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Do you want Melo to return?


Author Poll
stanleybostitch
Posts: 731
Joined: 1/7/2006
Member: #1071

Do you want Melo to return, and if so under what circumstances?
Hell yes, pay the man what he wants. We're sunk without him.
Yes, but only if he takes a haircut.
Indifferent
No. It's time to move on and Melo won't work in system ball.
View Results


Author Thread
Uptown
Posts: 31325
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Joined: 4/1/2008
Member: #1883

7/7/2014  7:55 PM
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?

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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
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7/7/2014  7:57 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/7/2014  7:57 PM
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
7/7/2014  8:02 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/7/2014  8:04 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.
Uptown
Posts: 31325
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Joined: 4/1/2008
Member: #1883

7/7/2014  8:09 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  8:16 PM
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?

so here is what phil is thinking ....
mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  8:18 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
7/7/2014  8:20 PM
mreinman wrote:
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?


I don't get why we have to outbid other teams by 35 mil anyway if he likes NY as much as he does. The most other teams can offer is 4 years, $96 mil, right? I think that's what I heard. So give him 4 yrs, $97 mil.
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
7/7/2014  8:21 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.
mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  8:24 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?


I don't get why we have to outbid other teams by 35 mil anyway if he likes NY as much as he does. The most other teams can offer is 4 years, $96 mil, right? I think that's what I heard. So give him 4 yrs, $97 mil.

He could care less about NY. He wants Phil to show him love by giving him (or at least offering) max money.

It also looks bad on his part to be a mercenary. It would taint any success that he has with his third team.

This is all about ego and chess moves at this point.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  8:26 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$

so here is what phil is thinking ....
dk7th
Posts: 30006
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 5/14/2012
Member: #4228
USA
7/7/2014  8:32 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?


I don't get why we have to outbid other teams by 35 mil anyway if he likes NY as much as he does. The most other teams can offer is 4 years, $96 mil, right? I think that's what I heard. So give him 4 yrs, $97 mil.

He could care less about NY. He wants Phil to show him love by giving him (or at least offering) max money.

It also looks bad on his part to be a mercenary. It would taint any success that he has with his third team.

This is all about ego and chess moves at this point.

it's haiku time fellas:

the essence of zen?

is in being ego-less.

melo don't get that.

knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
7/7/2014  8:41 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.
mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  8:46 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.

I thought that a player can put in a list of approved teams, I could be wrong about that though.

If this scenario does happen I am sure that the spin machines will be in full force.

How about now? Dolan is a jerk off, we have sucked for years, NY fans are brutal, who wants to come here? Melo was the only star dumb enough to come to NY. Stars are much happier in other cities.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
anrst
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7/7/2014  8:56 PM
Go West, Old Man
ToddTT
Posts: 30640
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7/7/2014  9:16 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.

I thought that a player can put in a list of approved teams, I could be wrong about that though.

If this scenario does happen I am sure that the spin machines will be in full force.

How about now? Dolan is a jerk off, we have sucked for years, NY fans are brutal, who wants to come here? Melo was the only star dumb enough to come to NY. Stars are much happier in other cities.

I have nothing to add. I just wanted to be part of this ridiculously quoted conversation.

Oh good lord... https://www.youtube.com/shorts/XkmGrX7O0lQ
mreinman
Posts: 37827
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/14/2010
Member: #3189

7/7/2014  9:26 PM
ToddTT wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.

I thought that a player can put in a list of approved teams, I could be wrong about that though.

If this scenario does happen I am sure that the spin machines will be in full force.

How about now? Dolan is a jerk off, we have sucked for years, NY fans are brutal, who wants to come here? Melo was the only star dumb enough to come to NY. Stars are much happier in other cities.

I have nothing to add. I just wanted to be part of this ridiculously quoted conversation.

Yeah it pretty ridiculous to view.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Uptown
Posts: 31325
Alba Posts: 3
Joined: 4/1/2008
Member: #1883

7/7/2014  9:39 PM
mreinman wrote:
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?

If Phil puts a discounted contract on the table, then Melo wont have a choice. My point is, don't blame the player for taking the money that is being offered to him. If Phil wants him to sign a 5 year 110 mil contract then that's what you put on the table. Don't put 129 mil on the table then get upset and vilify me for signing it.

Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
7/7/2014  9:40 PM
mreinman wrote:
mreinman wrote:
ToddTT wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.

I thought that a player can put in a list of approved teams, I could be wrong about that though.

If this scenario does happen I am sure that the spin machines will be in full force.

How about now? Dolan is a jerk off, we have sucked for years, NY fans are brutal, who wants to come here? Melo was the only star dumb enough to come to NY. Stars are much happier in other cities.

I have nothing to add. I just wanted to be part of this ridiculously quoted conversation.

Yeah it pretty ridiculous to view.


ToddTT wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote:
babyKnicks wrote:
StarksEwing1 wrote: To be fair fish you do seem to jump all over someone if they dotn agree with your opinion. I mean if someone is even a fraction critical of melo you go ape**** lol. Believe me i wish we could sign anyone without restrictions but unfortunetly in the cap world you need to limit the max contracts and focus on the draft. I mean look at the Spurs. they are a world class organization because they dotn overpay and they draft well. So far Phil has done a fantastic job. The Mavs trade was a steal and im lookign forward to the rest of his moves and next years draft

i disagree...there are some madmen out there throwing out statements like "two bad shoulders", ".450 player", etc.

I mean, i've had my historical battles with fish, but he's definitely not of the islefan or bonn proportions...i mean, Bonn definitely disagrees to disagree and when he's boxed in says "i'll wait and see".

I'm waiting until the decision to see where all the madness falls out.

The should melo stay or go poll has it overwhelmingly for him to stay (even with a haircut), so to still have the far reaching opinions that melo is a bum, when the rest of hte world sees melo as the second best available Free Agent (and we all know lebron isn't really available) is what is the most frustrating.

Should we all sit back and let our best player, one year removed from the scoring champion and 54 wins, be killed for asking for a raise?

First off i ignore posters who either have a agenda or like a player too much and are never critical. Bonn is a pretty fair fan he may not be a big melo fan but he is objective. I've said all along i wouldnt mind having melo back BUT he must take a decent paycut to help the team especially at his age, i mean he isnt 26/27 anymore. I've always been fair with melo he is a great scorer and a good rebounder for his position BUT he has hoels in other parts of the game taht you cant ignore and hanst had a successful playoff record either.

Thanks; I do like Melo though and would love to have him back at a Parker/Duncan/Ginobili even Harden salary but nowhere near what most people are talking about here. I think we're on the same page.

The only reason for signing him to the max is that barring major injury, he is a very tradeable asset. You don't seem to be considering this.


Teams never give out 5 year max contracts just to trade the player. That's a big gamble. Has a team ever done that? There are tons of examples of teams letting very good players walk rather than giving out bad contracts but I can't think of any teams doing what you're talking about. It's just too big a gamble. Assuming he steadily declines as most players with his wear and tear do and the team plays still at a disappointing level, I see his value diminishing.
It certainly *could* work out well if we're signing him just to trade him but it could also be a monumental disaster.

I agree that it is a risk but so is letting him walk for zilch. Sux to be a GM, no?

There is a reason why we offered him the max and I am sure that it is not because he is worth that to us but his value on the open market is extremely high.

As we have discussed before, the market sets the price even if that price includes stupidity.

I am sure that a big part of the reason that we retain him at any cost is resale value.


Yeah, they're both risks but they're not comparable risks - him walking and us having a blank slate in a year vs. us being screwed until 2020? We should have traded him during the season when we had all the leverage. Now the best thing you can do is butter him up ("we're grateful for everything you've done the past 4 years") and encourage him to cooperate in an S & T. I'm sure he too would prefer an S & T over signing elsewhere and it doesn't carry the risk that a 5 year max deal does.

Regarding your last sentence, Phil was a great coach but I'm not starting with the premise that he does (or doesn't) know what he's doing as a GM. They're very different jobs.

Of course we should have traded him during the season, it was moronic that we didn't. What the heck was the plan there? His value was at an all time high. Its always that the trades that we did not do are the ones that we should have, not stupid Bargs!!

And yes, we should hope for a good S&T but I don't think that letting him walk for nothing is a good idea. I think that we bite the bullet and give him the max (if he does not do the smart thing and take less) and then we trade him next season. Chances are that his value will just as high and teams will be willing to give a way more in a playoff race.

So again, the point of contention is not what his actual worth is but what he can bring us in a trade and what he is worth to other teams.

I am sure that many teams have sign players knowing that the player will/may have significant trade value.


But what about signing the player *only* for his trade value? We're talking about signing a player that you specifically do not want to have at the price you're signing him at

I would not say "only" for his trade value. I think that his value is about 18 million so the over payment would be for the trade value.

If you would ask me what I would pay him with a no trade clause? I would say no more than 15-18.

Its scary but its a move that I think that most or all GM's would make. Sometimes you have to roll the dice and hold your nose.


If the value is $18 mil now, how gigantic is the overpayment going to be each year as he ages? What's a reasonable prediction for his value in his 17th season? Obviously a lot less than now, right?

I don't think his value is 18 next year, I think its the max. I do believe that as he ages his value will decline. I can't predict where he will be but that also depends if he continues his wild bulldozer style. That style is not sustainable. I think that he can thrive in a system and last far longer.

My gut tells me that Phil trades him now or next year (if Melo insists on the max).

Let me ask you ... do you not think that his value will be as high or even higher at the trade deadline?

I could be wrong but that is my prediction.


Probably not. I think the team will be disappointing and the $130 mil he's owed will look like a lot. He'll undoubtedly have some value but I don't think it's huge. How much are you going to get for him in a trade? Maybe one bad contract, one good player and two mid to late 1st round picks? Meanwhile you're going to overpay him by $50 mil. So you're basically paying $50 mil for two mid to late 1st round picks? (And I think it's overpaying by more like $70 mil.)

Well ... we value him differently. I think that we are overpaying by about 30 million but to Dolan he is not overpaying at all since Melo has proven to be a huge cash cow.

I think that his trade value mid season will be far higher than a bad contract and 2 late firsts. Remember, there are many desperate GM's out there.

Why do you think that Phil offered him the max (if true)?


Well I doubt Phil knows anything about the advanced stats. He probably thinks Melo is an impact player because he has a high PPG total and a good reputation. I don't think being a great coach and GM have much to do with each other.
Even if you're saying he's worth $18 mil for 5 years, that's overpaying by $40 mil.

Huh? You can't be serious, right? I assume that you said this in jest.

Phil is one of the smartest guys ever in the NBA. You assume that he "doesn't know anything about advanced stats"?

Of course he knows about advanced stats, everybody does at this point.


Also, let's say Melo signs for a $20 mil discount (5 years, $110 mil instead of $130 mil) and the media plays up how much he loves NY. He could have chosen anywhere but picked our .400 team and actually gave them a discount. Don't you think it would look bad and possibly deter other FAs if Melo signs here for a discount rather than joining the team of his choice, and then a few months later we trade him to whatever team we want to? No one would ever come here for a discount again.

That is too deep and too much thinking for most ball players.

And if he signs here then I am sure that Phil sold him on us being > .400 team.


"They screwed Melo by dumping him on a team he didn't want to go to and might do that to me to." It's not that deep. NBA players can handle that.

I assume that he will have some type of trade clause that prohibits the knicks from just shipping him off to any team, but I do see your point. I still don't think that players think that deep.

NY = $$$$


I don't think there are no-trade clauses in the NBA or anything like that.
We do look like dicks if we dump him in New Orleans or some place that he's never indicated any interest in.

I thought that a player can put in a list of approved teams, I could be wrong about that though.

If this scenario does happen I am sure that the spin machines will be in full force.

How about now? Dolan is a jerk off, we have sucked for years, NY fans are brutal, who wants to come here? Melo was the only star dumb enough to come to NY. Stars are much happier in other cities.

I have nothing to add. I just wanted to be part of this ridiculously quoted conversation.

Yeah it pretty ridiculous to view.

mreinman
Posts: 37827
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7/7/2014  9:53 PM
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Uptown wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
mreinman wrote:I still think that Melo coming here for the max is not gonna happen and just posturing on both sides.

It would be insanely stupid, mainly on Melo's part.

Disagree, how can you blame a player for signing a contract that his boss puts in front of him?


Is that a rhetorical question or you can't think of any reasons why people would blame him?

I understand why people would, but in reality, its unfair to vilify a player and call him selfish for signing a contract to the amount of money he's sloted to make. A slot that was negotiated by the owners and players. The main problem is having a cap on the salary but that's another discussion.

Players are paid to play. GM's /presidents are paid big bucks to put the pieces together and work around the cap. Don't offer me a contract that you don't want me to sign.

So you don't think that he should even take a small discount and give his team a better chance to win?

Do you honestly believe that it is more about the money or ego?

If Phil puts a discounted contract on the table, then Melo wont have a choice. My point is, don't blame the player for taking the money that is being offered to him. If Phil wants him to sign a 5 year 110 mil contract then that's what you put on the table. Don't put 129 mil on the table then get upset and vilify me for signing it.

I disagree. Phil offered Melo the max because Melo required him to.

Its in Melo's court not Phil's.

Phil is saying that if you handcuff me/us then we have no choice but its up to you to make the decision to take less for the good of the team.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
anrst
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USA
7/7/2014  10:10 PM
yall know this thread is completely illegible?
Do you want Melo to return?

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