I say he doesn't make it past the Bucks.
According to this article you're probably right.
So, where will Podkolzine go?
Chad Ford
NBA Insider
Pavel Podkolzine isn't likely to bump LeBron James or Darko Milicic out
of the top two spots in the draft, but after that it's almost a toss-up.
Here's a breakdown of the teams considering drafting him:
3. Denver Nuggets: Carmelo who? GM Kiki Vandeweghe is intrigued. Would
Denver swap the No. 3 pick with Toronto (who really wants 'Melo) for the
No. 4 and a couple of future first-rounders?
4. Toronto Raptors: They need a big man in the worst way. Chris Kaman
worked out for them earlier in the week, and it went well. But Kaman
doesn't have the upside Podkolzine does. Can GM Glen Grunwald wait for
the 18-year-old to develop?
5. Miami Heat: Pat Riley looked like he was in love Friday. With 'Zo
moving on, they can use the help in the paint. But does Pat have the
patience to wait on Pavel. History says no.
6. Los Angeles Clippers: Their scout, Fabricio Besnati, helped discover
Pavel. He's been begging GM Elgin Baylor to draft him ever since. Now
that Elgin has seen what the buzz is all about, will he pull the
trigger? They have to replace Michael Olowokandi someday.
7. Chicago Bulls: If Jerry Krause was still around, he'd be burning up
the phone lines to get this kid. However, it looks like GM John Paxson
is looking for someone to help the Bulls right now.
8. Milwaukee Bucks: The Bucks have scouted him well and will take him if
he falls this far. However, no one in the organization believes he'll be
on the board for them now.
9. New York Knicks: Podkolzine is no Frederic Weis. Team president Scott
Layden said he was impressed, but like the Bucks, he's pretty sure Pavel
will be gone. Can he move up and get him?
13. Memphis Grizzlies: Team representatives looked forlorn Friday. They
were seriously considering him at No. 13, but now they know he'll be
taken long before that. Could they sneak up to No. 4 by offering the
Raptors Stromile Swift and the No. 13 pick?