http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/mariosh01.html
For the record... in his rookie year, Marion averaged 10.2ppg/6.5rpg in 24.7 minutes. He was 21. In his 1 year (he transfered from JUCO) at UNLV, he averaged 18.7ppg/9.3rpg.
Ariza, on the other hand, was 19 last season. It's a little tough to compare with such a small sample size this season (3 games), but Ariza is averaging 8ppg/5.3rpg in 25.0 minutes so far. Who knows how his minutes will pan out as the season goes on, but he looks like he has the presence of an NBA starter. His development in college was limited by his asthma and his collapsed lung, so perhaps that chronic condition will eventually limit his upside somewhat.
Marion is a unique talent in the NBA--- he's one of a select few players in the last decade to average over 10rpg multiple times in his career at his listed height (6'7). Ariza is officially listed at 6'8". Also note that Marion's 3pt range didn't come around until his 4th season. Up until that point, Marion was essentially Cedric Ceballos + defense--- a garbage-point scoring dunker.
Ariza certainly has upside... but we can't really predict when he'll stop improving at a rapid rate. Sometimes the late bloomers make better players in the end vs those who leave college 100% polished and have little upside left (think someone like Shane Battier).
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by fishmike:
forget about pros, I'm talking about college players. If you saw Marion in college, or Igodala you would see what I am talking about. If anything Ariza is BEHIND those guys, not ahead. Maybe he eventually catches them but it appears he's got to learn skills that those guys had when they were recruited out of HS
How's he behind Marion when he's more productive on both ends of the court at age 20 than Marion was at age 21?
are you serious? are you serious? Marion was a monster at UNLV and by his 2nd year in the pros he was like 18/10. Get real.