martin wrote:VDesai wrote:martin wrote:It's a weird extrapolation to me that 2 50 season wins means something has ceiling'ed out when both of those teams were completely different rosters and styles of play, give or take.This is year 1 of this roster.
Those 2 things seem to fit in different spaces to me or whatnot.
A full season is a pretty long time. We don't have a bunch of 29 yr old guys not 23 year old guys. Where is the evidence that the ceiling has been getting raised here. If anything we've somehow been playing worse as the season has gone on. Injuries are a part of that, but something isn't moving in the right direction.
I'm not convinced the Coach is holding us back. I think it's a roster that doesn't quite work too. But my only point is there's evidence of good coaches getting replaced and the same rosters performing better right in front of us this year. Its going to come down to some hard decisions one way or the other.
OK. That's a general statement without much context. You can pretty much say that every year as an excuse to move on from something. Also has nothing to do with Knicks situation.
Identify the problem. Fix the problem.
1. Knicks didn't have much of a bench this year. Deuce, Mitch, Cam are the main guys off bench and 2 of them are easy injury candidates. Precious so bad at end of year he doesn't get minutes. Could have played rookies or Gleague guys.
2. Facilitators, dribble penetration guys. Brunson, Cam are scores when at their best. Josh got maximized this year but has a deep 3point flaw that's easily exposed cause of the No Dribblers thing. OG Mikal Deuce suck at both. Kolek only real potential solution? Do the Knicks really have 1 guy on their roster that can just beat the pants off of a good defender? Just relentlessly score on him or make an assist off of a downhill dribble outside of straight line Josh?
3. Interior defense. Mitch was hurt, Huk too. KAT ain't solving this and Precious/Sims did not fit the small ball C. Don't know how to solve this other than Mitch, Huk health.
What else?
I feel like the "Year 1" argument would have held more water if Thibs played out the year like it was a "Year 1." What I mean by that, is if we felt we weren't quite ready to contend, then why did we use the same starting lineup the whole year, especially given how over the course of the year, they kept getting statistically worse? We're at the point know where its progressed to where Detroit's SL is +30 vs our SL and the game are all being lost at the beginning of the first half/second half. If we were playing a long game, than early in the long game is when you experiment/try things/solve problems. Data collection. Instead we leaned into what he felt were our best 5 players and the longer we went with it, the worse the data got, but we kept at it. I always felt like he was forcing it together somewhat in a crash course to create more chemistry. But whereas we were 1st or 2nd in offensive rating over the first 30 games or so, we've just kept declining and declining...
SO what are our options to get better next year? We're at the 2nd apron. We're out of draft picks. We have a vet min MLE. Our most tradeable players are at of questionable/declining value (Robinson, Mcbride, Bridges?). So then if the core is the same, what can you change to make it better. That's why the Atkinson/Bickerstaff example keeps bubbling it up. Same core, marginal roster changes, a significant change in offensive philosophy....+17 wins and the most lopsided first round margin in history. Results came, even though Bickerstaff helped revive that franchise, had good results and deserved the benefit of the doubt. He's even moved on and showed his worth by reviving another franchise.
I don't have a better coach to trot out here. I am a huge fan of Thibs. I still believe he is championship quality. But based on how this has played out, something different is required and we're limited on options. There is a reasonable rationale and a relevant example to support it. It may not be the direction we go, but if it isn't, is there enough improvement within that is possible under the same philosophy? I'm much lower conviction about that now than I have been.