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Scoring efficiency and the Curry lovers
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JohnWallace44
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6/5/2009  10:12 AM
I've been begging the Curry lovers to come up with some actual evidence you can point to that backs up your claim that he's the best pick the Knicks can make and nobody has said anything other than he's got heart. Well, I did your homework for you. You can thank me later.


Deron Williams is one of the players that I would like to see more than any other on the Knicks. He is 6'3" and over 200 pounds at the point. He leads them to wins because of his size and the way he plays allows him to score efficiently because he gets to the line a lot.

Last season Deron took 984 shots and went to the line 384 times, scoring at a 19.4 ppg clip (1322 total). That's not even taking into consideration the way he runs the offense.

Deron Williams - 1.34 points per shot attempt
J Crawford - 1.25 ppsa for reference - we know his style of play
Kobe - 1.29 ppsa
Ben Gordon - 1.29 ppsa
Joe Johnson - 1.19
Nash - 1.36
CP3 - 1.42
Nate - 1.24
DRose - 1.13

Stephon Curry, in low level college took 687 shots last year and got to the line 220 times. He scored 974 points.

Stephon Curry - 1.41 points per shot attempt (1.28 ppsa vs Duke/WVA/OKU)
Jrue Holiday - 1.19 ppsa
Tyreke Evans - 1.25
Flynn - 1.39
Maynor - 1.42
Lawson - 1.70
Derozan - 1.32
Rubio - 1.35 (Euroleague 07-08)
Collison - 1.47
Meeks - 1.50
Jennings - 1.32 (Euroleague 08-09)
Westbrook - 1.29 (UCLA 2008)

I looked this up expecting to see that Evans and Holiday score at a much more efficient clip than Curry. That's not the case. It does bring Meeks' low projection into question even more and makes Flynn look great considering the competition.

Looking at these stats I need to go back to the film room and look at some more Holiday and Evans games. Curry is scoring those points against poor competition and I've pointed out his less than stellar efficiency against the Duke, West Virginia, and Oklahoma. However the low numbers of Holiday and Evans are concerning.
Alan Hahn: Nate Robinson has been on a ridonkulous scoring tear lately (remember when he couldn't hit Jerome James with a Big Mac in early January?)
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MS
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6/5/2009  10:32 AM
I think it is a little different when the entire team is keying on you on the defensive end not to mention when you have to carry the load every night. He didn't have the talent around him.

kam77
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6/5/2009  10:34 AM
who took the most free throws?
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Cosmic
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6/5/2009  10:36 AM
I wish you had included shooting percentages from last season so I looked them up- rounded all down for ease.

Its... FG/FG3/FT Percentages.

Deron Williams - 47/31/84
J Crawford - 41/36/87
Kobe - 46/35/85
Ben Gordon - 45/41/86
Joe Johnson - 43/36/82
Nash - 50/43/93
CP3 - 50/36/86
Nate - 43/32/84
DRose - 47/22/78

========================

Stephon Curry - 45/38/87
Jrue Holiday - 45/30/72
Tyreke Evans - 45/27/71
Flynn - 46/31/78
Maynor - 46/36/81
Lawson - 53/47/79
Derozan - 52/16/64
Rubio - 39/41/80 (Spain - 25 Games)
...... - 35/16/78 (Spain Olympics - 8 Games)
...... - 28/33/62 (Spain EuroLeague - 5 Games)
Collison - 50/39/89
Meeks - 46/40/90
Jennings - 45/26/77 (Italy - EuroLeague - 16 Games)
...... - 47/20/64 (Italy - 27 Games)
Westbrook - 43/35/83
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Cosmic
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6/5/2009  10:37 AM
Posted by kam77:

who took the most free throws?

F-Me...I should had done that when I was doing all this. Crap. Maybe later or someone else wants to do this.
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nyk4ever
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6/5/2009  10:45 AM
JW, I think people got tired of providing you with evidence, since anytime someone did you just disregarded it.

I'm not trying to be a douche when I say that, but to me, that's the way it appeared.

[Edited by - nyk4ever on 06-05-2009 11:08 AM]
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Vmart
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6/5/2009  10:50 AM
Posted by JohnWallace44:

I've been begging the Curry lovers to come up with some actual evidence you can point to that backs up your claim that he's the best pick the Knicks can make and nobody has said anything other than he's got heart. Well, I did your homework for you. You can thank me later.


Deron Williams is one of the players that I would like to see more than any other on the Knicks. He is 6'3" and over 200 pounds at the point. He leads them to wins because of his size and the way he plays allows him to score efficiently because he gets to the line a lot.

Last season Deron took 984 shots and went to the line 384 times, scoring at a 19.4 ppg clip (1322 total). That's not even taking into consideration the way he runs the offense.

Deron Williams - 1.34 points per shot attempt
J Crawford - 1.25 ppsa for reference - we know his style of play
Kobe - 1.29 ppsa
Ben Gordon - 1.29 ppsa
Joe Johnson - 1.19
Nash - 1.36
CP3 - 1.42
Nate - 1.24
DRose - 1.13

Stephon Curry, in low level college took 687 shots last year and got to the line 220 times. He scored 974 points.

Stephon Curry - 1.41 points per shot attempt (1.28 ppsa vs Duke/WVA/OKU)
Jrue Holiday - 1.19 ppsa
Tyreke Evans - 1.25
Flynn - 1.39
Maynor - 1.42
Lawson - 1.70
Derozan - 1.32
Rubio - 1.35 (Euroleague 07-08)
Collison - 1.47
Meeks - 1.50
Jennings - 1.32 (Euroleague 08-09)
Westbrook - 1.29 (UCLA 2008)

I looked this up expecting to see that Evans and Holiday score at a much more efficient clip than Curry. That's not the case. It does bring Meeks' low projection into question even more and makes Flynn look great considering the competition.

Looking at these stats I need to go back to the film room and look at some more Holiday and Evans games. Curry is scoring those points against poor competition and I've pointed out his less than stellar efficiency against the Duke, West Virginia, and Oklahoma. However the low numbers of Holiday and Evans are concerning.

You have nothing to worry about JW44. Curry won't even be there whenthe Knicks pick. Like I said in a another post he will be gone anywhere from 3-6. He is to good of a talent to fall past 6.

Cosmic
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6/5/2009  10:58 AM
FTMs-FTAs


Deron Williams - 326-384
J Crawford - 300-344
Kobe - 483-564
Ben Gordon - 330-382
Joe Johnson - 299-362
Nash - 196-210
CP3 - 455-524
Nate - 249-296
DRose - 197-250

========================

Stephon Curry - 220-251
Jrue Holiday - 45-62
Tyreke Evans - 138-194
Flynn - 180-229
Maynor - 198-243
Lawson - 166-208
Derozan - 95-147
Rubio - 83-103 (Spain - 25 Games)
...... - 18-23 (Spain Olympics - 8 Games)
...... - 5-8 (Spain EuroLeague - 5 Games)
Collison - 113-126
Meeks - 211-234
Jennings - 24-31 (Italy - EuroLeague - 16 Games)
...... - 20-31 (Italy - 27 Games)
Westbrook - 95-114
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JohnWallace44
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6/5/2009  11:10 AM
before the draft, Hollinger usually comes out with a more comprehensive run down of all the potential draftees

This is my poor attempt at the same thing. I really thought Curry would come up with lesser numbers than Holiday or Evans. Its a head scratcher.

Flynn and Lawson's numbers are impressive when you think about how they ran their offenses at the same time. I had to check Lawson's three times to make sure it was right.

NYK4ever, I must have missed the stat filled posts on the Curry/Griffo sides. All I ever see are posts exaggerating Griffin's size, comparing him to Malone, or talking about Curry's passing ability without statistical backup.
Alan Hahn: Nate Robinson has been on a ridonkulous scoring tear lately (remember when he couldn't hit Jerome James with a Big Mac in early January?)
Bippity10
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6/5/2009  11:11 AM
These numbers do nothing to explain what actually went on with curry. This guy was literally the sole focus of other teams yet he still put up great point and assist numbers. One team actually double teamed him on every trip, even when he didn't have the ball. I don't know if it will translate at the NBA level but curry clearly proved himself at the college level enough where we shouldn't be analyzing his college numbers. I'm more concerned about strength, size and can he run the point.

[Edited by - bippity10 on 05-06-2009 11:13 AM]
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nyk4ever
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6/5/2009  11:15 AM
Posted by JohnWallace44:

before the draft, Hollinger usually comes out with a more comprehensive run down of all the potential draftees

This is my poor attempt at the same thing. I really thought Curry would come up with lesser numbers than Holiday or Evans. Its a head scratcher.

Flynn and Lawson's numbers are impressive when you think about how they ran their offenses at the same time. I had to check Lawson's three times to make sure it was right.

NYK4ever, I must have missed the stat filled posts on the Curry/Griffo sides. All I ever see are posts exaggerating Griffin's size, comparing him to Malone, or talking about Curry's passing ability without statistical backup.

Hey, you won't get an argument from me about Griffen, like I said in another thread, I'm on your side with that argument.
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JohnWallace44
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6/5/2009  11:26 AM
Posted by Bippity10:

These numbers do nothing to explain what actually went on with curry. This guy was literally the sole focus of other teams yet he still put up great point and assist numbers. One team actually double teamed him on every trip, even when he didn't have the ball. I don't know if it will translate at the NBA level but curry clearly proved himself at the college level enough where we shouldn't be analyzing his college numbers. I'm more concerned about strength, size and can he run the point.

[Edited by - bippity10 on 05-06-2009 11:13 AM]

Bip, I wanted it to be yet another anti-Curry post, but his numbers are actually pretty good. I think this is a fair comparison though as far as the numbers go. As I've stated before, there is just as much attention payed and better defenders paying it on guys like Meeks, Maynor, Mills... all the lead guards that are scoring half the points on their teams are getting plenty of attention to call this a fair analysis. Holiday's number is most distressing because he didn't have to force shots. I'd have to argue that he was playing out of position to reconcile his numbers, and I don't think that makes up for the differential.
Alan Hahn: Nate Robinson has been on a ridonkulous scoring tear lately (remember when he couldn't hit Jerome James with a Big Mac in early January?)
Cosmic
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6/5/2009  11:33 AM
Posted by JohnWallace44:
Lawson's numbers are impressive when you think about how they ran their offenses at the same time. I had to check Lawson's three times to make sure it was right.

I was surprised at his numbers as well across the board.

I also agree that numbers are not everything because in college there is a wide expanse of different opponents.

Yet, talking of numbers......

I was alarmed at how low Rubio and Jennings numbers are. I don't like that. I would stay away.

I am also really looking at 3pt shooting potential given it will be a staple of our team's offense for the forseeable future so that alone drops a number of prospects off the list IMO.

Joe Johnson's numbers surprise me I thought he was better than that but apparently not. The idea of acquiring him in 2010 if the big names are off the FA list might not be as good as once thought.
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firefly
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6/5/2009  11:40 AM
JW, I was struck by the amount of FT's Jrue Holiday attempted compared to the rest of the PG field. For a guy you want to come inside and be a physical presence, his FT attempted number must be giving you pause for thought.
Stephon Curry - 220-251
Jrue Holiday - 45-62
Tyreke Evans - 138-194
Flynn - 180-229
Maynor - 198-243
Lawson - 166-208
Derozan - 95-147
Rubio - 83-103 (Spain - 25 Games)
...... - 18-23 (Spain Olympics - 8 Games)
...... - 5-8 (Spain EuroLeague - 5 Games)
Collison - 113-126
Meeks - 211-234
Jennings - 24-31 (Italy - EuroLeague - 16 Games)
...... - 20-31 (Italy - 27 Games)
Westbrook - 95-114

Holiday attempted a quarter of Currys makes. Doesnt show him to be very interested in contact, to me.
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loweyecue
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6/5/2009  11:53 AM
I dont like Carolina players in general but based on the stats you guys presented Lawson seems to be better than Curry and Rubio? And this kid can play ball.
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JohnWallace44
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6/5/2009  12:19 PM
Posted by firefly:

JW, I was struck by the amount of FT's Jrue Holiday attempted compared to the rest of the PG field. For a guy you want to come inside and be a physical presence, his FT attempted number must be giving you pause for thought.
Stephon Curry - 220-251
Jrue Holiday - 45-62
Tyreke Evans - 138-194
Flynn - 180-229
Maynor - 198-243
Lawson - 166-208
Derozan - 95-147
Rubio - 83-103 (Spain - 25 Games)
...... - 18-23 (Spain Olympics - 8 Games)
...... - 5-8 (Spain EuroLeague - 5 Games)
Collison - 113-126
Meeks - 211-234
Jennings - 24-31 (Italy - EuroLeague - 16 Games)
...... - 20-31 (Italy - 27 Games)
Westbrook - 95-114

Holiday attempted a quarter of Currys makes. Doesnt show him to be very interested in contact, to me.

Ultimately my arguments are based on two things...
1 - the size advantage that Holiday, Evans, Derozan have would make us more competitive on defense against guys like Harris, Pierce, Allen, Rondo, Miller, Vince, etc. I don't see Curry helping us out there.

2 - The size also should come into play on offense in terms of scoring efficiency because the LeBron/Wade/Kobe's are scoring in bunches at MSG by getting to the line, not by hitting jumpers.

Holiday continues to be a complete projection because he was misused by UCLA. His numbers are concerning though.

Looking at these numbers that we've pulled in this thread, it gives me a better feeling about Derozan, Flynn and Meeks.

Drafting Derozan is looking more and more like the way to go from my perspective. That would give you upside and value on the top of the draft. And then if we can pick up a late selection from Minny, Memphis or Portland and pick up Beaubois (1.37 ppsa) late you'd be utilizing the extraordinary point guard depth in the draft as well.

Beaubois/Duhon
Derozan/Hughes
Chandler
Gallo/Al Jr
Darko/Jeffries

With a Memphis trade we could end up with a team like this. Beaubois could be Collison or Lawson as well if you prefer.

I like this plan the more that I think about it. You could pull value from the top and bottom of the draft.

Hopefully Derozan drops to us.
Alan Hahn: Nate Robinson has been on a ridonkulous scoring tear lately (remember when he couldn't hit Jerome James with a Big Mac in early January?)
Vmart
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6/5/2009  12:30 PM
Posted by JohnWallace44:
Posted by firefly:

JW, I was struck by the amount of FT's Jrue Holiday attempted compared to the rest of the PG field. For a guy you want to come inside and be a physical presence, his FT attempted number must be giving you pause for thought.
Stephon Curry - 220-251
Jrue Holiday - 45-62
Tyreke Evans - 138-194
Flynn - 180-229
Maynor - 198-243
Lawson - 166-208
Derozan - 95-147
Rubio - 83-103 (Spain - 25 Games)
...... - 18-23 (Spain Olympics - 8 Games)
...... - 5-8 (Spain EuroLeague - 5 Games)
Collison - 113-126
Meeks - 211-234
Jennings - 24-31 (Italy - EuroLeague - 16 Games)
...... - 20-31 (Italy - 27 Games)
Westbrook - 95-114

Holiday attempted a quarter of Currys makes. Doesnt show him to be very interested in contact, to me.

Ultimately my arguments are based on two things...
1 - the size advantage that Holiday, Evans, Derozan have would make us more competitive on defense against guys like Harris, Pierce, Allen, Rondo, Miller, Vince, etc. I don't see Curry helping us out there.

2 - The size also should come into play on offense in terms of scoring efficiency because the LeBron/Wade/Kobe's are scoring in bunches at MSG by getting to the line, not by hitting jumpers.

Holiday continues to be a complete projection because he was misused by UCLA. His numbers are concerning though.

Looking at these numbers that we've pulled in this thread, it gives me a better feeling about Derozan, Flynn and Meeks.

Drafting Derozan is looking more and more like the way to go from my perspective. That would give you upside and value on the top of the draft. And then if we can pick up a late selection from Minny, Memphis or Portland and pick up Beaubois (1.37 ppsa) late you'd be utilizing the extraordinary point guard depth in the draft as well.

Beaubois/Duhon
Derozan/Hughes
Chandler
Gallo/Al Jr
Darko/Jeffries

With a Memphis trade we could end up with a team like this. Beaubois could be Collison or Lawson as well if you prefer.

I like this plan the more that I think about it. You could pull value from the top and bottom of the draft.

Hopefully Derozan drops to us.

That is a pretty good plan but I like this plan better if it were to happen. Lets say the Memphis trade does happen and the Knicks are able to get another pick and darko. Knicks select if he were there Curry at 8. With the Memphis pick they select Taj Gibson. Now the KNicks look like this.

Curry/Duhon pg
Chandler/hughes sg
Darko/Curry C
Gallo/Harrington sf
Gibson/JJ pf

daddynel
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6/5/2009  12:44 PM

Don't have the exact numbers, but I know collison got the bulk of the mins. Over the freshman holliday
JohnWallace44
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6/5/2009  12:47 PM
That is a pretty good plan but I like this plan better if it were to happen. Lets say the Memphis trade does happen and the
Knicks are able to get another pick and darko. Knicks select if he were there Curry at 8. With the Memphis pick they select Taj Gibson. Now the KNicks look like this.

Curry/Duhon pg
Chandler/hughes sg
Darko/Curry C
Gallo/Harrington sf
Gibson/JJ pf

To me, that's exactly what I wouldn't do.

Curry... great. I don't see how that moves the needle for the Knicks in terms of size, defense, and even offense when you consider he's replacing Nate.

Gibson... yawn. Again, he helps a little on defense, but can he do all of the other things that Lee did?

Match that team up against the Nets/Celts/Sixers and we're getting beat at every position.

Derozan changes that equation and you pick the best PG available late and hope to catch lightning in a bottle like the Celts did with Rondo.
Alan Hahn: Nate Robinson has been on a ridonkulous scoring tear lately (remember when he couldn't hit Jerome James with a Big Mac in early January?)
Cosmic
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6/5/2009  12:49 PM
Posted by daddynel:


Don't have the exact numbers, but I know collison got the bulk of the mins. Over the freshman holliday

For the future.... college players lookup

Collison - 31.5MPG
Holiday - 27.1MPG
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Scoring efficiency and the Curry lovers

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