From Knickerblogger:
For stat-heads, they’ll want to shake their heads at this D’Antoni quote, and Hahn’s miss on the analysis of it.
But D’Antoni sees the three as “an awesome weapon” and explained the mathematics in how shooting just 33 percent from three is equal to 50 percent from two. But what happens when you shoot zero percent from three and all of those long rebounds turn into momentum-changing transition baskets for the team you were once clobbering by 21 points in a dead arena?
First, I find it interesting that some analysts will talk about how three pointers are more likely to be recovered by the offense, while Hahn posits that they are more likely to turn into fast break points. So anti-number-ites, is a missed three point shot good for the offense or defense? Second he missed the obvious, which is that a two pointer is more likely to result in a trip to the free throw line, hence the 50%/33% analogy doesn’t hold. Three pointers are beneficial to an offense, but only at a rate higher than 33% since they are unlikely to come with some free throws. I wonder what D’Antoni would say if asked that specifically?
http://knickerblogger.net/some-sunday-linkage/
