Hi. My name is HA Goodman and I'm an author, columnist, and journalist.
Lol, just kidding. I'm a freelance writer with a big portfolio but no platform yet. Call me RG. By the way if anyone can give some advice on web-site developing hit me up.
Anyway I think some of you are grading this trade on its surface and flashy name recognition, but especially for the Knicks it has somewhat long-term implications that haven't really been fleshed out, so I'll do that here.
WHY IT'S A GOOD TRADE FOR NY
Forget Calderon, forget Jerian Grant. Calderon's a 15 mpg backup at this point; Grant was a 23 year old rookie who oftentimes looked lost out there as if he was 19 year old still "figuring things out". On principal alone I don't like giving up on 1st-year players because it sets a bad precedent, but no one should be crying about losing him. 4-year college athletes should be prepared to come into a game and contribute immediately. Yeah, his minutes were inconsistent, yeah he has some room to grow, but his ceiling appears to be that of a rotation player at best. He might very well just end up in the D-League like Tim Hardaway, Jr. since I can't point to any single skillset, aside from general size and versatility, that he has at the NBA level. The Knicks replaced him with a guy in Justin Holiday who at least has figured out a role for himself in the pros (3 & D), not to mention a 2017 2nd Round Pick (the Bulls' own) in a potentially stacked draft class.
This was really about Lopez for Rose. An average starting Center for an average starting PG (if we assume we're getting the 2015-16 version of Derrick.) I can name 15 Centers in the league at least that I'd prefer over Robin and 15 Point Guards minimum I would've taken over Rose last season. The rule of thumb is to never trade big for small, but here's where things get tricky:
1.) We have no way to tell what version of Rose will be donning the Orange & Blue, but Derrick has a far higher upside coming into a contract year and a full offseason of training, not to mention the motivation to reassert his legacy. It's not inconceivable that he becomes a fringe All-Star candidate. Jackson bought relatively low on a 27 year old former MVP.
2.) If he suffers another big setback, you have the option of tanking and/or seeking an Injured Player Exception to sign or trade for someone at or below the Non-Tax Payer MLE.
3.) This is a PG driven league. I'll take the risk on a high-upside, lightning quick, slashing PG that can get to the line over a plodding Center whose best quality is giving you a consistent 10, 7, and 1.5 BPG. That's what Robin has averaged the last FOUR SEASONS. He is what he is. Rose may "rise" above his current stature and return to more than just the status quo.
4.) The deal clears about an additional 14 or so Million in cap space going into the summer of 2017 and beyond.
5.) This opens up roster space for a big-time FA acquisition at Center. Al Horford, maybe? A 1+1 for Gasol? Howard? (just messing, I don't want that schlomo anywhere near my TV screen).
[On a side note, I'm sick of people saying Lopez was on a great contract. Bull. Jackson bid against himself and gave him an offer-sheet well above his market value at the time. Some fans can't even get his yearly price tag right. Guy is making $13.5 Million a year. We essentially gave him a 225% pay increase to do exactly the same thing he did before. NO ONE was offering him anything more than, most likely, $12 Million a year tops. Classic Knicks move - overpay for role players. I can name, minimum, 10 other big men in the league who do exactly what Robin does on MUCH friendlier salaries (players like Gibson, Pau, Asik, Splitter, Larry Sanders before he ghosted, and the list goes on). Hell, SERGE IBAKA and ANDREW BOGUT made less money this past season than did Lopez. His deal was terrible for the first year and bad this year (1/7 of your cap space on a slightly below-average Center? Ew.). It'll look decent next summer (somewhere between 1/7 and 1/8 of the cap), and great the last season due in part to it being expiring. If you have to justify any business arrangement by saying, "Well yeah it SUCKS for 2 years but it'll look better in Year 3", then it's a bad deal. He does nothing, in my opinion, that Timofey Mosgov can't do. In fact, look at his averages his first season with Cleveland; damn near identical to Lopez's usual production. Lopez was the 3rd best player on a 32 win team. C'mon now.]
WHY IT SUCKS FOR THE KNICKS
1.) Don't kid yourselves. Rose is most likely a 1-year rental. His cap hit next summer is $30+ Million in order to retain his Bird Rights. Negotiating a re-up if he plays well would be tricky since he'd automatically eat up half of their cap space. One possible scenario would be renouncing his Bird Rights and simply using their own money to sign him to a short-term, friendly contract. But that would defy the whole point of acquiring him in the first place - controlling his Bird Rights, so if he plays well they can utilize the existing cap space to acquire top-notch talent and then go over the cap to keep Derrick. It's a double-edged sword. You can't have him on the books while you're trying to lure, say, Westbrook and Griffin.
2.) They probably could've gotten better bang for their buck for the combo of Lopez and Grant. Mediocre talent and contract aside, Robin is still solid as a rock and could've netted you, I think, better value in return. And Grant is on a rookie scale and has some room to spread his wings. They probably offered them to Atlanta for Jeff Teague and got disconnected on. If Jackson was hard-pressed on finding a starting caliber PG I think he could've found a wider market and a more long-term solution. Then again, I wanted no part of Eric Bledsoe, for example, or Dragic. I sure as hell didn't want a maxed-out Conley. And dumping the pair for cap space and a mid-20's pick alone wouldn't whet my appetite much. Kind of a lose-lose scenario. Do you keep Robin when this FA class is so stacked with Centers? I get it, but my initial reaction to the trade was "Meh".
OVERALL GRADE
Short-Term: C
(presuming we get at least the 2016 version of Rose). Filled a need at PG, created a lesser one at C.
Long-Term: TBD
Too many angles to this, too many long-term implications. We'll just have to wait and see. Does his brand name alone give NY a seat at the Durant table? Does that extra cap space translate into a superstar signing in 2017? Or is it just 2010 all over again? Do the Knicks re-sign Rose? Do they save some of their cap space this summer and try to poach a solid player during the season? Does Derrick's knee crumble and net the Knicks a top pick?
NEXT TIME ON: GRADING THE ROSE TRADE (How the Bulls made one of the dumbest trades in franchise history)