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The 2016 Rebuild
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ItalianStallion
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3/20/2011  10:47 AM
I just wanted to get this thread started now. Some of this old news, but it deserves a thread.

1. Melo is not a substantial overall upgrade over Gallo. He scores more points, but to a large extent he scores more because he shoots more (some bad shots) and it results in a much lower efficiency and a minimal overall benefit.

2. Billups is not a substantial overall upgrade from Felton (at least not at age 34).

3. Because we also gave up Chandler we weakened our bench and defense enough that the overall short term benefit of the trade was minimal. If the Knicks were a 43-44 win team before the trade, they are a 47-48 win team now at best.

4. If the Knicks would have waited until next year, the gradual improvement by Gallo and Chandler would have made the team close to 47-48 win team next year anyway. Plus they still would have Randolph, Mozgov, and the draft picks for further developmental upside. They would also still have Eddy Curry's cap space to either resign Chandler and another player or to bring in a max player that actually fits and benefit the team a lot (like a C).

5. As things stand now, the team has fewer assets, much less developmental upside, and less cap space. Sure, players will be added next year and the team will get better, but this team has even more holes now than it did before the trade because the bench is weaker. The Knicks simply don't have the space and assets to fill all those holes now or ever because they have 2 max contract players that are not great all around players. One is a great scorer, the other is a volume scorer, and neither are very good defenders or more than average at many other things.

6. The upside for this team is a perennial playoff team that's good enough to potentially upset somebody good someday in the playoffs, but that will probably never get out of the second and will certainly NEVER win a championship.


When the team rebuilds again in 2016 can we at least show some patience this time and build with a blend of young players, draft picks, FAs, prudent use of cap space, smart trades etc... and stop giving away young talent and picks to get cap space faster for pipe dream signings or overpaid and overrated prima donnas. I'm tired of short term thinking.

AUTOADVERT
orangeblobman
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Nauru
3/20/2011  11:02 AM
The Knicks franchise doesn't have to show patience because it will sell out every game whether the Knicks win 20 games or 60 games, so from an ownership standpoint there is no incentive to be patient and build a good team. All they have to do is load up with star power and string the fans along for 4 or 5 years at a clip.

I agree with all your other points. Value, Gallinari beats Melo any day. Per dollar, Gallinari is a much better bucket dropper than Melo. Melo is a team cancer.

WE AIN'T NOWHERE WITH THIS BUM CHOKER IN CARMELO. GIVE ME STARKS'S 2-21 ANY DAY OVER THIS LACKLUSTER CLUSTEREFF.
misterearl
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3/20/2011  11:04 AM
ItalianStallion - From your keyboard to 2016 General Manager Allan Houston's eyes.

Unfortunately, after Amare ruptures his MCL in training camp next October, the Knicks lean heavier on making the next great rumored trade and buy him out.

Billups announces his retirement in December and moves back to Denver a happy man.

In February, with annual trade deadline rumors at a boiling point, Landry Fields and Toney Douglas are traded to the Lakers for Lamar Odom.

Amare returns two years later to win a championship ring with the Boston Celtics.

once a knick always a knick
OasisBU
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3/20/2011  11:10 AM
This thread is pretty sad.
"If at first you don't succeed, then maybe you just SUCK." Kenny Powers
Knixkik
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3/20/2011  11:12 AM
This whole Melo negativity is crazy. This team cannot be judged after a major trade, where we don't have time to restore depth. The fact is that teams have much more success building through acquire stars than acquiring draft picks. We have 2 stars now, let's see how we build around them before we think about 5 years from now.
Nalod
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3/20/2011  11:12 AM
It is sad indeed.

But its a story already done.

misterearl
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3/20/2011  11:17 AM
OasisBU wrote:This thread is pretty sad.

OasisBU - why don't you do your part to happy it up?

Don't let orangeblobman get you down. Darko Milicic was a team cancer. Carmelo is just getting acquainted with Mike D'Antoni, Captain Stat and the NYC media hounds.

once a knick always a knick
Knicksfan
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3/20/2011  11:31 AM
Im not the most optimistic fan out there, especially in terms of our coach, but this is a pretty short sighted and sad thread. Right now, since we are struggling, of course every player looks worse than the ones we traded, but that doesn't mean they are. I will be surprised if we keep seeing the same from Melo and Billups once the playoffs start, and much more if they keep struggling for next season.

Things are not going well, but this team is by no chance playing to its capability. So don't sell low, wait for the team to play like they really can. Will it be with this coach, that remains to be seen.

Knicks_Fan
orangeblobman
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Nauru
3/20/2011  11:33 AM
Knicksfan wrote:Im not the most optimistic fan out there, especially in terms of our coach, but this is a pretty short sighted and sad thread. Right now, since we are struggling, of course every player looks worse than the ones we traded, but that doesn't mean they are. I will be surprised if we keep seeing the same from Melo and Billups once the playoffs start, and much more if they keep struggling for next season.

Things are not going well, but this team is by no chance playing to its capability. So don't sell low, wait for the team to play like they really can. Will it be with this coach, that remains to be seen.

Considering all the factors in this situation, including Melo's half-developed personality and childish demeanor, I would say we're ****ed.

I have a feeling we'll be saying "but this team is by no chance playing to its capability. So don't sell low, wait for the team to play like they really can. Will it be with this coach, that remains to be seen." this for many years and through many coaches to come.

WE AIN'T NOWHERE WITH THIS BUM CHOKER IN CARMELO. GIVE ME STARKS'S 2-21 ANY DAY OVER THIS LACKLUSTER CLUSTEREFF.
JrZyHuStLa
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3/20/2011  11:39 AM
You would think that someone with over 20,000 posts would create a better thread.
Knicksfan
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3/20/2011  11:41 AM
^So the end of the world was really in 2011. Great!
Knicks_Fan
TRU
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3/20/2011  11:46 AM
Let it be known: I believe in the Knicks this year-- deep into the playoffs, I swear to you my brothers...
fishmike
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3/20/2011  1:54 PM
JrZyHuStLa wrote:You would think that someone with over 20,000 posts would create a better thread.

hahaha... pretty funny

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
MSG3
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3/20/2011  2:13 PM
I'm dissapointed with results since the Melo trade also, but some of the people here are nuts to give up on a team with 3 stars this early. And to say that Billups is not too much of an upgrade over Felton is not the case in my opinion. His bball IQ alone is an upgrade, not to mention his experience.

We started 3-8 this year. With the new team we are 7-7, and that includes 6 or 7 games without Billups. As long as we start showing more consistent EFFORT we'll be ok and won't have to wait until 2016 for a contender. I know it's hard, but patience is needed. We will be jsut fine.

CashMoney
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3/20/2011  2:24 PM
MSG3 wrote:I'm dissapointed with results since the Melo trade also, but some of the people here are nuts to give up on a team with 3 stars this early. And to say that Billups is not too much of an upgrade over Felton is not the case in my opinion. His bball IQ alone is an upgrade, not to mention his experience.

We started 3-8 this year. With the new team we are 7-7, and that includes 6 or 7 games without Billups. As long as we start showing more consistent EFFORT we'll be ok and won't have to wait until 2016 for a contender. I know it's hard, but patience is needed. We will be jsut fine.

It's funny how many were willing to be patient with Gallo and Chandler on the team but add Melo and all hope is gone.

Blue & Orange 4 Life!
rp
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3/20/2011  2:35 PM
CashMoney wrote:
MSG3 wrote:I'm dissapointed with results since the Melo trade also, but some of the people here are nuts to give up on a team with 3 stars this early. And to say that Billups is not too much of an upgrade over Felton is not the case in my opinion. His bball IQ alone is an upgrade, not to mention his experience.

We started 3-8 this year. With the new team we are 7-7, and that includes 6 or 7 games without Billups. As long as we start showing more consistent EFFORT we'll be ok and won't have to wait until 2016 for a contender. I know it's hard, but patience is needed. We will be jsut fine.

It's funny how many were willing to be patient with Gallo and Chandler on the team but add Melo and all hope is gone.

NY is not patient hence gallo/chandler gone and now the melo drama :)

"Failure is only postponed success as long as courage coaches ambition. The habit of persistence is the habit of victory" -Herbert Kaufman
misterearl
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3/20/2011  2:40 PM    LAST EDITED: 3/20/2011  2:41 PM
CashMoney wrote:
MSG3 wrote:I'm dissapointed with results since the Melo trade also, but some of the people here are nuts to give up on a team with 3 stars this early. And to say that Billups is not too much of an upgrade over Felton is not the case in my opinion. His bball IQ alone is an upgrade, not to mention his experience.

We started 3-8 this year. With the new team we are 7-7, and that includes 6 or 7 games without Billups. As long as we start showing more consistent EFFORT we'll be ok and won't have to wait until 2016 for a contender. I know it's hard, but patience is needed. We will be jsut fine.

It's funny how many were willing to be patient with Gallo and Chandler on the team but add Melo and all hope is gone.

CashMoney - not so funny. Consider that Gallo and Chandler are two yoots with their prime years ahead of them. We were watching them grow. Both continue to improve.

Carmelo Anthony, the prodigal All Star, is more set in his habits. The expectations are higher. So is the fall when those expectations are not met. When the results look suspect, as in losing to the Cavs and Pacers, people get suspicious.

A touch of buyers remorse is only human.

once a knick always a knick
TMS
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3/20/2011  3:01 PM
CashMoney wrote:
MSG3 wrote:I'm dissapointed with results since the Melo trade also, but some of the people here are nuts to give up on a team with 3 stars this early. And to say that Billups is not too much of an upgrade over Felton is not the case in my opinion. His bball IQ alone is an upgrade, not to mention his experience.

We started 3-8 this year. With the new team we are 7-7, and that includes 6 or 7 games without Billups. As long as we start showing more consistent EFFORT we'll be ok and won't have to wait until 2016 for a contender. I know it's hard, but patience is needed. We will be jsut fine.

It's funny how many were willing to be patient with Gallo and Chandler on the team but add Melo and all hope is gone.

it took the Miami Heat about 2 months before they fully hit their stride & that was with a full summer & training camp practicing together getting to learn the system & each other... Knick fans want instant results after 2 weeks & a couple practices.

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
ItalianStallion
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3/20/2011  3:07 PM    LAST EDITED: 3/20/2011  3:10 PM
The only reason this is sad is because it's the truth. It's a truth that many people spoke about and analyzed to death with cold hard facts and stats before the trade etc... Unfortunately the Knicks have an owner that's an imbecile and set of NY basketball beat writers that are totally clueless in evaluating NBA talent. They whip the Knicks fans into a frenzy about getting any player that scores a lot of points per game even if overall he's overrated and overpaid. Who are we going to get next Monta Ellis?
misterearl
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3/20/2011  4:20 PM
What NYKnicks fans want:

Harmony

Balance

Team Assists

Sincere effort

Manning up after tough losses

Poise in clutch situations

An emotional connection

Dee-fense

And a reason to get excited

once a knick always a knick
The 2016 Rebuild

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