typical nba season is 82 games spread over 24 weeks (168 days). (roughly 10 games every 20 days). this nba season is 66 games spread over 17.5 weeks (122 days). (roughly 10 games every 18 days)
not only did we make an investment in chandler and STAT with big contracts, but they will be playing more per week than normal. the wear and tear is going to add up for our two bigs, d'antoni has to monitor the minutes well or these guys are going to break down (like STAT did last year).
chandler only played 28 mpg last year and shouldn't go over that this year with the abbreviated schedule.
amare played 37 mpg last year. if you look at his career, amare's best rebounding year (his highest rebound rate) in the last 5 years was also the year he averaged the lowest minutes per game in that stretch, (32 mpg in 06-07). amare grabbed 17% of the rebounds while he was on the floor that year; last year, only 13%. amare is a better rebounder when he has more energy, naturally, which means we are getting a better player for 32 minutes instead of a more tired, energy consuming one over 36.
a game is 48 minutes long, so each position has 48 minutes allocated to it in a game. that means a total of 240 minutes:
TYSON: 28 mpg
STAT: 32 mpg
MELO: 37 mpg (melo's our hourse; career avg 36 mpg and we need to lean on him a little more this year with our offense)
FIELDS: 28 mpg (exactly what he did last year)
DOUGLAS: 33 mpg (what we got from billups post-trade at PG. granted they played together sometimes, but we are gonna lean on douglas too on offense, he needs to go over 30).
then we get to the bench:
JEFFRIES: 22 mpg (used strategically for defensive matchups; i think woodson's gonna find situations where by the end of the year we are gonna be cheering jeffries hustle)
SHUMPERT: 24 mpg (this is hypothetical; who knows what we'll get from iman. i have high hopes)
BIBBY: 20 mpg (what he averaged with the heat last year; don't really think he can play longer than that)
here is where it gets interesting, and where it'd be great to have shawne williams back. at this point there are 224 total minutes, so 16 more minutes on the bench. i assume it'll be between billy walker and shawne williams, with most of it going to williams (if he comes back). if he doesn't, do we give jerome jordan the green light for a few minutes a game? i hope we find out at some point this season what we have from jordan, he could be a huge help up front.
biggest question marks:
A) will d'antoni even go to 8 or 9 guys or is he truly insane?
B) what will we get from shumpert? and how soon?
C) does shawne wiliams come back? (will be answered this week)
D) will jerome jordan be a pleasant surprise up front?