[ IMAGES: Images ON turn off | ACCOUNT: User Status is LOCKED why? ]

What really scares me right now more than anything else about this Knicks team...
Author Thread
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  7:59 AM
is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
AUTOADVERT
Cosmic
Posts: 26570
Alba Posts: 27
Joined: 3/17/2006
Member: #1115
USA
1/15/2009  8:28 AM
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.

I wouldn't look anything into it. Every one of the past few four losing seasons we have been within 2-3 games of 8th up until February twice and into March twice.
http://popcornmachine.net/ A must-use tool for NBA stat junkies!
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  8:46 AM
what worries me is this guy:



how much pressure is he gonna put on Donnie to make moves to get this team into the playoffs if they're still in the race at the trade deadline? i'm inclined to believe Walsh is gonna stick to his plan no matter what but i hope he doesn't prove me wrong.
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
fishmike
Posts: 53902
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
1/15/2009  8:50 AM
Posted by TMS:

what worries me is this guy:



how much pressure is he gonna put on Donnie to make moves to get this team into the playoffs if they're still in the race at the trade deadline? i'm inclined to believe Walsh is gonna stick to his plan no matter what but i hope he doesn't prove me wrong.
Nalod?
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  8:53 AM
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by TMS:

what worries me is this guy:



how much pressure is he gonna put on Donnie to make moves to get this team into the playoffs if they're still in the race at the trade deadline? i'm inclined to believe Walsh is gonna stick to his plan no matter what but i hope he doesn't prove me wrong.
Nalod?

exactly.

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
Cosmic
Posts: 26570
Alba Posts: 27
Joined: 3/17/2006
Member: #1115
USA
1/15/2009  10:01 AM
He won't.

Donnie already sold him on the rebuild you can bet on that.

We're not going to turn around and screw up our 2010 plans just so we can try to get to the playoffs, with no guarantee that we can, let alone do anything good there other than get destroyed.

I wouldn't worry about it and again we've always been a few games out of 8th even as bad as we've been for years now. You're not really as close as it seems because you don't just have to win 3 games with the 8th seed losing 3 games to tie them - the other teams ahead of us can't in any way go on win streaks either. So you're not battling the team in 8th you're battling a whole handful of teams at the same time. So you might catch the 8th seed (not likely, philly has won 5 straight now) but then the team ahead of you might out pace you and then you're trailing them....and so on and so forth.

To make the playoffs this team would probably have to go for 38, 39, or even 40 wins. Think we'll go 23-22 to 25-20? 'cause that's what it will take. It's possible as minus the 6 game losing streak we're 15-16 yet it's nothing I'd count on.

Just look at the past few seasons - I wish I could find a day-by-day NBA Standings Archive to illustrate this - but each season no matter how bad we were we were always within 2-3 games until one of the infamous skids (4-14 in march/april to end 2 season ago, 2-22 under Larry after the 6 game win streak, etc...) so it seems oh so close but it's...not.

http://popcornmachine.net/ A must-use tool for NBA stat junkies!
LivingLegend
Posts: 26564
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 8/13/2007
Member: #1645

1/15/2009  10:08 AM
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.

I think the decision between tanking and trying to get to the playoffs is a bit more difficult than you indicate.

If the season ended today we are sitting in the #11 position with a very small % chance to jump up into the top 3. Sure it could happen (see the Bulls last year) but probably not. If we make the playoffs as a #8 seed we'd probably be looking at a pick in the #15 - #17 range. So we are potentially looking at a difference between the #11 position and say the #16 position (or 5 draft slots).

Making the playoffs could have some long term residual value. One it will give some of our young guys the playoff experience, 2 it could reinforce the notion that D'Antoni and Walsh have us heading in the right direction. 3 it could make us look a bit better to players considering NY as a destination in 2010. What if we got into the playoffs and stole a 1st round victory and squeezed 2 rounds out of it. That would be very good experience for this team and leave a great taste in everyones mouth over the summer.

Losing only begets more losing. There are no franchise type players sitting in this draft right now - as a matter of opinion it looks very weak right now.

I love the notion of the lottery balls falling our way but that is just like playing the pick-6 and thinking your going to hit it (that's why they call it the lottery).

I'd take the playoff experience and a #16 pick over throwing in the rest of the season and ending up with the #11 pick.

I think we'll probably end up with just as good a player at #16 as we might at #11.

Either way is fine with me - I just don't think the lotter is all we are making it out to be.

K22
Posts: 25143
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 10/18/2006
Member: #1182
USA
1/15/2009  10:29 AM
Posted by TMS:

what worries me is this guy:



He worries us all.
-- the preceding post was brought to you by the letter K and the number 22.
JrZyHuStLa
Posts: 25677
Alba Posts: 3
Joined: 1/5/2007
Member: #1241

1/15/2009  11:00 AM
I think if we made the playoffs this year and next year (unlikely), it would draw more interest from guys like Lebron and Bosh as opposed to keep not making the playoffs and building through the draft.

Lebron isn't going to want to play with a 19 year old who has potential. I think he's looking to play for a playoff team with decent guys like Lee and Duhon.
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  11:11 AM
Posted by LivingLegend:
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.

I think the decision between tanking and trying to get to the playoffs is a bit more difficult than you indicate.

If the season ended today we are sitting in the #11 position with a very small % chance to jump up into the top 3. Sure it could happen (see the Bulls last year) but probably not. If we make the playoffs as a #8 seed we'd probably be looking at a pick in the #15 - #17 range. So we are potentially looking at a difference between the #11 position and say the #16 position (or 5 draft slots).

Making the playoffs could have some long term residual value. One it will give some of our young guys the playoff experience, 2 it could reinforce the notion that D'Antoni and Walsh have us heading in the right direction. 3 it could make us look a bit better to players considering NY as a destination in 2010. What if we got into the playoffs and stole a 1st round victory and squeezed 2 rounds out of it. That would be very good experience for this team and leave a great taste in everyones mouth over the summer.

Losing only begets more losing. There are no franchise type players sitting in this draft right now - as a matter of opinion it looks very weak right now.

I love the notion of the lottery balls falling our way but that is just like playing the pick-6 and thinking your going to hit it (that's why they call it the lottery).

I'd take the playoff experience and a #16 pick over throwing in the rest of the season and ending up with the #11 pick.

I think we'll probably end up with just as good a player at #16 as we might at #11.

Either way is fine with me - I just don't think the lotter is all we are making it out to be.

that is exactly the position i DON'T wanna be in... just bad enough not to make the playoffs but just good enough not to get a good pick... this is why i'm saying it makes sense for us to go all out on the tank this year & end up w/the best pick we can possibly get our hands on.

i don't buy that theory u presented that losing begets more losing & that no bigname stars would want to come here in 2 years if we don't make the playoffs this year... i keep going back to the Boston example because it shows u that even the worst team in the league can get 2 bigname stars to agree to go there via trade because they can see the big picture & allure of winning it all in 1 of the major markets in the NBA... i believe the same can happen for the Knicks in 2010, regardless if we're a winning franchise by then or not... having that cap space & getting the best pick we can get this year will have a much bigger impact on our ability to attract FA's in 2010 than eeking out a #8 seed this year & next IMHO.
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
franco12
Posts: 34069
Alba Posts: 4
Joined: 2/19/2004
Member: #599
USA
1/15/2009  12:18 PM
Posted by TMS:
Posted by LivingLegend:
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.

I think the decision between tanking and trying to get to the playoffs is a bit more difficult than you indicate.

If the season ended today we are sitting in the #11 position with a very small % chance to jump up into the top 3. Sure it could happen (see the Bulls last year) but probably not. If we make the playoffs as a #8 seed we'd probably be looking at a pick in the #15 - #17 range. So we are potentially looking at a difference between the #11 position and say the #16 position (or 5 draft slots).

Making the playoffs could have some long term residual value. One it will give some of our young guys the playoff experience, 2 it could reinforce the notion that D'Antoni and Walsh have us heading in the right direction. 3 it could make us look a bit better to players considering NY as a destination in 2010. What if we got into the playoffs and stole a 1st round victory and squeezed 2 rounds out of it. That would be very good experience for this team and leave a great taste in everyones mouth over the summer.

Losing only begets more losing. There are no franchise type players sitting in this draft right now - as a matter of opinion it looks very weak right now.

I love the notion of the lottery balls falling our way but that is just like playing the pick-6 and thinking your going to hit it (that's why they call it the lottery).

I'd take the playoff experience and a #16 pick over throwing in the rest of the season and ending up with the #11 pick.

I think we'll probably end up with just as good a player at #16 as we might at #11.

Either way is fine with me - I just don't think the lotter is all we are making it out to be.

that is exactly the position i DON'T wanna be in... just bad enough not to make the playoffs but just good enough not to get a good pick... this is why i'm saying it makes sense for us to go all out on the tank this year & end up w/the best pick we can possibly get our hands on.

i don't buy that theory u presented that losing begets more losing & that no bigname stars would want to come here in 2 years if we don't make the playoffs this year... i keep going back to the Boston example because it shows u that even the worst team in the league can get 2 bigname stars to agree to go there via trade because they can see the big picture & allure of winning it all in 1 of the major markets in the NBA... i believe the same can happen for the Knicks in 2010, regardless if we're a winning franchise by then or not... having that cap space & getting the best pick we can get this year will have a much bigger impact on our ability to attract FA's in 2010 than eeking out a #8 seed this year & next IMHO.

I think the year we absolutely have to make the play offs is 2009.

And, given all the factors we are going to have to deal with in 2010 in terms of the roster being attractive to FAs or not, having room, etc., and given the current bust status of the Gallo pick, we need to stop winning games this year fast, and do the best job we can in terms of getting lotto balls. Whether this is a deep draft or not, this is basically the last chance we get to add cheap young talent to our roster.
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  12:28 PM
Posted by franco12:

I think the year we absolutely have to make the play offs is 2009.

And, given all the factors we are going to have to deal with in 2010 in terms of the roster being attractive to FAs or not, having room, etc., and given the current bust status of the Gallo pick, we need to stop winning games this year fast, and do the best job we can in terms of getting lotto balls. Whether this is a deep draft or not, this is basically the last chance we get to add cheap young talent to our roster.

i agree w/u there... i think that end would best be served by trading Lee now for an extra 1st round pick & then tanking the rest of the way... that would land us a very high lottery pick along w/at the very least a mid 1st rounder, & u can stock up on young talent for next season & still have room to sign a MLE veteran w/o killing the 2010 plan... hopefully by then Gallo will be healthy & be able to contribute as well... & u'd still have Harrington, Duhon, Q Rich, Fugazy & Fishlips on the team so we wouldn't be completely forced to go w/all young inexperienced guys... we'd stand more of a shot making the playoffs next year by landing a top notch prospect & another good one in this year's draft than u would be in keeping D Lee & landing a mediocre one.

[Edited by - TMS on 01-15-2009 09:29 AM]
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
Nalod
Posts: 72083
Alba Posts: 155
Joined: 12/24/2003
Member: #508
USA
1/15/2009  12:38 PM
Give Dolan some credit. He hired walsh and is letting be his own man. He is letting MDA decide to let Marbury rot. Very expensive moves.

The sins of the past can't be undone, but he is eating Isiahs contract, Marbury's contract and bought in proven people.

Why he extended Isiah to begin with is crazy, as has the whole MSG being run as it has.

But changes are being made and gotta hope. A rich owner who is stupid can get out of the way. A poor owner has fewer choices.

Play Gallo soon will yield fewer results in the beginning. That should help the loss total.
Knicksfan
Posts: 33592
Alba Posts: 27
Joined: 7/5/2004
Member: #691
USA
1/15/2009  12:42 PM
This is why its so hard for me to root for wins anymore. A couple of games after the trade, it was pretty obvious we would not be good enough to make the playoffs and make a solid run. That rebuilding was the best way to go. Being that, I can only think about the best thing that could happen to the team: winning the lottery or getting a top pick good enough to get a nice player.

I know as a fan you root for wins, but I've done that for so many years and what happens then? Either they make the playoffs and are swept or aren't bad enough to get a top pick. If we are rebuilding, which we are, what's the point of making the playoffs as a below-.500 team or winning enough games to make us satisfied throughout the season but once the lottery hits us we aren't good enough to get a chance at the top 3 picks?

Any move we make should be for the future, not for now. And if that can also make us bad enough to get a top pick, even better.


Knicks_Fan
LivingLegend
Posts: 26564
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 8/13/2007
Member: #1645

1/15/2009  1:20 PM
Posted by TMS:
Posted by LivingLegend:
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.

I think the decision between tanking and trying to get to the playoffs is a bit more difficult than you indicate.

If the season ended today we are sitting in the #11 position with a very small % chance to jump up into the top 3. Sure it could happen (see the Bulls last year) but probably not. If we make the playoffs as a #8 seed we'd probably be looking at a pick in the #15 - #17 range. So we are potentially looking at a difference between the #11 position and say the #16 position (or 5 draft slots).

Making the playoffs could have some long term residual value. One it will give some of our young guys the playoff experience, 2 it could reinforce the notion that D'Antoni and Walsh have us heading in the right direction. 3 it could make us look a bit better to players considering NY as a destination in 2010. What if we got into the playoffs and stole a 1st round victory and squeezed 2 rounds out of it. That would be very good experience for this team and leave a great taste in everyones mouth over the summer.

Losing only begets more losing. There are no franchise type players sitting in this draft right now - as a matter of opinion it looks very weak right now.

I love the notion of the lottery balls falling our way but that is just like playing the pick-6 and thinking your going to hit it (that's why they call it the lottery).

I'd take the playoff experience and a #16 pick over throwing in the rest of the season and ending up with the #11 pick.

I think we'll probably end up with just as good a player at #16 as we might at #11.

Either way is fine with me - I just don't think the lotter is all we are making it out to be.

that is exactly the position i DON'T wanna be in... just bad enough not to make the playoffs but just good enough not to get a good pick... this is why i'm saying it makes sense for us to go all out on the tank this year & end up w/the best pick we can possibly get our hands on.

i don't buy that theory u presented that losing begets more losing & that no bigname stars would want to come here in 2 years if we don't make the playoffs this year... i keep going back to the Boston example because it shows u that even the worst team in the league can get 2 bigname stars to agree to go there via trade because they can see the big picture & allure of winning it all in 1 of the major markets in the NBA... i believe the same can happen for the Knicks in 2010, regardless if we're a winning franchise by then or not... having that cap space & getting the best pick we can get this year will have a much bigger impact on our ability to attract FA's in 2010 than eeking out a #8 seed this year & next IMHO.


I'm trying to be realistic.

I don't think an all out tank is with in reason. We already have a minimum 4-game lead on at least 7 other teams. We won't be able to tank enough to get high up the lottery ladder. If we tanked enough to get to the 5th lottery position the year would look like an absolute train wreck and people will be questioning D'Antoni's legitimacy along with Walsh's competence.

I think it does take years to learn how to win -- if you look at the Celtics last year --- down the stretch they were running out guys like Garnett, Allen, Pierce, PJ Brown, Posey and Sam Cassell. Yes Rhondo and Perkins contributed but the Celtics were veteran laden with significant playoff experience.

We can't take a big time star and 6 guys who've never been out of the lottery and expect a championship. We need to get these guys in the habit of winning and doing the things that it takes to win right now. We can't train Chandler, Lee, Robinson and Gallo how to lose this year and expect that to turn around with a snap of the fingers. That kind of losing culture and attitude is what's weighing this franchise down. Every day has to be spent trying to win the next game. Every day - every day.

I just don't think a top 7-8 pick is in the works for us and I don't think that pick would be more valuable then the playoffs and a #15 pick.

Now if we trade D-Lee and get back a youngster and a pick -- then maybe the tank goes into effect but the D-Lee question is a tough question yet to be answered.
LivingLegend
Posts: 26564
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 8/13/2007
Member: #1645

1/15/2009  1:22 PM
The Celtics already had a big time star in Pierce sitting on their roster. We don't have that.
TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  1:29 PM
Posted by LivingLegend:

Now if we trade D-Lee and get back a youngster and a pick -- then maybe the tank goes into effect but the D-Lee question is a tough question yet to be answered.

that's the entire premise of my argument... i really think that's the way we should go.
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
LivingLegend
Posts: 26564
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 8/13/2007
Member: #1645

1/15/2009  4:28 PM
Posted by TMS:
Posted by LivingLegend:

Now if we trade D-Lee and get back a youngster and a pick -- then maybe the tank goes into effect but the D-Lee question is a tough question yet to be answered.

that's the entire premise of my argument... i really think that's the way we should go.

But if you trade Lee you want something of value back other then a pick. I don't think it's a guaranteed tank job because Walsh isn't going to trade him for "Johnny Cakes".

Lee is proving to be a perfect fit in this system. Now keep in mind I'm not a guy who is set against trading David but damn he is playing very well in the system and he is the type of guy who will continue to flourish with better players because he's a mover, a cutter, a rebounder, a passer and a finisher. I mean he is a difficult guy to replace at the offensive end (seemingly). I'm not necessarily talking points - I'm talking about outlets to get the break going, ball movement, offensive rebounds etc. The more he flourishes the harder it is to get equal value for him.

TMS
Posts: 60684
Alba Posts: 617
Joined: 5/11/2004
Member: #674
USA
1/15/2009  4:35 PM
Posted by LivingLegend:
Posted by TMS:
Posted by LivingLegend:

Now if we trade D-Lee and get back a youngster and a pick -- then maybe the tank goes into effect but the D-Lee question is a tough question yet to be answered.

that's the entire premise of my argument... i really think that's the way we should go.

But if you trade Lee you want something of value back other then a pick. I don't think it's a guaranteed tank job because Walsh isn't going to trade him for "Johnny Cakes".

Lee is proving to be a perfect fit in this system. Now keep in mind I'm not a guy who is set against trading David but damn he is playing very well in the system and he is the type of guy who will continue to flourish with better players because he's a mover, a cutter, a rebounder, a passer and a finisher. I mean he is a difficult guy to replace at the offensive end (seemingly). I'm not necessarily talking points - I'm talking about outlets to get the break going, ball movement, offensive rebounds etc. The more he flourishes the harder it is to get equal value for him.

the thing of value is the draft pick & the added cap space by dumping 1 of our bad contracts... i'm not saying dump D Lee just to get rid of Curry's contract... i wanna get an extra 1st round pick too so i can pick up someone like Patterson, Budinger or Derozan along w/whoever we take w/our own lottery pick.

i hear u on the positives of D Lee's game... trust me, i love the guy & i love the fact that he's 1 of the few guys Knick fans can truly root for... i'm just trying to look at this entirely from a broadscope view & not just looking at the immediate ramifications of losing D Lee.
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
GallOfFame
Posts: 20554
Alba Posts: 4
Joined: 11/6/2008
Member: #2320
USA
1/15/2009  4:42 PM
Posted by TMS:

is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.

the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.



What scares me is this team could win more than 35gms and miss the playoffs. But if I think they could then I'm fooling myself because they're nothing better than a 30win ball club.
What really scares me right now more than anything else about this Knicks team...

©2001-2025 ultimateknicks.comm All rights reserved. About Us.
This site is not affiliated with the NY Knicks or the National Basketball Association in any way.
You may visit the official NY Knicks web site by clicking here.

All times (GMT-05:00) Eastern Time.

Terms of Use and Privacy Policy