nixluva wrote:crzymdups wrote:The idea that Dolan is gonna be cool with going with a youth movement with Melo here... I just don't see it happening. Phil is gonna want to show the Triangle works, Melo wants to contend, Dolan wants to be good in the same backward fashion he always wants it - buying a name to do it for him.The Knicks are gonna overspend on a name. That's just what's gonna happen.
What does it mean for Phil to overspend on a name? The guys who are most likely to be targeted will be well worth the money they'll ask for. Gasol is the most expensive and least likely to come. Butler is proven young impact player. Monroe is a young and rising double double. Matthews is a pro and there are no questions about him Danny Green would be the same. Drayman Green is the ultimate glue guy. Paul Millsap is a proven vet. I mean really we would get great production from the known FA's that we are likely to consider. I prefer the younger vets simple because we would get more years out of them. IMO they are worth the money we'd have to pay.
This is not to say that we shouldn't also target lower cost 2nd tier players. Paying the top tier FA's IMO is not about overpaying as much as making sure you get a proven talent.
Most of the guys you named are not coming here, let alone leaving their teams. Most of them are RFA.
Jimmy Butler is RFA and the best player on the Bulls - the Bulls will 100% sign him.
Draymond Green is RFA, the heart and soul of the Warriors, a leading defensive player of the year candidate, and Steph Curry's best friend on the team (the team with the best record in basketball) - the Warriors will 100% sign him.
Danny Green is not restricted, but is most certainly second tier and is most likely staying a Spur.
Millsap is UFA, but playing a starring role on the best team in the East. Why would he come here to play in a place where he'd almost certainly sacrifice half of his shots to Melo?
I don't want Greg Monroe - he's a defensive seive who barely ever looks engaged in the game he's playing. Sure, the Knicks can get him for $15M... but why would you want to waste cap room on him?
I'm sorry, but most of the free agency targets being thrown around... it's crazy talk. The Knicks chances of getting guys will come down to guys who are unhappy elsewhere and want a change. If they want money, they'll get more money and more years staying home. If they want to win... why would they come from the top teams in basketball to the Knicks? The new rules have made it less likely a player moves in free agency. Looking at some of the best young players in basketball on the best teams in basketball... they're just not coming here.
This is why I think Rondo and Tobias Harris are legit options - they are unhappy, want to play with Melo, want a change. Draymond Green ain't walking through the door - and if he did, the Warriors would just gleefully match whatever contract he signed.
I'd prefer to rebuild through the draft. But we should all be aware that Phil isn't going to be patient. His legacy is on the line, at least in his mind. Dolan ain't going to be patient because he's Dolan. Melo ain't going to be patient because he's 31 and doesn't want to be embarrassed anymore.