bigbasketballs wrote:mreinman wrote:bigbasketballs wrote:mreinman wrote:hard to make any point to a crowd that has zero interest in being objective. Hinkie may be a genius or he may just be an idiot (in peoples eyes). Every genius was first viewed as an idiot.
Is Hinkie making genius moves? We really have no clue since we are all pretty clueless even if we think that we are closet GM's.
We pretty much know the Hinkie is a genius and we know that he is experimenting. Is he making idiot moves? We have not idea. Will Hinkie be looked at in five years as the GM-genius that got us Lebron or the idiot GM who got us Embiid and made us the laughing stock that we still are.
I personally have no idea what the outcome will be since I am obviously not as good of a GM as many on this board are.
I live for objective. So let's be objective.
When is it permissible to begin objectively qualifying Hinkie's effectiveness?
I subjectively perceive there to be a dynamic among his fans or his non-critics who regard themselves as open-minded to give him further credit for engineering another bad year. Each additional sub-20 win season just gives him yet another lottery asset and as a natural extension yet another future season it'll require for his plan to see fruition.
So objectively, when can be start judging? When is it fair to expect to see something resembling the premise of the game as opposed to more lottery balls?
If 5 years from now the cycle continues can we try to draw conclusions?
I'm really asking?
Valid question. I don't think that he can keep his job unless he strikes it big this off season in the draft (simmons) and / or FA/trade. No way the philly fans will take too much more of this.
When is it permissible to judge? Who knows ... who decides what is permissible?
I think it's fair to say you just did to a deegree. You seem to conclude his window is closing.
He is going to need some luck too for this to work. So far he has not been lucky in the draft. He NEEDS the number one pick.
Which illuminates a shortcoming in the plan. He's taken an extreme route that at the end of the day is totally reliant upon on its very foundation something out of his control.
Is that an objective conclusion?
To that I'd again again the timetable he has to work in, which is no infinite, which is going to start turning these guys into FA's soon and one after the other, which is also not subjective.
Utterly subjective is the Lord of the Flies quality to the experiment in which he's dropping these young players off onto their own island and hoping they mature into a functioning society sans any guidance without 'killing' their NBA lives in the process.
I'm subjectively dubious its smart and wonder who the hell has the conch?
Yes its an objective conclusion but that may not affect the outcome of the experiment.
Needing luck does not illuminate the the shortcoming of the plan. It is always a required ingredient to any plan in sports.
Hinkie also believes that you can't rely on the luck of only hitting on 1 out of 5 lottery picks. He is trying to significantly increase his odds of hitting the jackpot.
I am not predicting success, I just see that there is method to the madness. If the last two years he was lucky enough to draft Towns and Wiggins, he may have looked much smarter than he is looking now. Nobody here wants to even entertain the plausible scenarios.
I think that there is a good chance that Hinkie will be fired within the year and even if he is fired, it will be too premature to judge him.
so here is what phil is thinking ....