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Insider: 2003 NBA Draft: Top 10 centers
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martin
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5/2/2003  12:23 PM
2003 NBA Draft: Top 10 centers

Coming up with a Top 10 centers list is a little bit like trying to put together a list of ten reasons to move to Bristol. After you get past one or two, you have to start making stuff up.

We've known for a long time that good centers were going the way of the dodo bird and real blondes. Blame it on global warming, a bad diet or the axis of evil, but it's easier to find an "I voted for Bush-Cheney" bumper sticker in North Korea than it is to find a decent big man in the NBA draft.

Last year we got Yao Ming, who the media quickly anointed the second best center in the league behind Shaq. This from a guy who averaged 13.5 ppg and 8.2 rpg.

After Yao, the next best center was Curtis Borchardt who played zero games this season.

In 2001 we got Eddy Curry (who's coming along quite nicely), Jason Collins (he's OK) and Samuel Dalembert.

The 2000 draft gave us Joel Przybilla, Jason Collier, Jamaal Magloire, Dalibor Bagaric, Jake Tsakalidis, Mamadou N'diaye and Primoz Brezec. But hey, one for seven isn't bad.

Teams are getting desperate. This year, the top center prospect dominated at Central Michigan. The next top prospect was virtually unknown until Insider stumbled upon a scout who had stumbled upon him in Siberia. The next two guys are still in high school. And then there's the 7-foot-6 guy from Yugoslavia who can't get in the game (blame the coach not Slavko).

Here's a look at the Top 10 centers expected to declare for the 2003 NBA Draft. By way of warning, it's ugly folks. . .

Note: The list includes all players seriously considering entering the 2003 draft. An asterisk (*) by a player's name indicates he is an underclassman who has officially declared.

1. Chris Kaman, Central Michigan*
The line: 7-0, 255, Junior
The skinny: Kaman is quickly becoming the "sleeper" in this year's draft. He's a legit 7-footer, has a nice frame and ranked among national leaders in rebounding (No. 3, 12.2 a game), scoring (No. 16, 22.5 ppg) and blocked shots. He's an above-average athlete for someone his size. He's no stiff. Kaman is very mobile and is equally comfortable facing the basket or backing down someone on the post. He's got a soft shooting touch with decent range. Good free throw shooter for a big man. Kent State coach Jim Christian had the line of the year about Kaman. "If this guy was from Slovenia, and didn't speak English, the NBA would call him a top-five pick right now," Christian said. Christian may be right. He's a definite lottery pick. Once he gets into workouts (he's training with Michael Jordan's trainer, Tim Grover), he could work his way into the Top 5.

2. Pavel Podkolzin, Russia
The line: 7-4, 300, 18 years old
The skinny: After the story on Podkolzin appeared in Insider in December, representatives from 18 NBA teams have made the their way to Varese to watch the 18-year-old giant play. While admitting that he is very raw, and only now beginning to get playing time in Italy, most of the teams that have seen him play claim that he'd be a late-lottery to mid-first-round-pick if he puts his name in the draft this year. Sources in Europe continue to tell Insider that Pavel will put his name in the draft. Obviously, teams are enamored with his huge frame. But it's another attribute that makes him something more than George Muresan. "He's a legitimate athlete," one NBA executive told Insider. "I'm not saying that he's Vince Carter, but he's got above average athletic skills for his size. He runs the floor well and he's pretty active. He's a big-time project, but at 18, he's probably worth it."

3. Edu Hernandez, Spain
The line: 7-0, 240, 20 years old
The skinny: Teams have had their eye on Hernandez for a while. He's very skilled, has a soft touch around the basket, can hit the open jumper and is a good rebounder and shot blocker. He doesn't mind contact in the paint and he's a decent athlete. He doesn't have the strength or toughness to play in the league just yet and seemed to regress a bit at Real Madrid this year. Word is he may wait another year before declaring, but he's a late first rounder, early second rounder if he declares now.

4. Kendrick Perkins, Texas
The line: 6-10, 270, HS Senior
The skinny: Perkins is a brick in the middle. He's big, tough and loves to play with his back to the basket. Some claim he's the best big man to come out of Texas since Shaq. But there are problems. He's undersized to play center in the pros. He's not an athlete and has developed a reputation for not playing hard. He should go to college, put Perkins is itching to get into the NBA now. He's a borderline first rounder if he declares.

5. James Lang, Alabama
The line: 6-11, 300, HS Senior
The skinny: Scouts feel the other dominant high school big man, Lang, is more skilled than Perkins. He's a talented scorer around the basket and knows how to use his body to get separation. He's also fundamentally very solid. However, Lang has even more serious conditioning issues. He dropped 70 pounds this year just to get down to 300. Scouts consider him a good athlete and love how aggressively he plays the game. He's a solid rebounder and a good shot blocker, but stamina is a major issue. He also is very foul prone. If he went to school and proved to scouts he could stay in great shape, he'd be a lottery pick in a few years. As it stands now, he has an outside chance at the first round if he works out well and stays in shape.

6. Slavko Vranes, Yugoslavia*
The line: 7-6, 250, 19 years old
The skinny: He's huge. He's very raw offensively, but he isn't a stiff either. He can run the floor, block shots and has enough meat on him to defend in the league. He's not ready for the NBA but that doesn't mean that NBA teams won't take a shot on him in the late first round, early second round.

7. Chris Marcus, Western Kentucky
The line: 7-1, 285, Western Kentucky
The skinny: Two years ago Marcus was a sure-fire lottery pick. But Marcus decided he wasn't ready for the NBA life and it has cost him dearly. Foot injuries have kept him from playing the last two season and his stock has crashed and burned. He has the skills and size, but not the athleticism scouts love in a center. His foot will scare just about everyone off. Unless he can play in Chicago, get a clean bill of health, prove he's in great shape and can play his heart out, Marcus is a second rounder. It's a pretty sad story.

8. Marquis Estill, Kentucky
The line: 6-10, 236, Senior
The skinny: He plays like a center, but Estill will probably have to make the move to power forward in the pros because of his size (scouts claim he's much closer to 6-foot-8). Estill knows how to score in the low post and his big 28-point game against Wisconsin in the tournament helped his stock. But he's got a tough road ahead of him. Someone will take a shot one him in the second round.

9. Will McDonald, South Florida
The line: 6-10, 255, Senior
The skinny: McDonald was the PIT's second-leading scorer with 19.3 ppg and 11.7 rpg. The biggest challenge for McDonald is proving to scouts he's tough enough and big enough to play center in the pros. Most likely, he'll have to make the transition from center to power forward. He doesn't have the greatest face-up game which will hurt him.

10. Jason Keep, San Diego
The line: 6-11, 276, Senior
The skinny: He looks like a skin head biker on steroids, but that's probably his biggest strength. He isn't the tallest or most athletic guy, but he manhandled everyone in Portsmouth. He's never going to put up big numbers for a team, but who wouldn't love to have this guy come in and hack the hell out of Shaq for 15 minutes a game.
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Swishfm3
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5/2/2003  2:58 PM
Who wrote this article?

If Kaman is considered #1...then this draft is in trouble. He played in the MAC folks...I would rather take Estill WHO I HAVE SEEN, plays against REAL COMP and has a strong game under the basket.....

if Lang falls to second round then snatch his *** up...
martin
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5/2/2003  3:10 PM
Posted by Swishfm3:

Who wrote this article?

If Kaman is considered #1...then this draft is in trouble. He played in the MAC folks...I would rather take Estill WHO I HAVE SEEN, plays against REAL COMP and has a strong game under the basket.....

if Lang falls to second round then snatch his *** up...

all Insider articles are by Chad from ESPN.
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DefAndReb
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5/2/2003  3:27 PM
A few years ago, up until just a few days before the 2000 draft, Chris Mihm was projected the number one pick, not just number one center, but number one pick.

Take a look at this little gem of a lotto projection page:

http://espn.go.com/ncb/s/draft/mock1.html

If memory serves, the Knicks instead picked Harvey and traded his rights to Dallas for Eisley and E. Strickland. Someone help me out here.

Anyway, not that Mihm is totally awful or anything, but he isn't all that impressive. Certainly not a lotto pick. He's had zero impact on the league.

I guess what I'm saying is, if the Knicks intend to keep the pick, which they will try not to, then at least get an athletic PF or SF. Not Kaman.

BigSm00th
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5/2/2003  4:23 PM
"If Kaman is considered #1...then this draft is in trouble. He played in the MAC folks...I would rather take Estill WHO I HAVE SEEN, plays against REAL COMP and has a strong game under the basket....."-Kaman had big days against Michigan and Duke while facing double and triple teams, and he's a pretty fundamentally sound player. I watched the entire game against Creighton and Duke in the tourny and was impressed, but I don't think he's a lotto pick to build a franchise around, more like a guy who will give you 15 and 10 in a few years and be able to guard the other team's big man. I'm hoping the Knicks don't get him, but your evaluation of him is harsh, he's a pretty good player and you know the NBA's obsession with size. If you're 7 foot and have any type of skill you get drafted top 10, its absurd but thats how these people think.

I agree with you about Lang, I really like his game and with a trainer in the NBA and weight lifting regimen he could develop into a beast since those are really his only knocks (stamina, foul trouble-which results from being tired often, and strength.)
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BRIGGS
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5/2/2003  4:27 PM
First off how could you compare Chris Mihm and Chris Kaman? Ive seen them both play and they look radically different in terms of playing style. Chris Mihm in college was very mechanical. I think this is the first year where I saw spurts of him playing with a flow to his game. Chris Kaman is ambidexterous, has defined offensive post play and a beautiful stroke. He also is a hard worker with a bit of a mean streak. Hes already working hard at Jordans gym at Chicago preparing forthe draft. I have never heard that Mihm is a hard worker.Likeyou said hes not a bad player---in fact this might be a time to grab a player like him[hes only 23]on the cheap because he did show some signs of breaking out.

But it doesnt matter anyway because there is 0/100 chance that Chris kaman will be available at pick 9. There are to many teams that need a center in front of us. I don't think we have the assets past pick 7. But if I was a betting man ---the order of the draft will look like this

Denver-Lebron James
Cleveland CarmeloAnthony
Toronto-Darko Milicic
Miami-Chris Kaman
LA Clippers-Tj Ford
Detroit-Chris Bosh
Chicago-Dwyane Wade
Milwaukee-Mike sweetney
NY-??????

So the only chance of us grabbing what I refer to as a tier 1 frontcourt player Milicic Kaman Bosh Sweetney
would be to throw in the 31 pick to Chicago for the 7. Chicago will likely get the same player at 9[they are looking for a 2-3 could be Hayes Pietrus Diaw Wade]because Milwaukee is overstocked with those types of players.

Nick Collison is a clear tier below Sweetney. I like Sweetney very much. He reminds me of Elton Brand. He played all year facing double and triple teaming and still put up 23 10.5 and 3.5 blocks on a team where the next best player was not very good. Nick Collison played with a cast of great players.

I will be happy if we pick Kaman or Sweetney at pick 9which would*likely8have to be pick 7. The only player who could throw a monkey wrench in is Marcel lampe.
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BRIGGS
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5/2/2003  4:40 PM
I agree with you on Lang. I like Lang-but there is going to be some hard work, time and effort into making him a player you can cont on. I would almost equate picking him to Willis Macgahee because I think it will take a full year to get him into peak condition both mentally and physically. That is why i could never give a 9 pick for him. I would be very willing to trade up with both of my high second rounders[if I hadnt traded one of them]to get into the 22-27 area and select him there. If we walk out of the draft with Lang and sweetney we did well.

There is no move that will guarantee the Knicks make the playoffs. they could go off and spend another 5mm a year on an MLE like Dale davis and that still wouldnt guarantee anything because the Knick players are older--they will still have trouble with back to backs and each year brings a greater risk of injury to any core player.

Its in the Knicks best interests to get a tier 1 frontcourt draft prospect and perhaps a tier 2 in Lang later. Then they can go out and spend their bucks on another 35 year oldwho wontmake much of a differnce. But by taking the draft picks--atleast you are forming the foundation of a young new core.
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BigSm00th
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5/2/2003  6:01 PM
"agree with you on Lang. I like Lang-but there is going to be some hard work, time and effort into making him a player you can cont on. I would almost equate picking him to Willis Macgahee because I think it will take a full year to get him into peak condition both mentally and physically. That is why i could never give a 9 pick for him."-I meant taking Lang with one of the 2nd rounders, definitely not a lotto pick though.

I agree with Briggs about the Kaman/Mihm comparisons, I don't think they're very accurate.

"Miami-Chris Kaman
LA Clippers-Tj Ford
Detroit-Chris Bosh"-You think Kaman goes before Bosh? If that happened I'd be shocked.
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jazz74
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5/2/2003  8:57 PM
miami taking kaman before bosh does make sense since it addresses an immediate need since mourning will most likely walk. i mean bosh is more talented but miami had a hard time trading brian grant who they are stuck with for a few more years so they won't draft a power forward. well i, like other people, think that we will not use our pick. i think layzie will trade it for a quick fix scheme. then pick a big man in the second round. maybe troy bell or chris marcus.
BRIGGS
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5/2/2003  9:52 PM
If they got someone like Stromile Swift and the memphis pick at 27 i could live with it. I just dont want anyone older. I dont want anyone with a long term contract like Lorenzen Wright. I certainly dont want a freak 7 footer like brendan Haywood. If it is a pick 9 the player has to be potentially better than Mike Sweetney.
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DefAndReb
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5/2/2003  11:41 PM
For the record, I'm not comparing Mihm and Kaman as players. I'm saying that the media and the fans are always looking for the next great center, and I say, unless the dude is one the best players in the country, he's not going to be much good to the Knicks.

Mihm was hyped as the next great (or at least very good) center, and he isn't. Maybe Kaman turns out to be great, I'm not a swami. From what I've seen in the past several drafts, if a center isn't projected as a top three pick, he's a project, and the Knicks do not need a project at C.

Mihm was even projected at 1, and he is still coming along. I don't think the Knicks should pick a rookie center unless he is ready to start. Pick a SF or PF instead, someone who can back up Shandon, Spoon or Thomas (given that KT is not playing C, please somebody stop the madness). Last year, after Yao, it was Borchardt, and he had a season-ending injury before he got to play.

I'd rather the Knicks pick up a center through a trade or FA than pick one off the draft tree.

You're right, though. Kaman will probably be gone by 9. I wish him luck.

Again, as I said in the last post, pick a SF or PF, or trade the pick. Do not pick a center. Kaman or otherwise.
BRIGGS
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5/3/2003  1:17 AM
I like Kaman. I think once he gets his weight up to 265-270, hes going to be a load to contend with. But alas, it will not happen. there is NO doubting that we need athletism on this team, at various positions.If we hold on to our secondrounders Imhoping Troy Bell is taken with our 31. I still remember last year when he dunked over Caron Butler and I thought to myself that the Knicks didnt have one athlete in the back court who could come close to that. Hes definitely a new age pG ala Chauncey Billups Arenas Bobby Jackson. But at pick 9 if we cant get Kaman I want to somehow get Sweetney. You dont have to be a run jump athlete to dominate. Just look at what Zach Randolph is doing at the ripe old age of 21 to the Mavericks. Sweetney has a very similar type body and game but with better defensive skills.I said it last year two months before the draft that the Knicks should take Amare and since we wont be able to get Kaman I still put sweetney right up there as a pure impact type player. there is NO ONE we could trade for that is better than Sweetney with our assets. the ONLy guy that would be a reasonable acquisition is Swift--he has the athletiscm but he doesnt have the basketball skills of Sweetney.sweetney is a throw back skill player-a guy with NBA power who wil make an impact--possibly a 20-10 player within 2 years.
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Swishfm3
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5/4/2003  5:37 PM
Hey Martin..thanks for the info..this really came in handy.

Big SMooth...Those two big games you mentioned were against Duke and Creighton...two teams that absolutly has NO REAL CENTER.

DefandReb was right on the money with his post. MEdia is looking for the next BIG thing and some of you are falling for it.
Insider: 2003 NBA Draft: Top 10 centers

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