2005-06 NBA "Roland Ratings"

Trying to build a comprehensive player rating scheme is no easy task. We'll admit to being partial to the excellent work done by Dan Rosenbaum with his ultra-sophisticated DanVal numbers, or gauging player efficency on a possession basis ala Dean Oliver.

In the past the "Roland Rating" has been simply the player's on court versus off court net team influence. That's a good number, but certainly not the whole story. Ideally a player rating scheme should encompass

- Inividual player production
- One-on-one defense
- Team success influence

The new charting experiments will allow us to evolve this rating over the course of the season to become more detailed and refined, for now we'll stick with some old standbys in a quick take on the early season action!

                       PER Difference          On Court/Off Court     Roland 
Player          Min    PER    Opp    Net       On      Off    Net     Rating 
Butler          14%    18.8    9.2  +9.7      +12.3   -5.4   +17.6    +11.6  
Frye            52%    22.5   15.1  +7.4       +8.3  -15.1   +23.5    +11.4  
Robinson        34%    10.5   13.5  -3.0       +6.8   -7.9   +14.7     +1.4  
Marbury         81%    17.8   12.9  +4.9       -4.9   +5.3   -10.1     +1.1  
Ariza           41%    11.0   15.4  -4.3       +5.1   -8.6   +13.7     +0.2  
Crawford        62%    14.7   15.7  -1.0       -2.6   -3.6    +1.0     -0.5  
Lee             17%    14.8   18.6  -3.8       +3.9   -4.4    +8.3     -0.8  
Barnes          12%    10.6    7.0  +3.6      -19.8   -0.7   -19.1     -2.1  
Curry           31%    16.2   14.7  +1.5      -12.6   +1.4   -14.0     -2.4  
Rose            33%     9.4   14.0  -4.7       -3.6   -2.7    -0.9     -3.7  
Richardson      43%     9.6   15.3  -5.7       -6.5   -0.3    -6.2     -5.8  
Taylor          22%     9.1   20.3  -11.2      +1.9   -4.4    +6.3     -6.8  
Davis           51%     9.2   17.5  -8.2      -19.9  +14.4   -34.3    -14.7  
Hardaway         2%    -3.3   19.2  -22.5      +2.9   -3.1    +6.0    -15.3  
James            5%    -2.3   19.0  -21.4     -10.3   -2.6    -7.7    -17.9  

Legend:

PER = the player's PER rating based on a formula created by John Hollinger.
Opp. = the PER rating of the player's counterpart while on the floor.
Per Diff = the difference between the player's PER and his opponent's.
On = team net points per 48 minutes with the player on court.
Off = team net points per 48 minutes with the player off court.
Net = the on court versus off court difference.
Roland Rating = an average of the two ratings (2:1 Per Diff:On/Off). 

Man look at AD's stats :( Its just amazing how this guy is still starting for this team.

Posted by curry32:

starting doesnt mean jack shyt... its who finishes and its who plays the most minutes. many times the starters in larry's rotation dont play alot, AD is a great example

how can you say that when we consistently go down 10 points in the 1st and 3rd quarters?
it's b/c that starting lineup is in there. IT DOES MATTER!!!

I think Larry and Isiah are featuring AD to pump up his trade value...
It's been at least a couple of games where Larry gives AD much of the credit for a win, despite a total lack of production.
Obviously his large expiring contract makes him a nice trade asset.
As much as I hate seeing him take minutes away from Frye and to a lesser extent Lee, I can live with him getting alot of burn if it nets us a nice player... no pun intended