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Where in the history of the NBA has a 20 year old 20-10 C traded with a HIGH lottery pick for
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newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  1:47 PM
Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
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martin
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6/8/2008  2:13 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.
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Bonn1997
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6/8/2008  2:24 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]
30andOverClub
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6/8/2008  2:28 PM
Before this rumor even started, I always thought that Evans and Willie Green for Zach straight up made sense. With Young coming on last year, you can play Iggy at the 2 this year and it makes Green rather expendable.

And of course we don't know who might fall to 16. Someone might fall far enough to make it worth it. So there's that part of it as well.
30andOverClub
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6/8/2008  2:35 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.
Bonn1997
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6/8/2008  2:39 PM
Posted by 30andOverClub:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.

Well then you're boxing them into a corner where they can't add any more payroll. Is Zach really worth doing that? Is he really worth taking up a fourth of your "non-luxury tax" payroll?

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:41 PM]
newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  2:46 PM
How would they pay 70mil?

They are going into this offseason with a 35.7mil salary cap. Now subtract Evens 4.6mil next season = 31.1mil salary cap. Add Randolphs 14.6 = 45.7 salary cap. Now say they give Iggy a 12mil dollar contract, that equates to 57-58mil salary cap. Say they give him Rashard Lewis contract 15.6mil. That would equate to 61-62mil salary cap.
he National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap for the 2007-08 season will be $55.630 million. The new Cap goes into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 11, when the league’s “moratorium period” ends and teams can begin signing free agents and making trades.

The tax level for the 2007-08 season has been set at $67.865 million. Any team whose team salary exceeds that figure will pay a $1 tax for each $1 by which it exceeds $67.865 million.

I don't think Philly would care to much about being 7mil over the cap which will probably go up anyway to like 57mil next season in order to challenge for the ECC.
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islesfan
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6/8/2008  3:09 PM
Posted by martin:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.

Wow, is there anything that can go wrong for the Sixers if they make this trade? Why is Randolph's value that depressed where he would be traded even up for a bench role player? Isn't Philly assuming that giant risk, while the Knicks are clearing the $70M they would pay for him and ridding themselves of someone whose behavior and selfish play has drastically depressed his value? That's why swapping first round picks makes it a reasonable trade, one that the Sixers might actually listen to.

If that trade goes down, I'll be the one praising Donnie Walsh. I'll be the one confident that Walsh can still find a solid player at 16, while some of you cry about how Walsh can only be trusted with high lottery picks.
If it didn’t work in Phoenix with Nash and Stoutamire... it’s just not a winning formula. It’s an entertaining formula, but not a winning one. - Derek Harper talking about D'Antoni's System
islesfan
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6/8/2008  3:28 PM
Posted by 30andOverClub:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.

So the Sixers are taking a huge risk trading for Randolph and hoping that he does fit in, or else they're stuck with him and will have to either wait out his contract before moving on from the Randolph Error, or pay double for Randolph if they bring in quality players to replace the production that they were hoping to get from Randolph.

If Randolph proves again to be a malcontent in Philly, because of his contract his trade value will be zero. Right now, that risk is being assumed by the Knicks and their new GM and head coach. If Randolph can't fit in with Walsh and D'Antonio, he'll become untradeable. That's why you agree to swap picks. To get Randolph the hell off your team before the cancer grows and it becomes an even bigger problem.
If it didn’t work in Phoenix with Nash and Stoutamire... it’s just not a winning formula. It’s an entertaining formula, but not a winning one. - Derek Harper talking about D'Antoni's System
newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  3:34 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by martin:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.

Wow, is there anything that can go wrong for the Sixers if they make this trade? Why is Randolph's value that depressed where he would be traded even up for a bench role player? Isn't Philly assuming that giant risk, while the Knicks are clearing the $70M they would pay for him and ridding themselves of someone whose behavior and selfish play has drastically depressed his value? That's why swapping first round picks makes it a reasonable trade, one that the Sixers might actually listen to.

If that trade goes down, I'll be the one praising Donnie Walsh. I'll be the one confident that Walsh can still find a solid player at 16, while some of you cry about how Walsh can only be trusted with high lottery picks.

The fact that they swapped him for a bench role player that doesn't even have an expiring contract is what takes most of the risk away its not like we are asking for Evens & #16. What ever risk they take is also leveled by potential gain. If Randolph was a free agent and offerd to sign there for a 3yr deal at 10.6mil you think that they would turn that down?

We would be giving Philly a lineup of Miller,Iggy,Young,Randolph,Dalembert & the #6 lottery pick.

While we wouldn't even have immediate cap space because we still would have Curry, Crawford & Jefferies on our team. Not to mention that we would probably want to resign Lee & possibly Nate Robinson. So we would be giving Philly a loaded team and possibly still not have cap space by 2010.

There is risk on our side as well, passing up on the #6 pick means that we are passing up on a chance and possibly a potential star. There is also the risk that we still don't get cap space by 2010, then there is the risk that even if we do get cap space we end up with a 2nd or 3rd tier free agent.

Randolph for Evens is a fair deal. They both fit what both teams are trying to do, both sides have risk and potential gains.
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newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  3:45 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by 30andOverClub:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.

So the Sixers are taking a huge risk trading for Randolph and hoping that he does fit in, or else they're stuck with him and will have to either wait out his contract before moving on from the Randolph Error, or pay double for Randolph if they bring in quality players to replace the production that they were hoping to get from Randolph.

If Randolph proves again to be a malcontent in Philly, because of his contract his trade value will be zero. Right now, that risk is being assumed by the Knicks and their new GM and head coach. If Randolph can't fit in with Walsh and D'Antonio, he'll become untradeable. That's why you agree to swap picks. To get Randolph the hell off your team before the cancer grows and it becomes an even bigger problem.

Then there is the possibility that Randolph fits in real nice complimenting Dalembert providing balance of scoring, strong rebounding, shotblocking. Andre Miller, Iggy, & Young play good enough defense to give opponents fits from penitrating the paint covering Randolphs lack of shotblocking and defense while Dalembert also covers for him with his weakside shotblocking help defensive ability. Andre Miller sets Randolph up for many easy shots and layups keeping Randolph satisfied. Philly with there collection of athletic defenders perimeter defensers, balance inside, outside, & penitration game compete for the ECC the next 3yrs.

Randolph value is now real high again.

As much risk there is there is also potential gain.
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islesfan
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6/8/2008  3:50 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by martin:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.

Wow, is there anything that can go wrong for the Sixers if they make this trade? Why is Randolph's value that depressed where he would be traded even up for a bench role player? Isn't Philly assuming that giant risk, while the Knicks are clearing the $70M they would pay for him and ridding themselves of someone whose behavior and selfish play has drastically depressed his value? That's why swapping first round picks makes it a reasonable trade, one that the Sixers might actually listen to.

If that trade goes down, I'll be the one praising Donnie Walsh. I'll be the one confident that Walsh can still find a solid player at 16, while some of you cry about how Walsh can only be trusted with high lottery picks.

The fact that they swapped him for a bench role player that doesn't even have an expiring contract is what takes most of the risk away its not like we are asking for Evens & #16. What ever risk they take is also leveled by potential gain. If Randolph was a free agent and offerd to sign there for a 3yr deal at 10.6mil you think that they would turn that down?

We would be giving Philly a lineup of Miller,Iggy,Young,Randolph,Dalembert & the #6 lottery pick.

While we wouldn't even have immediate cap space because we still would have Curry, Crawford & Jefferies on our team. Not to mention that we would probably want to resign Lee & possibly Nate Robinson. So we would be giving Philly a loaded team and possibly still not have cap space by 2010.

There is risk on our side as well, passing up on the #6 pick means that we are passing up on a chance and possibly a potential star. There is also the risk that we still don't get cap space by 2010, then there is the risk that even if we do get cap space we end up with a 2nd or 3rd tier free agent.

Randolph for Evens is a fair deal. They both fit what both teams are trying to do, both sides have risk and potential gains.

Where is the risk for the Knicks in a Randolph for Evans even up trade?
If it didn’t work in Phoenix with Nash and Stoutamire... it’s just not a winning formula. It’s an entertaining formula, but not a winning one. - Derek Harper talking about D'Antoni's System
islesfan
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6/8/2008  3:59 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by 30andOverClub:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.

So the Sixers are taking a huge risk trading for Randolph and hoping that he does fit in, or else they're stuck with him and will have to either wait out his contract before moving on from the Randolph Error, or pay double for Randolph if they bring in quality players to replace the production that they were hoping to get from Randolph.

If Randolph proves again to be a malcontent in Philly, because of his contract his trade value will be zero. Right now, that risk is being assumed by the Knicks and their new GM and head coach. If Randolph can't fit in with Walsh and D'Antonio, he'll become untradeable. That's why you agree to swap picks. To get Randolph the hell off your team before the cancer grows and it becomes an even bigger problem.

Then there is the possibility that Randolph fits in real nice complimenting Dalembert providing balance of scoring, strong rebounding, shotblocking. Andre Miller, Iggy, & Young play good enough defense to give opponents fits from penitrating the paint covering Randolphs lack of shotblocking and defense while Dalembert also covers for him with his weakside shotblocking help defensive ability. Andre Miller sets Randolph up for many easy shots and layups keeping Randolph satisfied. Philly with there collection of athletic defenders perimeter defensers, balance inside, outside, & penitration game compete for the ECC the next 3yrs.

Randolph value is now real high again.

As much risk there is there is also potential gain.

Put a probability on both scenarios.

Here are mine:

The probability that Randolph remains a malcontent who doesn't fit into a team concept is about 85%.

The probability that Randolph plays nice with his teammates, fits into a team concept and behaves off the court is about 15%.

Taking Randolph with his contract and his baggage is a huge risk for the Knicks and you're asking the Sixers to assume all of that risk for the off chance that he'll fit in well.

If Randolph doesn't work out for the Sixers, do you understand the repercussions for them? They can't just eat the money, like MSG and Cablevision are happy to do, without affecting their entire organization. Believe it or not, you're not doing them any favors with that deal.
If it didn’t work in Phoenix with Nash and Stoutamire... it’s just not a winning formula. It’s an entertaining formula, but not a winning one. - Derek Harper talking about D'Antoni's System
Bonn1997
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6/8/2008  4:04 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:

How would they pay 70mil?

They are going into this offseason with a 35.7mil salary cap. Now subtract Evens 4.6mil next season = 31.1mil salary cap. Add Randolphs 14.6 = 45.7 salary cap. Now say they give Iggy a 12mil dollar contract, that equates to 57-58mil salary cap. Say they give him Rashard Lewis contract 15.6mil. That would equate to 61-62mil salary cap.
he National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap for the 2007-08 season will be $55.630 million. The new Cap goes into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 11, when the league’s “moratorium period” ends and teams can begin signing free agents and making trades.

The tax level for the 2007-08 season has been set at $67.865 million. Any team whose team salary exceeds that figure will pay a $1 tax for each $1 by which it exceeds $67.865 million.

I don't think Philly would care to much about being 7mil over the cap which will probably go up anyway to like 57mil next season in order to challenge for the ECC.

Like I said, they either have to accept that they will not add more payroll (which should be the case only if you have a finished product) or add payroll, which would put them over the luxury tax min. You're asking them to spend a quarter of their non luxury tax on one player (with a lot of baggage) and to spread the remaining three quarters on the other fourteen players. Do you really think Zach is worth that?

Another way of looking at it is that their taking on $35 mil in salary over 3 years (even without the luxury tax). If Zach was an FA, would you sign him for $12 mil a year for 3 years? I don't think any team would give him much more than the MLE (actually probably not even more than the MLE) let alone $12 mil a year.
Bonn1997
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6/8/2008  4:05 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by 30andOverClub:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

Im sorry I just don't see where the need to swap #6 for #16 comes in without them offering another pick.

Randolph is a real nice fit with Dalembert & Miller
He fills a need
by unloading Evens they would only be paying him 10.6 on average for 3 yrs
He is 26yrs old and produces 20pts 10rebs
He has the same length on his contract as Evens

So why do we need to entice the deal any more than that? The risk of him being a cancer and bringing them down for 2 yrs before they buy him out for his 3rd is not worth the #6 pick because its not a gurantee to happen. Just as much as that could happen him fitting greatly and helping them advance to the ECC is just as much a possibility so those 2 possibilities cancel each other out.
You're asking them to take on an extra $70 mil (you know about the luxury tax, right?) without even offering to move down 6 to 16? That's just not happening.

[Edited by - bonn1997 on 06-08-2008 2:25 PM]

The luxury tax only comes into play for any salary where you are above the luxury tax threshold, which is somewhere between $60-65M (someone will come along with the exact figure I'm sure). Even taking on Zach's contract and resigning Iggy, there's a good chance that the 76ers will be under that threshold this year and, if they're conscientious of it, potentially for the rest of Zach's contract. And therefore pay no luxury tax on Zach's contract.

So the Sixers are taking a huge risk trading for Randolph and hoping that he does fit in, or else they're stuck with him and will have to either wait out his contract before moving on from the Randolph Error, or pay double for Randolph if they bring in quality players to replace the production that they were hoping to get from Randolph.

If Randolph proves again to be a malcontent in Philly, because of his contract his trade value will be zero. Right now, that risk is being assumed by the Knicks and their new GM and head coach. If Randolph can't fit in with Walsh and D'Antonio, he'll become untradeable. That's why you agree to swap picks. To get Randolph the hell off your team before the cancer grows and it becomes an even bigger problem.

Then there is the possibility that Randolph fits in real nice complimenting Dalembert providing balance of scoring, strong rebounding, shotblocking. Andre Miller, Iggy, & Young play good enough defense to give opponents fits from penitrating the paint covering Randolphs lack of shotblocking and defense while Dalembert also covers for him with his weakside shotblocking help defensive ability. Andre Miller sets Randolph up for many easy shots and layups keeping Randolph satisfied. Philly with there collection of athletic defenders perimeter defensers, balance inside, outside, & penitration game compete for the ECC the next 3yrs.

Randolph value is now real high again.

As much risk there is there is also potential gain.

Put a probability on both scenarios.

Here are mine:

The probability that Randolph remains a malcontent who doesn't fit into a team concept is about 85%.

The probability that Randolph plays nice with his teammates, fits into a team concept and behaves off the court is about 15%.

Taking Randolph with his contract and his baggage is a huge risk for the Knicks and you're asking the Sixers to assume all of that risk for the off chance that he'll fit in well.

If Randolph doesn't work out for the Sixers, do you understand the repercussions for them? They can't just eat the money, like MSG and Cablevision are happy to do, without affecting their entire organization. Believe it or not, you're not doing them any favors with that deal.

Given his history, 15% is generous.
newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  4:09 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by martin:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.

Wow, is there anything that can go wrong for the Sixers if they make this trade? Why is Randolph's value that depressed where he would be traded even up for a bench role player? Isn't Philly assuming that giant risk, while the Knicks are clearing the $70M they would pay for him and ridding themselves of someone whose behavior and selfish play has drastically depressed his value? That's why swapping first round picks makes it a reasonable trade, one that the Sixers might actually listen to.

If that trade goes down, I'll be the one praising Donnie Walsh. I'll be the one confident that Walsh can still find a solid player at 16, while some of you cry about how Walsh can only be trusted with high lottery picks.

The fact that they swapped him for a bench role player that doesn't even have an expiring contract is what takes most of the risk away its not like we are asking for Evens & #16. What ever risk they take is also leveled by potential gain. If Randolph was a free agent and offerd to sign there for a 3yr deal at 10.6mil you think that they would turn that down?

We would be giving Philly a lineup of Miller,Iggy,Young,Randolph,Dalembert & the #6 lottery pick.

While we wouldn't even have immediate cap space because we still would have Curry, Crawford & Jefferies on our team. Not to mention that we would probably want to resign Lee & possibly Nate Robinson. So we would be giving Philly a loaded team and possibly still not have cap space by 2010.

There is risk on our side as well, passing up on the #6 pick means that we are passing up on a chance and possibly a potential star. There is also the risk that we still don't get cap space by 2010, then there is the risk that even if we do get cap space we end up with a 2nd or 3rd tier free agent.

Randolph for Evens is a fair deal. They both fit what both teams are trying to do, both sides have risk and potential gains.

Where is the risk for the Knicks in a Randolph for Evans even up trade?

There is no real risk for the Knicks in Randolph for Evans straight up. But there isn't as much potential gain as Philly would be receiving either.

Philly doesn't have many options to improve other than there #16pick and like 7-8mil in cap space after they resign Iggy. What other big men are available to improve them without giving up someone from there core? They aren't getting Elton Brand without giving up Iggy in a S&T. They aren't getting Jamison without giving up Andre Miller or Dalembert. They aren't getting Rasheed Wallace without giving up Dalembert.

Maybe they can get Yi by taking back Bobby Simmons contract back and giving up the #16.

Channing Frye, Chris Wilcox, Kenyon Martin, Nene Hilario, Al Harrington, Kenny Thomas, Abdul Rahim are there best options.

Maybe they could offer #16 & a future pick for Al Harrington.
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newyorknewyork
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6/8/2008  4:22 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

How would they pay 70mil?

They are going into this offseason with a 35.7mil salary cap. Now subtract Evens 4.6mil next season = 31.1mil salary cap. Add Randolphs 14.6 = 45.7 salary cap. Now say they give Iggy a 12mil dollar contract, that equates to 57-58mil salary cap. Say they give him Rashard Lewis contract 15.6mil. That would equate to 61-62mil salary cap.
he National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap for the 2007-08 season will be $55.630 million. The new Cap goes into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 11, when the league’s “moratorium period” ends and teams can begin signing free agents and making trades.

The tax level for the 2007-08 season has been set at $67.865 million. Any team whose team salary exceeds that figure will pay a $1 tax for each $1 by which it exceeds $67.865 million.

I don't think Philly would care to much about being 7mil over the cap which will probably go up anyway to like 57mil next season in order to challenge for the ECC.

Like I said, they either have to accept that they will not add more payroll (which should be the case only if you have a finished product) or add payroll, which would put them over the luxury tax min. You're asking them to spend a quarter of their non luxury tax on one player (with a lot of baggage) and to spread the remaining three quarters on the other fourteen players. Do you really think Zach is worth that?

Another way of looking at it is that their taking on $35 mil in salary over 3 years (even without the luxury tax). If Zach was an FA, would you sign him for $12 mil a year for 3 years? I don't think any team would give him much more than the MLE (actually probably not even more than the MLE) let alone $12 mil a year.

Philly wants to win, most teams that want to win are willing to be over the salary cap for 3yrs in order to try and win. Also how much more payroll do you think they are going to try and add with a line-up of Miller, Iggy, Young, Randolph, Dalembert? They would still have there #16 and future picks, and mid level to try and keep improving.

He would be getting 10.6mil for 3yrs thats the average salary they would be paying him by unloading Evens, not 12.

You are going by your standards and think that every NBA team is going to go by your standards. Randolph would easily make 10.6mil for 3 seasons by an NBA team, EASILY. Any 26yr old who produces 20-10 will get 10mil in the open market no matter how much baggage they had. There will allways be a gm, coach, owner who thinks they have what it took to win with him.
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Bonn1997
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6/8/2008  5:20 PM
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

How would they pay 70mil?

They are going into this offseason with a 35.7mil salary cap. Now subtract Evens 4.6mil next season = 31.1mil salary cap. Add Randolphs 14.6 = 45.7 salary cap. Now say they give Iggy a 12mil dollar contract, that equates to 57-58mil salary cap. Say they give him Rashard Lewis contract 15.6mil. That would equate to 61-62mil salary cap.
he National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap for the 2007-08 season will be $55.630 million. The new Cap goes into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 11, when the league’s “moratorium period” ends and teams can begin signing free agents and making trades.

The tax level for the 2007-08 season has been set at $67.865 million. Any team whose team salary exceeds that figure will pay a $1 tax for each $1 by which it exceeds $67.865 million.

I don't think Philly would care to much about being 7mil over the cap which will probably go up anyway to like 57mil next season in order to challenge for the ECC.

Like I said, they either have to accept that they will not add more payroll (which should be the case only if you have a finished product) or add payroll, which would put them over the luxury tax min. You're asking them to spend a quarter of their non luxury tax on one player (with a lot of baggage) and to spread the remaining three quarters on the other fourteen players. Do you really think Zach is worth that?

Another way of looking at it is that their taking on $35 mil in salary over 3 years (even without the luxury tax). If Zach was an FA, would you sign him for $12 mil a year for 3 years? I don't think any team would give him much more than the MLE (actually probably not even more than the MLE) let alone $12 mil a year.

Philly wants to win, most teams that want to win are willing to be over the salary cap for 3yrs in order to try and win. Also how much more payroll do you think they are going to try and add with a line-up of Miller, Iggy, Young, Randolph, Dalembert? They would still have there #16 and future picks, and mid level to try and keep improving.

He would be getting 10.6mil for 3yrs thats the average salary they would be paying him by unloading Evens, not 12.

You are going by your standards and think that every NBA team is going to go by your standards. Randolph would easily make 10.6mil for 3 seasons by an NBA team, EASILY. Any 26yr old who produces 20-10 will get 10mil in the open market no matter how much baggage they had. There will allways be a gm, coach, owner who thinks they have what it took to win with him.

Guys who are "EASILY" worth $10.6 mil year would be worth more in a trade than Francis and Frye. (Technically, the correct value is over $11 mil annually.) I think we're gonna have to agree to disagree here, though. I hope you're right and we can take advantage of Philly though.
joec32033
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6/8/2008  6:49 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by martin:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

I don't have a high opinion on Zack Randolph at all really, Looking at it from a buisness sense we are overpaying when we shouldn't have to.

Philly wants to try and fit all there needs & desires in one deal because they don't have many pieces to play with. So they want to add Randolph & move up all in one.

Randolph is a nice fit for them reguardless. Randolph for Evens straight up is a fair deal. Swapping the #6 for #16 is overpaying. There for if they want to even out the deal they are going to need to add another draft pick.

If Randolph had 5yrs left I would understand, but he has 3. If it was Eric Dampier with his 6pts 7.5rebs I would understand, but its Randolph who is 26yrs old & can produce 20pts 10rebs. The fact that he is 26yrs old, produces 20pts 10rebs & has 3yrs left the same yrs as Evens AND FILLS A NEED FOR THEM should make Randolph for Evens more then enough. They fill a need and we fill a need. Again if they want the #6 they need to add another draft pick and that would still be great value for them.

Nets in 2001 traded #7 pick for #13, #18 & #23. So by my calculations with Randolph for Evens being an even swap(even though they are still making out like bandits), And the #6 pick having the value of 3 mid to late first rd picks. Asking for #16 & a future draft pick is still a steal for Philly.

Agreed with all of the above and I would add even more. Randolph FITS on their team. Dalembert is a rebounding, shotblocking, very mobile center; you have guards who lock down players; PG who passes and moves; etc. Philly lacks a post presence and a go-to scorer.

Wow, is there anything that can go wrong for the Sixers if they make this trade? Why is Randolph's value that depressed where he would be traded even up for a bench role player? Isn't Philly assuming that giant risk, while the Knicks are clearing the $70M they would pay for him and ridding themselves of someone whose behavior and selfish play has drastically depressed his value? That's why swapping first round picks makes it a reasonable trade, one that the Sixers might actually listen to.

If that trade goes down, I'll be the one praising Donnie Walsh. I'll be the one confident that Walsh can still find a solid player at 16, while some of you cry about how Walsh can only be trusted with high lottery picks.

The fact that they swapped him for a bench role player that doesn't even have an expiring contract is what takes most of the risk away its not like we are asking for Evens & #16. What ever risk they take is also leveled by potential gain. If Randolph was a free agent and offerd to sign there for a 3yr deal at 10.6mil you think that they would turn that down?

We would be giving Philly a lineup of Miller,Iggy,Young,Randolph,Dalembert & the #6 lottery pick.

While we wouldn't even have immediate cap space because we still would have Curry, Crawford & Jefferies on our team. Not to mention that we would probably want to resign Lee & possibly Nate Robinson. So we would be giving Philly a loaded team and possibly still not have cap space by 2010.

There is risk on our side as well, passing up on the #6 pick means that we are passing up on a chance and possibly a potential star. There is also the risk that we still don't get cap space by 2010, then there is the risk that even if we do get cap space we end up with a 2nd or 3rd tier free agent.

Randolph for Evens is a fair deal. They both fit what both teams are trying to do, both sides have risk and potential gains.

Where is the risk for the Knicks in a Randolph for Evans even up trade?

Zach Randolph, 07-08- 17.6 pts., 10.3 rebs., .459 FG%, 2 ast., .9 stls, 2.7 TO's per game.

Reggie Evans, 07-08-5.3 pts., 7.5 rebs., .439 FG%, .5 ast., .8 stls., 1.3 TO's per game.

[Edited by - joec32033 on 08 June 2008 18:50]
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newyorknewyork
Posts: 30259
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6/8/2008  6:51 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by newyorknewyork:

How would they pay 70mil?

They are going into this offseason with a 35.7mil salary cap. Now subtract Evens 4.6mil next season = 31.1mil salary cap. Add Randolphs 14.6 = 45.7 salary cap. Now say they give Iggy a 12mil dollar contract, that equates to 57-58mil salary cap. Say they give him Rashard Lewis contract 15.6mil. That would equate to 61-62mil salary cap.
he National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap for the 2007-08 season will be $55.630 million. The new Cap goes into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 11, when the league’s “moratorium period” ends and teams can begin signing free agents and making trades.

The tax level for the 2007-08 season has been set at $67.865 million. Any team whose team salary exceeds that figure will pay a $1 tax for each $1 by which it exceeds $67.865 million.

I don't think Philly would care to much about being 7mil over the cap which will probably go up anyway to like 57mil next season in order to challenge for the ECC.

Like I said, they either have to accept that they will not add more payroll (which should be the case only if you have a finished product) or add payroll, which would put them over the luxury tax min. You're asking them to spend a quarter of their non luxury tax on one player (with a lot of baggage) and to spread the remaining three quarters on the other fourteen players. Do you really think Zach is worth that?

Another way of looking at it is that their taking on $35 mil in salary over 3 years (even without the luxury tax). If Zach was an FA, would you sign him for $12 mil a year for 3 years? I don't think any team would give him much more than the MLE (actually probably not even more than the MLE) let alone $12 mil a year.

Philly wants to win, most teams that want to win are willing to be over the salary cap for 3yrs in order to try and win. Also how much more payroll do you think they are going to try and add with a line-up of Miller, Iggy, Young, Randolph, Dalembert? They would still have there #16 and future picks, and mid level to try and keep improving.

He would be getting 10.6mil for 3yrs thats the average salary they would be paying him by unloading Evens, not 12.

You are going by your standards and think that every NBA team is going to go by your standards. Randolph would easily make 10.6mil for 3 seasons by an NBA team, EASILY. Any 26yr old who produces 20-10 will get 10mil in the open market no matter how much baggage they had. There will allways be a gm, coach, owner who thinks they have what it took to win with him.

Guys who are "EASILY" worth $10.6 mil year would be worth more in a trade than Francis and Frye. (Technically, the correct value is over $11 mil annually.) I think we're gonna have to agree to disagree here, though. I hope you're right and we can take advantage of Philly though.

I guess we are.

Portland was about to land Oden & had Aldridge in the wings. Thats why they could afford to dump Randolph for Francis & Frye. Randolph also had 4 yrs left on his deal at the time. 3yrs 11mil is not that crazy of a contract. You keep thinking of Randolph as if he is over the hill like Steve Francis. Notice also how we had to give up a shorter contract & a prospect in order to get talent in return in a deal where Randolphs value was worse then it ever was. Why didn't Portland give up a draft pick or a prospect like Outlaw to us along with Randolph to unload him for Malik Rose & Q or Jerome James expiring contracts?

We aren't really taking advantage of Philly either because its a fair deal. Only thing we are doing is exploiting there desire to win and they would be exploiting our desire to shed salary.
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Where in the history of the NBA has a 20 year old 20-10 C traded with a HIGH lottery pick for

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