knicks1248 wrote:misterearl wrote:Contextknickscity wrote:This question while truly cant be answered because the roster isnt in place can be discussed, merely by looking at the teams already in. Cavs, Hawks, Wizards, Raptors, Bulls imo seem to be locks to get in barring major injuries. So the Knicks could take any of the three remaining spots, but lets analyze that.....Bucks, Nets Celtics. The Knicks very well could push one of those out, I doubt it being the Bucks as they made the playoffs WITHOUT Jabari Parker and he should be returning next season, and that team does have cap space available. The Nets probably dont make it, but how about Indy with Paul George back? Should be able to pencil that as possible. So the spot to be concerned with would be Boston.
I honestly if everything goes normal, I only see 1 spot to grab, and that team has similar chances to get really good fast as they have quite a few picks and talent to work with and a really good coach so far.
As a betting man, I say no, the Knicks dont make it, but with a solid offseason it's possible, and honestly it's pivotal that they do.
knickscity - thank you for having a rare perspective that takes into account the rest of the Eastern Conference. The Celtics have a truckload of high draft picks and the Bucks, as you mention, have Jabari on reserve. The Sixers have a young core that is learning the word maturity. Toronto is good and their profane general manager is passionate about his job. Chicago, Atlanta and Indiana are all tough. The job of leapfrogging another franchise will require much more than a 19 year old and a wet fantasy free agent to be named later.
Did I leave anyone out?
I think you both nailed it, I also think it's pivotal for phil to have a much more hands on approach with the team. Watching these playoffs, it's clearly obvious that leadership and veterans win in the playoffs. Put together a similar roster to what we had when we won 54 games with a high draft pick, the turn around can be swift.
If we go the no name d league route, 3rd tier players, and talk about were saving cap for 2016, I'm will be offically done..
You guys are all talking like the Knicks aren't aware of the same things you're talking about. You think Phil doesn't know all of this? Come on man! This is just stupid. If you have cap space and talk about rebuilding thru Free Agency, then surely you want to find players who can have a real impact. This FA market does have many players who can have a positive impact on this roster. That's why I created the WS/48 thread to show just how many of the FA's are above average in terms of their impact. If I can formulate that kind of list i'm pretty darned sure that the Knicks and their Analytics Staff have also formulated a similar list of the best FA's regardless of how big their name is.
Make no mistake that the Knicks Scouting and Player Personnel people do use Analytics. They aren't just winging it when making decisions on players.
Mark Warkentien, Director Of Player Personnel:
"For years, Warkentien has evaluated players with an approach he calls 'eyes-ears-numbers.'"
The case for Ty LawsonAt a recent breakfast, Oliver opened his Dell, and on the screen were statistics as scrambled as his eggs.
"This ain't points and rebounds, huh?" an onlooker asked.
"Nooooooo," Oliver said with emphasis.
It was his personal breakdown of North Carolina's team last season, first ranking individual offensive efficiency. What's that?
"It's how many points per 100 possessions did the player use, in order to create points," he said. Field goals count, as do turnovers and free throws.
"So, you have to count the opportunities that it takes to create those," he explained. "This is their efficiency in doing that, in creating points. Ty created 139 points per 100 possessions that he used — any factor of creating points. That is a huge number."
Next was "individual defensive efficiency per 100 possessions," in which "we estimate how often he forced his guy into a bad shot, or how many turnovers he created," Oliver said. He also liked Lawson's numbers there.
After that, there were columns dissecting a player's scoring possessions, total possessions, points produced, percentage of the team offense a player is responsible for and, finally, defensive stops (how many times he was part of stopping the opponent). As Oliver often says, the stats see every game, and the Nuggets were pleased with what the stats saw when they looked at Lawson.
Oliver, who will do some college scouting for the Nuggets this season, also used "pure point rating" — which Warkentien believes is a stronger gauge of a point guard than assist-to-turnover ratio, if only because a turnover is arguably more harmful than an assist is helpful, so why should they be equal?
"It's how much are you creating for your teammates, versus screwing up," Oliver said of pure point rating, and sure enough, Lawson's pure point rating ranked historically among the best in NCAA history.
"The numbers on Lawson absolutely reinforced our eyes and ears," Warkentien said.
Asked if Lawson, the 18th overall pick, should have gone higher in the draft, Oliver could only smile and say, "I don't care — we got him."