Welpee wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:Knickoftime wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:But I think Trump recovered a bit from the last debate, and the numbers are going to bounce all over the place the next few days.
He was 5 points down (and falling) going IN to Friday afternoon.
Out of curiosity, why do you think Trump "recovered"?
I wouldn't say fully recovered but most of the shows are making it sound like he exceeded expectations, and I think he did. I think he spoke in a way that will appeal to 40 or 45% of the country and I think he made Hillary look really bad with the e-mail stuff.
When the expectation is you're going to suck and you ended up being mediocre, that ain't saying much as far as exceeding expectations.
But as I said a few hours ago, this reveals out confirmation bias for a horserace.
'Trump didn't implode, so therefore he will comeback.'
It's bizarre logic, but as Bonn illustrates, prevalent.
The guy has been losing big for a long time and only had a brief week of making it respectable. The Electoral college isn't in his favor. General election demographics aren't in any republicans favor and brutal to him specifically. Obama's approval ratings are as high as they've been in 6 years. The economy is fine.
All this was the landscape BEFORE 4pm Friday.
Today's news cycle has evolved into the GOP eating itself.
Trump's debate performance played into every cliche' responsible for the hole he finds himself him. People have emotionally reacted to the fact he played the role of the dominant male, in the most literal sense. Its the very thing that's his biggest problem.
Last night was a net negative.