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Difference between a few games
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BRIGGS
Posts: 53275
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Joined: 7/30/2002
Member: #303
3/25/2008  6:33 AM
The difference between position 2 and 5 is a 60% probability compared to a 27% probability of a top 3 pick. In Nba History the 2nd place team has received a top 3 pick over 85% of the time. With a 24% winning % Seattle on odds will win 3 more times if you round off which would put them at 20. If we happen to lose Jamal Crawford and bring in a 10 day NBDL player to finish the last ten--we could lose them all. Most of this speculating then becomes who are we going to take Beasley Rose or Lopez --so it's highly worth to NOT win again.
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knicksbabyyeah
Posts: 21472
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Joined: 8/19/2001
Member: #100
Netherlands
3/25/2008  7:07 AM
the odds

CURRENT NBA DRAFT LOTTERY SYSTEM

TEAM 1000 PICK 1 PICK 2 PICK 3
Team 1 250 25.00% 21.51% 17.77%
Team 2 199 19.90% 18.81% 17.12%
Team 3 156 15.60% 15.74% 15.59%
Team 4 119 11.90% 12.60% 13.30%
Team 5 88 8.80% 9.66% 10.68%
Team 6 63 6.30% 7.10% 8.12%
Team 7 43 4.30% 4.94% 5.79%
Team 8 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.89%
Team 9 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.41%
Team 10 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.58%
Team 11 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Team 12 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Team 13 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Team 14 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.73%
TOTAL 1000 100% 100% 100%



anyone know how to get the columns neatly aligned in this forum format?
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
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Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
3/25/2008  7:12 AM
Posted by BRIGGS:

The difference between position 2 and 5 is a 60% probability compared to a 27% probability of a top 3 pick. In Nba History the 2nd place team has received a top 3 pick over 85% of the time. With a 24% winning % Seattle on odds will win 3 more times if you round off which would put them at 20. If we happen to lose Jamal Crawford and bring in a 10 day NBDL player to finish the last ten--we could lose them all. Most of this speculating then becomes who are we going to take Beasley Rose or Lopez --so it's highly worth to NOT win again.

We should have been playing the young guys without worrying about winning a long time ago. What do you mean by "lose Jamal Crawford"? Buyout his contract?
martin
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Joined: 7/24/2001
Member: #2
USA
3/25/2008  7:17 AM
kby, i fixed it for you.
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TheGame
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Joined: 7/15/2006
Member: #1154
USA
3/25/2008  8:22 AM
One good losing streak can get us there. Unfortunately the Bucks lost to Miami, which does not help us because Miami has the 1# spot locked down. We need to 0 fo definitely to have any chance of moving up. I could see us making it to #3, but I doubt we move higher than that. But even the third slot would be a significant improvement in terms of getting the #1 pick.
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EnySpree
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Member: #397

3/25/2008  8:29 AM
Memphis is so good they can't really lose on purpose. They will win a couple. Same for Minnesota.

As far as the Knicks? Fred Jones is the only one breaking a sweat. He wants a contract from someone next year, that's why.

Knicks starting Morris and Chandler? They should lose every game, especially if they keep Zach and Craw outta the game.

Winning doesn't help our cause. Its all about Beasley right now.
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knicksbabyyeah
Posts: 21472
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Joined: 8/19/2001
Member: #100
Netherlands
3/25/2008  10:14 AM
thanks Martin
Difference between a few games

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