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Let's get Real and Stop With The Silly Fantasy Deals, The ETA For A Knicks Return to The Playoffs Is 2011
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misterearl
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5/24/2009  6:20 PM
When you watch and analyze the quality of the teams competing in the NBA's verion of the Final Four some things become crystal clear. There are no quick fixes and the Knicks are a few steps away from getting to the next. There is no sequence of immediate transactions that will transform the 2009 Knicks and every single NBA GM knows this, Donnie Walsh knows this, David Stern knows this and even the Dolans know this.

Building via a major upgrade in talent requires patience and a bit of serendipity. And no purple012870, you can''t "buy" draft picks because no one is selling draft picks in this post-Bush depressed economy.

2011 is the most reasonable expectation for a return to respectability, and the playoffs, because 2011 is:

- The year the current interim roster dreck is finally cleared away

- The year 2010 first round draft selection Donatas Motiejunas of Lithuania starts his rookie season

- The year Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari, pending good fortune and good health, become a compatible and trusted tandem

- The year the Knicks 2009 first round draft pick returns with a year of experience under his belt

- The year of the first significant free agent signing by NYK General Manager Chris Mullin

- The projected completion of The Madison Square Garden renovation and a marketable and profitable basketball operation is mandatory

You heard it here first
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sebstar
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5/24/2009  6:25 PM
I dunno. In the NBA players, individually, impact success so greatly that teams are just a trade or two from dramatic improvement. The Celtics are the most obvious example.
My saliva and spit can split thread into fiber and bits/ So trust me I'm as live as it gets. --Royce Da 5'9 + DJ Premier = Hip Hop Utopia
misterearl
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5/24/2009  6:34 PM
sebstar -I hear what you are saying and I'm not ruling out catching magic in a bottle in a Donnie Walsh Surprise... but remember the celtics had a willing trade partner from inside the family in Kevin McHale.

By the same token, as as people offer up rumors of rumors, remember this...

the Knicks are not brimming with players that other teams covet. That is just a reality. And no, David Lee is NOT a franchise cornerstone. I don't care who your favorite team is. David Lee is a nice piece, but not one NBA team has David Lee pegged as a difference-maker that will significantly elevate the skill-set of a current NBA roster. Not one.

Nate? C'mon. I just don't see any compelling reason for another NBA GM to be blowing up Donnie Walsh's cel phone.

It ain't that easy

once a knick always a knick
orangeblobman
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5/24/2009  7:03 PM
Posted by misterearl:

sebstar -I hear what you are saying and I'm not ruling out catching magic in a bottle in a Donnie Walsh Surprise... but remember the celtics had a willing trade partner from inside the family in Kevin McHale.

By the same token, as as people offer up rumors of rumors, remember this...

the Knicks are not brimming with players that other teams covet. That is just a reality. And no, David Lee is NOT a franchise cornerstone. I don't care who your favorite team is. David Lee is a nice piece, but not one NBA team has David Lee pegged as a difference-maker that will significantly elevate the skill-set of a current NBA roster. Not one.

Nate? C'mon. I just don't see any compelling reason for another NBA GM to be blowing up Donnie Walsh's cel phone.

It ain't that easy

our players are not the most coveted, but another thing that plays into the equation is the other team's circumstances-- which include, like, money, uh..and stuff. you know what i mean though. so through some combination of variables it is still possible that donnie pulls off a doozy.
WE AIN'T NOWHERE WITH THIS BUM CHOKER IN CARMELO. GIVE ME STARKS'S 2-21 ANY DAY OVER THIS LACKLUSTER CLUSTEREFF.
misterearl
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5/24/2009  7:25 PM
orangeblobman - money, uh..and stuff would be considered a more valid variable before the economy starting to slide. In the final accounting, or valid rationale for any transaction, the most important variable is still, and will always be, talent.

Talent is what makes the league go round.

Teams that employ sidegrades or downgrades as a strategy for gaining flexibility are still in hot pursuit of the most valuable commodity.

Talent.

Teams that seek to create salary cap space are only clearing that space for one thing.

Talent.

Teams that we are watching in some of the most compelling Conference Finals in recent memory have one thing in common

Superior Talent



once a knick always a knick
franco12
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5/24/2009  9:26 PM
Posted by misterearl:

When you watch and analyze the quality of the teams competing in the NBA's verion of the Final Four some things become crystal clear. There are no quick fixes and the Knicks are a few steps away from getting to the next. There is no sequence of immediate transactions that will transform the 2009 Knicks and every single NBA GM knows this, Donnie Walsh knows this, David Stern knows this and even the Dolans know this.

Building via a major upgrade in talent requires patience and a bit of serendipity. And no purple012870, you can''t "buy" draft picks because no one is selling draft picks in this post-Bush depressed economy.

2011 is the most reasonable expectation for a return to respectability, and the playoffs, because 2011 is:

- The year the current interim roster dreck is finally cleared away

- The year 2010 first round draft selection Donatas Motiejunas of Lithuania starts his rookie season

- The year Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari, pending good fortune and good health, become a compatible and trusted tandem

- The year the Knicks 2009 first round draft pick returns with a year of experience under his belt

- The year of the first significant free agent signing by NYK General Manager Chris Mullin

- The projected completion of The Madison Square Garden renovation and a marketable and profitable basketball operation is mandatory

You heard it here first

No- actually, I posted this exact topic two weeks ago:

http://www.ultimateknicks.com/forum/topic.asp?t=31044
misterearl
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5/24/2009  10:04 PM
franco12 - nice try. But no dice.

You referenced a five year plan in your initial post with 2010 as year one. That makes your ETA 2015-16. My ETA is 2011. Besides, I can't go for that long a wait.

franco12 - "...the issue I have with Walsh - and I'm a broken record with this - is the Crawford trade. I don't understand how he couldn't have gotten back a future first round pick from a play off bound team & filler for Crawford."

One more thing franco12, I'm also not one for second guessing consummated trades with alternate assumptions that something better was available. Either you have an NBA GM on speed dial that can verify your claim as fact or you are reading WAY too much on RealGM Juicy Rumors Of The Day. If you have something to offer that validates that Jamal would beget a first rounder I'm all for reading about it in your footnotes. Otherwise, it's just imaginary trading card silliness.


put down the trade checker and step away from the vehicle.
once a knick always a knick
franco12
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5/25/2009  7:01 AM
Posted by misterearl:

franco12 - nice try. But no dice.

You referenced a five year plan in your initial post with 2010 as year one. That makes your ETA 2015-16. My ETA is 2011. Besides, I can't go for that long a wait.

franco12 - "...the issue I have with Walsh - and I'm a broken record with this - is the Crawford trade. I don't understand how he couldn't have gotten back a future first round pick from a play off bound team & filler for Crawford."

One more thing franco12, I'm also not one for second guessing consummated trades with alternate assumptions that something better was available. Either you have an NBA GM on speed dial that can verify your claim as fact or you are reading WAY too much on RealGM Juicy Rumors Of The Day. If you have something to offer that validates that Jamal would beget a first rounder I'm all for reading about it in your footnotes. Otherwise, it's just imaginary trading card silliness.


put down the trade checker and step away from the vehicle.

Well- I think you are fairly optimistic to think we can get to the play offs in 2011. But maybe we can get there then. I think the point we have in common is this thinking that things are going to turn around quickly. I think we are a ways out.


And on the trade with Jamal- there is nothing I know that indicates there was another trade for Jamal. Its just an assumption that Walsh took a deal that freed up cap room and kept us competitive over any other deals that might have brought us a first rounder and not as much talent as a player like Harrington.

And its this win now at all costs mentality that I think is still present and will present us from a true rebuilding.
misterearl
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5/25/2009  9:21 AM
Fact: Honeymoons last only a week at best. Then you gotta get real.

franco12 - I feel you but remember one simple, stone cold, irreversible and indisputable set of facts...

Time waits for no one and this is New York

There is no such thing as "true rebuilding", rebuilding on the fly, "The hook up", partial rebuilding, overhauling the transmission (which is a total lie) or an Extreme Home Makeover - which we all know is nothing but a television show.

There is no such thing as a five year plan in New York. Never has been, never will be.

Unless you can cite a precedent with our beloved franchise, you are superimposing your innocent Walt Disney-like version of selective imagination on a franchise that is in a constant battle with its detractors, frustrated fan base, competitors and the blood-thirsty media whose job it is to sell the sensational.

In New York you win or you lose. Period.

You win in New York and almost everyone is in love with you. You lose in New York and you need to be fired immediately. There is no five year acceptance for losing and Donnie Walsh is already on the clock.

If the Knicks are NOT in the Playoffs by 2011, with each of the factors cited in my initial post in play, it won't matter one iota what Donnie Walsh did in Denver, Indiana or that he was born in New York - the cacophony for his dismissal will be deafening.

The course of action has been put in motion. The fix is in. There is no turning back. Walsh's Plan, for better or worse is not defined by arbitrary labels or personal assumptions, but by the laws of the universe. These laws include the Law of the Innate Perversity of Inanimate Objects which states,

"the toast will always hit the floor jelly side down"



once a knick always a knick
Papabear
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5/25/2009  9:44 AM
Posted by franco12:
Posted by misterearl:

franco12 - nice try. But no dice.

You referenced a five year plan in your initial post with 2010 as year one. That makes your ETA 2015-16. My ETA is 2011. Besides, I can't go for that long a wait.

franco12 - "...the issue I have with Walsh - and I'm a broken record with this - is the Crawford trade. I don't understand how he couldn't have gotten back a future first round pick from a play off bound team & filler for Crawford."

One more thing franco12, I'm also not one for second guessing consummated trades with alternate assumptions that something better was available. Either you have an NBA GM on speed dial that can verify your claim as fact or you are reading WAY too much on RealGM Juicy Rumors Of The Day. If you have something to offer that validates that Jamal would beget a first rounder I'm all for reading about it in your footnotes. Otherwise, it's just imaginary trading card silliness.


put down the trade checker and step away from the vehicle.

Well- I think you are fairly optimistic to think we can get to the play offs in 2011. But maybe we can get there then. I think the point we have in common is this thinking that things are going to turn around quickly. I think we are a ways out.


And on the trade with Jamal- there is nothing I know that indicates there was another trade for Jamal. Its just an assumption that Walsh took a deal that freed up cap room and kept us competitive over any other deals that might have brought us a first rounder and not as much talent as a player like Harrington.

And its this win now at all costs mentality that I think is still present and will present us from a true rebuilding.

Papabear Says
So far everything that has been analyzed on this site for success has always fell short. Now we are projection by 2011 we will be a good team. Not with out 2 franchise players in good health. Cleveland is about to burn Lebron out.

Papabear
misterearl
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5/25/2009  12:31 PM
Papabear - you funny.

Although there are billions of opinions expressed, much of it does not qualify as analysis, including mine. We are fans who primarily want our team to be better than the other guys team. We are blinded by our passion and confused by our myopia.

As of today The NYKnicks are the oldest expansion franchise in the league.

There are no guarantees that by 2011 any of the current players will be left wearing New York on their chests, there is no grand prize for guessing correct on a player transaction before it happens and no, Lebron James ain't comin'...

it's like that and that's the way it is
once a knick always a knick
Let's get Real and Stop With The Silly Fantasy Deals, The ETA For A Knicks Return to The Playoffs Is 2011

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