Elhassan was making fun of the Knicks moves not that long ago, so he is inching closer to a more reasonable view point about the team. I've been saying it for a while and now people are starting to come around the idea that the Knicks can and should be more competitive. There were a few media who saw it early on too, but most have been saying the Knicks won't likely make the playoffs.
Here's my thing and i've written about this before, Melo when he's healthy has a VERY good record with his teams in terms of making the playoffs. Bash him for 1st rd losses all they want but his teams get to the playoffs and it took historic dysfunction and injury for his teams to miss the playoffs the last 2 years. Elhassan saying 38-40 wins isn't really going out on a limb for a typical Melo led team.
I think this team is much closer to the 54 win Knicks than the 37 win disappointment the following year. I say that based on the research of what he's done with teams of similar talent.
The Best Melo Teams were all pretty similar at the top and thru the middle of the rotation. Melo was able to win 50 games with teammates like AI, Billups, Nene, Tyson, Felton and JR Smith. I don't believe this roster is any less talented than those teams. IMO they are pretty darned close when healthy. Put a good Guard, Center and solid rotation around Melo and you will most likely have a playoff team. It's not rocket science.
2012-13 Knicks 54-28 Eastern Conference Semis
PLAYER GP GS MIN PPG OFFR DEFR RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FPG A/TO PER
Carmelo Anthony, SF 67 67 37.0 28.7 2.0 4.9 6.9 2.6 0.78 0.48 2.6 3.1 1.0 24.8
J.R. Smith, SG 80 0 33.5 18.1 0.8 4.5 5.3 2.7 1.25 0.30 1.7 2.8 1.6 17.7
Raymond Felton, PG 68 68 34.0 13.9 0.8 2.1 2.9 5.5 1.38 0.21 2.3 1.9 2.4 15.2
Tyson Chandler, C 66 66 32.8 10.4 4.1 6.6 10.7 0.9 0.64 1.14 1.3 2.8 0.7 18.9 = 76.62008-09 Nuggets 54-28 Western Conference Finals
PLAYER GP GS MIN PPG OFFR DEFR RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FPG A/TO PER
Carmelo Anthony, SF 66 66 34.5 22.8 1.6 5.2 6.8 3.4 1.14 0.36 3.0 3.0 1.1 19.1
Chauncey Billups, PG 77 77 35.3 17.9 0.4 2.6 3.0 6.4 1.17 0.22 2.2 2.1 2.8 18.9
J.R. Smith, SG 81 18 27.7 15.2 0.5 3.1 3.7 2.8 0.96 0.17 1.9 2.3 1.5 16.8
Nene Hilario, PF 77 76 32.6 14.6 2.4 5.4 7.8 1.4 1.23 1.31 1.9 3.6 0.7 18.8 = 73.6
2007-08 Nuggets 50-32 Western Conference 1st Round
PLAYER GP GS MIN PPG OFFR DEFR RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FPG A/TO PER
Allen Iverson, SG 82 82 41.8 26.4 0.6 2.4 3.0 7.1 1.95 0.15 3.0 1.3 2.4 21.1
Carmelo Anthony, SF 77 77 36.4 25.7 2.3 5.1 7.4 3.4 1.27 0.51 3.3 3.3 1.0 21.3
Kenyon Martin, PF 71 71 30.4 12.4 1.5 5.0 6.5 1.3 1.24 1.20 1.3 3.3 1.0 14.8
J.R. Smith, SG 74 0 19.2 12.3 0.6 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.84 0.16 1.5 1.9 1.1 18.3 = 75.5