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Woj: Thibs to Minn as coach and president; Layden as GM
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martin
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4/23/2016  4:08 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

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StarksEwing1
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4/23/2016  4:10 PM
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Bonn doesnt rely on anyone, he tells what he feels which i respect
Bonn1997
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4/23/2016  5:47 PM
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

newyorknewyork
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4/23/2016  7:37 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
knickscity
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4/23/2016  9:52 PM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


The team good be good could be bad. Maybe they could be the next GS, could also be the Pelicans.
Bonn1997
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4/24/2016  7:17 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.
Bonn1997
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4/24/2016  7:24 AM    LAST EDITED: 4/24/2016  7:27 AM
StarksEwing1 wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

Did KP not do enough to have a good indication of whether he could become a star? The Records he set for a rookie weren't enough for you?

Now let's be totally clear, THIS IS JUST THE BEGINNING!!! So it's not right to focus only on what we have at this moment, as if we won't have any future picks or the ability to sign any FA's over the next few years. Also can we allow some time to see what Jerian and Willy will turn out to be??? Seems a bit premature to assume we know what will become of KP, Jerian and Willy. I'm still looking to see what further development will come from Gallo, Thanasis, Early, Trice and even Wroten. Home grown role players are gonna be important too.

i agree about KP....kid is gonna be star. Now the question is if phil can build around him

He has exciting upside but there's no way to know that he's going to be a star. I'm looking at his advanced stats (like .102 WS48, 0.1 Box Plus Minus, 103 offensive and 103 defensive rating per 100 possessions) and they project reasonably well but with a lot of uncertainty. Plenty of people have had stats like these or even worse in their rookie years and gone on to be superstars. Others have had them and gone on to be busts. Although most players show significant improvement from their rookie years, a small segment peak in their rookie year and go downward. (Remember when people thought Channing Frye was the next Tim Duncan? That's just an example. I'm not saying KP is Frye. I mention him since he's the most recent exciting big man rookie we had.)
Bonn1997
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4/24/2016  7:25 AM
StarksEwing1 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Bonn doesnt rely on anyone, he tells what he feels which i respect

Thanks, man. I'm glad you post here!
newyorknewyork
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4/24/2016  8:11 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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4/24/2016  8:14 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.
newyorknewyork
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4/24/2016  9:17 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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4/24/2016  9:31 AM    LAST EDITED: 4/24/2016  9:33 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.
Nalod
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4/24/2016  9:39 AM
Bonn, Briggs is not the defacto authority on knick future. While I respect his dilligence, he tends to be a bit impulsive. Most of us are but laying the "State of the union" after a bad loss, or a bad game and extropolate that out is a reaction we all experience. You put more cred in Briggs statements than others is natural.

But lets not kid ourselves, we have a long way to go, but we have KP who POTENTIALLY change the game as we know it and Melo who is an asset under contract and might consent for a trade.

Few have faith in the continuity of decisions yet. If Spurs make a change its "they always do the right thing", where in MSG its "We usually don't". While Phil has yet to show results in the winning %, we are making decisions much different than before. Evident by the fact we swung for the fences and did draft KP than trade for safer assets. Seems logical either way, but phil is on a thought process that is very different that anything we have seen since Eddie Donovan ran the place.

newyorknewyork
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4/24/2016  12:33 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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4/25/2016  7:27 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.
newyorknewyork
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4/25/2016  7:42 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.

Yet he still has more upside and displayed more skills then most prospects in the east. Failure rate is high in the NBA so there is a strong probablitlity that most players don't become stars. Counting all the prospects that all these other teams have.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
4/25/2016  7:45 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.

Yet he still has more upside and displayed more skills then most prospects in the east. Failure rate is high in the NBA so there is a strong probablitlity that most players don't become stars. Counting all the prospects that all these other teams have.


Yeah but that's why any investor in any area will tell you diversifying is the best approach. Having six good prospects projects to a future that will probably be better than one excellent prospect.
newyorknewyork
Posts: 30259
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 1/16/2004
Member: #541
4/25/2016  8:05 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.

Yet he still has more upside and displayed more skills then most prospects in the east. Failure rate is high in the NBA so there is a strong probablitlity that most players don't become stars. Counting all the prospects that all these other teams have.


Yeah but that's why any investor in any area will tell you diversifying is the best approach. Having six good prospects projects to a future that will probably be better than one excellent prospect.

Yet like I stated before. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects since 2012.

I agree that having multiple prospects can't hurt and could pay off huge. But also depends on circumstance. If you are sacrficing everything else in hopes that one or 2 of these prospects pan out. Then you not really diversifying.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
4/25/2016  8:36 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.

Yet he still has more upside and displayed more skills then most prospects in the east. Failure rate is high in the NBA so there is a strong probablitlity that most players don't become stars. Counting all the prospects that all these other teams have.


Yeah but that's why any investor in any area will tell you diversifying is the best approach. Having six good prospects projects to a future that will probably be better than one excellent prospect.


Yet like I stated before. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects since 2012.

I agree that having multiple prospects can't hurt and could pay off huge. But also depends on circumstance. If you are sacrficing everything else in hopes that one or 2 of these prospects pan out. Then you not really diversifying.


Don't assume that. I'd have to look very carefully at all the players you're describing.
The thing is, even if that 10 or 15% chance of KP becoming a superstar actually does occur, it's not helpful if Phil doesn't surround him with excellent players. (Think KG in Minn.)
crzymdups
Posts: 52018
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 5/1/2004
Member: #671
USA
4/25/2016  9:09 AM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
martin wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Team that was .451 was one on the decline or at best not going anywhere. Shump in hindsight about hit his ceiling, JR, despite his talent was not a cornerstone that could be counted on. He was clowning. Tyson was grumpy, Priggs was 53 years old, and Bargs was lost.

Lets not lose sight over the exact state of the franchise at that time, not the retrospective winning %. The 54 game team was unsustainable and proved itself in the playoffs.


Is this team headed anywhere? Briggs is not exactly known as a hater and didn't he just post that he thought we had the 3rd or 4th worst future in the league? If KP doesn't become a star, we really don't have much.

****ing Unicorn.

Man up Bonn, if you don't think the team is headed anywhere, don't rely on BRIGG's option as maybe kinda sorta what you offer up as an opinion of what your opinion might be

Oh, I think at the moment we have poor positioning for the future since we're so dependent on 1 player and phil has gotten below average return on cap space.

very valid point. At the same time you and many others LOVED Houston's future when they signed Lin, traded for Harden for great value, then signed Dwight Howard. Also LOVED Denver's future after the trade. In 2011 NOBODY was talking about GSW being a future powerhouse as they were a 36 win team with a 2nd yr Steph Curry.


I LOVED Houston's future? I'm sure I thought they had a nice future, and they did have a nice run until this year.

Wasn't really the point I was looking to make. Your judgment wasn't wrong in feeling Houston was on a path to contendership. But there are to many variables that happen that changes the shape of things.


Oh, I think I misunderstood. Yeah, saying the team has poor positioning doesn't mean it's guaranteed to work out badly. It just means we're going to need much more luck and more unforeseeable factors working in our favor than most teams will need.

Its to early to claim what we have and don't have really. We added 2 rookies last yr and have a player coming from overseas that we don't know how good he is yet. There success or failure will shape things.


It's never too early to make projections. There's just more uncertainty within those projections if there's less data. It would be accurate to look at Grant's numbers and say they project poorly but that doesn't mean he will definitely be a bad player. There's a lot of uncertainty still. I think it would also be accurate to say we have fewer young players with numbers that project strongly than most teams do. Most teams have more guys on rookie contracts who have already demonstrated some success in this league than we do. If you don't want any uncertainty in projections, then you'd have to say all 30 teams are equal since we don't know what will happen.

Projections don't really hold much weight though.

We may not have a plethora of prospects. But especially in the East. There aren't many if any teams that currently have a prospect with the upside and potential of KP. All these teams would give up a TON of assets to acquire him from us. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects from 2012 u til now which add up to 9 or 10.


Projections are all we have. The only other option is to spend all day here describing what's happened in the past.
I think most Knicks fans are estimating KP's odds of becoming a superstar as higher than I am though. His advanced stats are much better than the average rookie, no doubt. So he would project as a much better than average NBA player. I'm going to take a guess though that only about 5% of rookies have who posted his kind of #s (like .102 WS48) end up becoming superstars. If we wanted to then combine that guess with eyeball information and if we also take into account his size, maybe we'll bump the odds up to maybe 10 or 15%. But the odds are heavily stacked against any one player becoming a superstar. There's also a small possibility (maybe 5%?) that he's one of those players that peak in their rookies years and go downward. A middle of the road prediction is probably that he'll be a very good player - like top 30 or 40.

Yet he still has more upside and displayed more skills then most prospects in the east. Failure rate is high in the NBA so there is a strong probablitlity that most players don't become stars. Counting all the prospects that all these other teams have.


Yeah but that's why any investor in any area will tell you diversifying is the best approach. Having six good prospects projects to a future that will probably be better than one excellent prospect.

Yet like I stated before. You wouldnt trade KP for all of Boston's draft prospects since 2012.

I agree that having multiple prospects can't hurt and could pay off huge. But also depends on circumstance. If you are sacrficing everything else in hopes that one or 2 of these prospects pan out. Then you not really diversifying.

Marcus Smart looked pretty damn good yesterday.

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Woj: Thibs to Minn as coach and president; Layden as GM

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