fair. He is struggling because he is who he is. Likewise, she is who she is and she has not buried him yet. According to those who have been assigned to protect her, she too has anger issues. And anyone running for POTUS has an ego that is HUUUUUGE...lol. I will say that she has worked all her life to get to this moment, so while not far, far, far from an ideal choice,IMO, she is more prepared to be POTUS than DJT. Scary as that will be, IMO. |
Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
10/25/2016 12:44 PM
GoNyGoNyGo wrote:Yeah, because Assange is such a credible guy. On the run from multiple countries, dodging a rape charge. Yeah, let's take him at his word.Knickoftime wrote:GoNyGoNyGo wrote:for your reading pleasures... |
GoNyGoNyGo
Posts: 23559 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/29/2003 Member: #411 USA |
10/25/2016 1:06 PM
POTUS said he learned of HRC private email account from the news. Untrue - he was emailing with her.
It Could explain why DOJ intervened and why no charges were brought against HRC. You decide. https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/31077#efmAABABT |
Knickoftime
Posts: 24159 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/13/2011 Member: #3370 |
10/25/2016 2:10 PM
Vmart wrote:Knickoftime wrote:Vmart wrote:Nalod wrote:Math is not strong among Trump supporters. I think most people with a nuanced understanding of electoral demographics believe that with the rising latino population and the high number of professionals with degrees moving to the state that it is poised to become purple over the next few decades. It is perhaps purple-ish this cycle because of how significantly and unusually incompetent the GOP nominee is. Most agree under any normal circumstance it would not be purple in 2016 or any time for several more cycles. And most of the data driven sources as opposed to the narrative ones still give Trump a significant edge. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/texas/ As always, it's a matter of how big a picture you want to take in. I think a lot of people are prone to gravitating to the first thing they can successfully refute. Some talking heads are impressed by a few closer than usual Texas polls and that should be debunked, but smart money is still on Trump holding Texas. That said, the same data-driven sources will tell you they cannot 100% predict this election, but that historically the "too confident/low turnout" narrative has been bunk. The data in fact suggests the opposite. I understand the intuitive assumption you made. It sounds logical spoken out loud, it appeals to our sense of how things work. But that's when you look for historical precedent to measure your assumption against, and in this case, the assumption isn't supported by evidence. |
meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
10/25/2016 2:10 PM
DrAlphaeus wrote:Reading a long form article in The Atlantic right now: Who are these people and why are they stealing my material? I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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