Last year, the Knicks weren't as bad as their record indicated. Don't get me wrong, we were pretty dam terrible but:
We lost 15 (15!) games by 4 points or less. You've got to figure that LB by himself will win 8 of those. That increases our wins to about 41.
In January last year, Crawford went down, essentially making us impotent. During that stretch, we lost 16 games. ugh. Granted, Jamal wasn't the only reason, but he was a BIG part. I would say, if most everyone can remain healthy, those 16 lost games are not acccurate. Let's say a healthy team wins 4 or 5 more of those games (a conservative estimate I'd say). That brings our win total to about 46.
Now, the thing that I think will get us the most wins will be our new and improved defense which is a joy to watch. It's hard to say exactly how this would translate into wins, but I would hazard a guess of about 5 to 6 more wins, just as a reflection of solid basketball playing. That brings our win total to 51.
51 wins.

If everything goes smoothly, not outrageously good or bad, I predict a 48-50 win season. I, for some reason, the stars are aligned in our favor, our wins could indeed climb to the mid 50s. Conversely, if there are injuries, attitudes, stupidity, and playing time bitching, our record could fall like a led zeppelin. It could be as low as 38-40 wins.
So let's hope for calm waters and smooth sailing ahead.
AHOY maties!