well i guess it come down to which scenerio benefits the athletes and their options:
lebron: ( realistic options- cleveland, ny and miami)- i personally think he will choose between ny and cleveland. it is now 50-50 whereas 48 hours ago it was only 25-75. miami would be an option only because of the lure of playing with wade however it will be wade's city if he choose to stay and bron wouldnt accept that. i dont think it matters if cleveland wins a title or not whether he is staying or going. i think he made up his mind either way and jamison, tho a good move, shouldnt impact because it isnt a longevity plan like amare would have been. cleveland took a big risk because they have no cap room either now with this trade.
wade: ( realistic options- miami, chicago and ny)- another scenario wheras 48 hours ago, ny wasnt even a factor for coming to ny. with the cap room, he is definately in the conversation now. i still say that miami is the frontrunner and most likely sign with them. if not, i can see him going to chi-town however he will always be living in the shadow of his airness. ny is a viable option IF we get bosh or lebron. i cant see him signing with any other options except maybe nowitski. i would say 40-60 chance.
bosh: ( realistic options- ny, chicago and miami)- i think it is a foregone conclusion that bosh is the upper tier free agent that WILL leave his current team but he has MANY options. again, the last 48 hours up the ante of getting him and its a more realistic option. before ny was distant, i think we are neck and neck with chi-town and miami. chicago has the best role players so that is an advantage and if miami resigns wade, that is huge. i would say 33% because it is even keel with the other two teams.
stoudamire: ( realistic option- ny, miami, phoenix, dallas)- not trading stoudamire will give him more options in the free agent market and i think he will lean towards being the second fiddle to someone else like wade so getting two max spaces will benefit. however, there is caution to sign him because of his injuries. nevertheless he will bolster this frontcourt decisively. i would say 40%.
joe johnson: ( realistic option- atlanta, ny, chicago, miami)- jo jo is the highest of the second tier players and i think the reason he is second tier is because he isnt characmatic as the upper echelon players. however, his playing skills is that of a upper tier player. consistency and the assassin mentality is what is missing here. he is a very good robin towards a batman but he can not take over games by himself consistently. out of everyone on this list, he is probably the most accessible and we can get him but will the fanbase be happy? i would say 70 %.
dirk diggler- ( realistic option- dallas, ny, miami) i am shocked no one mentioned him but he is also in play especially if dallas flounders. the trade could make them competitive again but with the lakers dominant he might want to try to go out east. cuban will do everything in his power to keep him but we dont know what exactly he really wants. dirk is entering his prime and he wants to win. the appeal to play on the big market with anither marque player might be very enticing. i would give this a 50%.