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TripleThreat
Posts: 23106 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 2/24/2012 Member: #3997 |
7/19/2015 7:48 PM
nixluva wrote:It's highly plausible that Jose can return to that level of performance.... No, it's not. Player decline with age. No one beats Father Time. One of the interesting aspects of the Phoenix Sun's vaunted medical staff and the push for sports science by Pete Carroll and the Seahawks and Chip Kelly and the Eagles is the discussion of lost games via injury and the metrics associated with reactivating injury across a career. If you've been hurt before, you raise your odds of missing games in the future by being hurt again. This risk factors in exponentially as you age and reach towards the end of your playing career. Calderon is likely to get hurt more, do less and do it slower over time. This shouldn't be some huge shock to anyone. Unless the Knicks can get some more help, he's the 4th guard on the team. Pushing Grant too hard and too fast will increase his risk of injury. You can't develop your game when you are hurt. You can't help your team when you are hurt. The Knicks can't make that critical evaluation of whether he's a long term asset or not if he's not playing because he's hurt. Break him as a rookie, be prepared to increase his risk factor for injury the rest of his career. The Knicks aren't going anywhere this year. That much should be apparent. No need to break this kid open in a season where the Knicks have nothing at stake. ( So they traded their pick, it's a sunk cost, it sucks but you don't break your rookie today so you can say you gave a lesser pick to a team you traded with years ago. You don't compound a bad decision with more bad decisions. If the Knicks traded away what will be a lottery pick in the next draft, then so be it. It doesn't make it smart, but its not worth crushing Zinger and Grant as rookies to prove otherwise. ) It would be nice if Calderon could give minutes without so much drawback. That being said, his job right now is to eat up enough minutes so that Affalo, Galloway and Grant don't fall apart from too much usage. No one will like seeing the Mets limit the innings of Thor and Matz. They didn't like seeing it with Wheeler and they won't like it one day with Ynoa, but it happens for a reason. If the Calderon problem presents anything, it's not that Grant should start the season, but that the Knicks need more wing depth. |
nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
7/20/2015 12:25 AM
TripleThreat wrote:nixluva wrote:It's highly plausible that Jose can return to that level of performance.... I'm talking about levels of efficiency and not the amount of minutes per game or having to start for the entire season. I believe Jose can cut back on his load and just look to be more efficient as he once was. Now that we have Jerian there's less pressure on Jose to have to carry the kind of load he once did. So that's not what I was suggesting nor what I would think Phil and Fish have in mind either. With fewer minutes that could be just the right role for Jose at this stage of his career. I think perhaps there's an assumption that Jose was far off his previous production when in fact he wasn't that far off. Especially considering that he wasn't healthy or in prime shape for much of the season. The main issue is going to be what was wrong with him and if it's chronic or not. If it wasn't something that is a persistent issue then I think he does have a good chance to improve his efficiency and get it back up closer to how he performed when healthy.
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ChuckBuck
Posts: 28851 Alba Posts: 11 Joined: 1/3/2012 Member: #3806 USA |
7/20/2015 8:44 AM
I think the general consensus is that Jerian is the best bet for lead guard going into the future.
That said, Calderon is still due $15 million guaranteed, and we haven't stretched him yet, so let the kid watch and learn in the beginning. If or when Calderon struggles or gets injured, put the kid in, maybe around the all star break. For now, let him lead the 2nd unit to gain confidence. |
Knixkik
Posts: 34911 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 7/24/2001 Member: #11 USA |
7/20/2015 11:34 AM
ChuckBuck wrote:I think the general consensus is that Jerian is the best bet for lead guard going into the future. Extremely excited about Grant. He will struggle at times, but has the chance to be really good. I have mentioned this before, but he reminds me so much of Jrue Holiday. Not real high upside, but very good all-around ability to be a 2 way starter for us, and very productive. |
nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
7/20/2015 1:38 PM
Knixkik wrote:ChuckBuck wrote:I think the general consensus is that Jerian is the best bet for lead guard going into the future. What I like about Jerian is that he knows how to be a scoring threat but at the same time an excellent distributor and floor general. He's got big shot ability and BALLZ that we need from a lead guard. He's not scared to do what is needed, when it's needed. He's got just enough physical talent to be a real problem offensively and that paired with great court vision is a real big deal for us. I think Phil chose the perfect guy to play guard for this team. |
technomaster
Posts: 23232 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 6/30/2003 Member: #426 USA |
7/20/2015 3:33 PM
I'm excited that Grant's production was pretty much on-par with Mudiay and Russell. Maybe it's a sign of his more mature game that he averaged by far the fewest TOs of the 3, all while throwing some pretty sweet passes.
“That was two, two from the heart.” - John Starks
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TheGame
Posts: 26586 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 7/15/2006 Member: #1154 USA |
7/20/2015 8:07 PM
We really may have gotten the best PG in the draft. The funny thing about upside is that not everyone develops. While I do think Russell and Mudiay will develop. Those guys are a year away from getting to the level that Grant is at right now. There is no guarantee those guys will be better than Grant. Initially, I wanted the Knicks to wait to develop Grant, but in retrospect, I think he will be ready to start by the end of December. Calderon is inevitably going to get hurt, so I would start Calderon until he gets injured and then slide Grant in as the starting PG and never look back.
Trust the Process
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nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
7/20/2015 10:02 PM
TheGame wrote:We really may have gotten the best PG in the draft. The funny thing about upside is that not everyone develops. While I do think Russell and Mudiay will develop. Those guys are a year away from getting to the level that Grant is at right now. There is no guarantee those guys will be better than Grant. Initially, I wanted the Knicks to wait to develop Grant, but in retrospect, I think he will be ready to start by the end of December. Calderon is inevitably going to get hurt, so I would start Calderon until he gets injured and then slide Grant in as the starting PG and never look back. The presence of Jerian should help Jose to stay healthy. He won't have to push nearly as hard as he would if he was the only PG option. We can ride Jerian's youth and keep Jose's minutes down. I would start Jerian for his defense. I don't think he'll be a detriment to winning at all. I think Jerian can handle starting in this system. The demands aren't quite what they are for most systems that may require a ball dominant PG. I think he could handle being thrown in the deep end of the pool. |
blkexec
Posts: 27848 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 9/3/2004 Member: #748 |
7/20/2015 11:26 PM
Born in Brooklyn, Raised in Queens, Lives in Maryland.
The future is bright, I'm a Knicks fan for life!
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ChuckBuck
Posts: 28851 Alba Posts: 11 Joined: 1/3/2012 Member: #3806 USA |
7/21/2015 8:27 AM
blkexec wrote: Can only imagine how the Garden will sound if Jerian throws one down in a meaningful game! |
Nalod
Posts: 68748 Alba Posts: 154 Joined: 12/24/2003 Member: #508 USA |
7/21/2015 10:21 AM
saw this kid play live twice this season. Two great games. Very quiet and effient game. The dunk, thats a different story but this kid just went about his buisness without hoisting up a ton of shots. He was not preening or acting like a kid. Cool dude.
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TripleThreat
Posts: 23106 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 2/24/2012 Member: #3997 |
7/21/2015 1:17 PM LAST EDITED: 7/21/2015 1:18 PM
nixluva wrote:The presence of Jerian should help Jose to stay healthy. He won't have to push nearly as hard as he would if he was the only PG option. We can ride Jerian's youth and keep Jose's minutes down. I would start Jerian for his defense. I don't think he'll be a detriment to winning at all. I think Jerian can handle starting in this system. The demands aren't quite what they are for most systems that may require a ball dominant PG. I think he could handle being thrown in the deep end of the pool. This is exactly the kind of thinking that has lead to the Knicks to 1) Fail to develop young players consistently in their current era and 2) Get them into the current hell they are in now
Half a season on a four year rookie deal but team leverage over the first seven years of his career, it's not forever. If Grant WAS A 2ND ROUNDER OR UDFA, then I think an argument could be made, since the team would have less leverage and controllable years, to see what you have quickly for evaluation. But this kid has first round team control, and the team has NO DRAFT PICKS NEXT YEAR. This is not a playoff team and there is no more draft help coming next year. Is that a recipe for success to throw Grant into the fire right now or actually pace out that first 30-40 games so the Knicks can reap possibly 6 and a half more seasons of long term potential success? Maybe Grant is one of those rare players who is ready to start as a rookie. If that's the case, it's not going to hinder his development or confidence to pace out the first 30-40 games. That's pretty typical of a rookie. BUT IF HE IS NOT SAID RARE PLAYER, you risk over taxing him, risk him to a bigger chance of injury, risk him to the rabid instant expectations of the NY media and risk screwing with the kid's confidence , yanking him in and out of the lineup haphazardly. Well nixluva, whatever differences you and I have about the Knicks, at least you appear to want to see them win. At least you aren't a traitor... *cough* holfresh *cough*. But good God man, your ideas, consistently time after time, they are ones that would have the real traitors out there simply love how you think. Practical thinking - "Ok David Wright, we are going to play you as DH in interleague games, we don't want you to dive for balls, slide headfirst into the bag as a baserunner, we don't want you trying to steal bases, we are going to try to put you in the field somewhere where your risk of injury is as reduced as possible, maybe it's time to move you off of third base. Look buddy, you get hurt a ton, I mean you must secretly related to Danny Amendola and Nene, let's just try to shade that risk as best we can because this team could use your bat and see you get consistent at bats" Nixluva thinking - "David Wright, dude totally, try to steal as many bases as you want. I mean that won't land you on the DL again, so you can tweak your back or hamstrings or whatever next and end up with spinal stenosis and just rot with no return. I mean why give you the Paul Molitor/Edgar Martinez/Harold Baines treatment, when teams focused on keeping good hitters shaded from breaking themselves. Dude, slide headfirst too, like Rickey did. And wear bowling shoes when you wash your car. And when you drive down the freeway, hang your arm out the window as far as you can. Lovely." |
nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
7/21/2015 1:44 PM
TripleThreat wrote:nixluva wrote:The presence of Jerian should help Jose to stay healthy. He won't have to push nearly as hard as he would if he was the only PG option. We can ride Jerian's youth and keep Jose's minutes down. I would start Jerian for his defense. I don't think he'll be a detriment to winning at all. I think Jerian can handle starting in this system. The demands aren't quite what they are for most systems that may require a ball dominant PG. I think he could handle being thrown in the deep end of the pool. GEEZ! Overreact much? I think that the only way Jerian starts is if he shows that he's capable of handling that. Which would mean that he would have to look really good in Training Camp and Pre Season. Jerian isn't a 19 yr old. He's gonna be 23 when the season starts. He's mentally much more mature than your typical NBA rookie. I'm not saying that Jerian WILL start. Only that I think he can handle it. I have no idea why that should be such a controversial point of view. You seem to revel in the idea of trying to make me seem unreasonable. This is IMO a clear case of you making much out of nothing. The only real difference between my point of view and yours is that i'm more confident that Jerian could handle starting early on and you are saying to give him some games off the bench, which I admit is the more likely approach UNLESS he really demonstrates that he should start which IMO is a very likely scenario. |