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The Toronto Raptors remain interested in trading Kyle Lowry. Let's get the deal done. How can we do it? give up who?
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Dagger
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1/28/2014  5:01 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

Pretty high in 2018...

AUTOADVERT
Bonn1997
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1/28/2014  5:02 PM
gunsnewing wrote:1st rd pick? Once a draft. He just highlighted the last time a 1st was SF was 2007. 7yrs ago. This is a new cba

No it did happen about once a draft. The value has been set even if it happens less often now. There's really nothing to argue over though. He's asking Toronto to spend at least $10 to 15 mil on a 1st round pick 4 years from now. It's obvious why Toronto rejected the offer.
Bonn1997
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1/28/2014  5:02 PM
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

Pretty high in 2018...


Yeah, I thought you were proposing this trade in 2014 though.
gunsnewing
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1/28/2014  5:08 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/28/2014  5:18 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:1st rd pick? Once a draft. He just highlighted the last time a 1st was SF was 2007. 7yrs ago. This is a new cba

No it did happen about once a draft. The value has been set even if it happens less often now. There's really nothing to argue over though. He's asking Toronto to spend at least $10 to 15 mil on a 1st round pick 4 years from now. It's obvious why Toronto rejected the offer.

No Dolan rejected the offer. Well that's what was reported anyway

Dagger
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1/28/2014  5:17 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/28/2014  5:20 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:Shump, Felton, and a 1st SHOULD be enough.

If the raptors wont take that then forget it.


They'd be better off letting him walk. You're asking them to pay $18 mil for a distant first round pick and Shumpert - a guy who looks like a 2nd round pick.

Give up more than that when the Raptors have absolutely zero leverage? No thanks. This is not a player the raps have under contract for 4 years? How are they better off letting him walk for nothing than they are getting a 1st round pick, a back-up pg and a SG with decent potential...

Lowry is an above average PG but it's not like we're talking about an elite PG.

They can buy a first round pick (which is the only appealing asset we're giving them) for a lot less than $18 mil. Letting him walk is less bad. You're not looking at the finances of the situation.

Teams don't sell first round picks often anymore, and most teams don't have money left at the end of the year to buy the pick. If it was that easy we would have a first round pick every year. You're acting like a first round pick has no value, when has that ever been the case? It's sure as hell better than the whole lot of nothing they'll get when he walks. Where do you get the 18 million figure from, the salaries of Felton and Shumpert combined over the next 3-4 years to sound dramatic? Shumpert is an asset, he's not great but he has upside. If you want to talk salaries, even if we agree to an extension with Lowry it will probably be 40 million/4 years, so we're taking 40 MILLION back in salaries for a player that is playing well in a contract year, and may very quickly revert to a 5 million/year quality player. Then we wasted 20 million AND lost assets. The raptors aren't losing anything besides the chance they had to resign Lowry, which is not very high based on their determination to move him.

There is no risk in this move for Toronto and they have no leverage, it's a perfectly acceptable offer for a player they will lose in a few months. Shumpert and Felton are not net negative players and their contracts are small. I feel like I'm talking to Masai Ujiri right now... The Knicks would be fools to offer anymore than Felton, Shumpert and that pick. Anything more would be laughed at around the league as the Knicks getting fleeced again, outbidding themselves, and rightfully so.


If it sounds dramatic, asking them to spend that much on a 1st round pick in 2018 really is dramatic. It's not monopoly money. They really do have to spend that money. Show me the math. How much is Felton worth? Vet min? OK so that's $1 mil. How much would Shumpert get? I highly doubt more than 2 yrs, $4 mil right now. You're asking them to spend at least $13 mil on a 2018 pick. There's a reason why Toronto rejected that offer. Whether you want to see that reason, doesn't really matter. But show us how the math works out anyway. Or explain why Toronto doesn't care about the total money involved.

You're argument doesn't make sense and frankly it doesn't hold any water which it's why it's seldom used. You're actually using lowball hypothetical contracts to try to justify some point that Toronto would be wasting money signing our players, but your estimates of what the contracts will be are worthless.

Okay, you say Felton is a vet min player that would be signed for one year. I could just as easily, and just as plausibly, turn around and say he's a 3 million dollar a year player and say they'd pay him for three years. Same with Shumpert, you say he's worth 2 million a year, I say teams would be willing to pay him 4 million for 3 years. Oh look my estimates say they are worth 21 million, and that Toronto isn't wasting any money. My point- your estimates of their worth are just as worthless as the ones I just invented. Your argument rests on two points which are both flawed 1) Toronto doesn't overpay players, every player on their roster is worth what he's payed. (Hello Bargnani!)2) Toronto is a team struggling to even afford the salary cap, so much so that overpaying a player by 1 million a year would devastate the team's future. Plus even if Toronto thought the salaries were awful they could trade them because they are on low contracts, especially Shump. The way you're looking at this is just crazy. The raptors lose nothing by making this trade while we lose two assets, they are not losing because you choose to pretend Felton and Shumpert are vet min players that should be payed on 1-2 year contracts their entire careers.

Clean
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1/28/2014  5:19 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

It does not happen once a draft. It is not common at all. I just gave an example of it happening since he did not remember it. 1st rounders have much more value now due to new CBA(Knicks forgot this during barg trade). The value fluctuates depending on daft class quality.

gunsnewing
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1/28/2014  5:24 PM
^knicks forgot that? lol

So sad

I don't think they ever realized that you don't keep trading picks especially 1st rounders

What a frickin joke

CrushAlot
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1/28/2014  5:25 PM
Clean wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

It does not happen once a draft. It is not common at all. I just gave an example of it happening since he did not remember it. 1st rounders have much more value now due to new CBA(Knicks forgot this during barg trade). The value fluctuates depending on daft class quality.

Also, teams are only allowed to spend a certain amount annually on transactions (2 mil?).
I'm tired,I'm tired, I'm so tired right now......Kristaps Porzingis 1/3/18
Dagger
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1/28/2014  5:26 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

Pretty high in 2018...


Yeah, I thought you were proposing this trade in 2014 though.

It doesn't matter what year a pick is in, unless you think the raptors will be dissolving before 2018. Picks are not like money, a pick today is worth a pick in 5 years. Of course there are better and worse times to have a pick during the lifespan of a team, but this variation is due to external circumstances, the intrinsic value of the picks is not different.

Clean
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1/28/2014  5:32 PM
CrushAlot wrote:
Clean wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

It does not happen once a draft. It is not common at all. I just gave an example of it happening since he did not remember it. 1st rounders have much more value now due to new CBA(Knicks forgot this during barg trade). The value fluctuates depending on daft class quality.

Also, teams are only allowed to spend a certain amount annually on transactions (2 mil?).

If I remember correctly it is 3mil per year now. The old CBA was 3mil per trade.

Moonangie
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1/28/2014  6:05 PM
Any pick we trade from now on BETTER effing be protected. Enough with the idiocy!
Bonn1997
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1/28/2014  8:30 PM
gunsnewing wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:1st rd pick? Once a draft. He just highlighted the last time a 1st was SF was 2007. 7yrs ago. This is a new cba

No it did happen about once a draft. The value has been set even if it happens less often now. There's really nothing to argue over though. He's asking Toronto to spend at least $10 to 15 mil on a 1st round pick 4 years from now. It's obvious why Toronto rejected the offer.

No Dolan rejected the offer. Well that's what was reported anyway


When they asked for more, then Dolan rejected it
Bonn1997
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1/28/2014  8:34 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/29/2014  1:13 AM
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:Shump, Felton, and a 1st SHOULD be enough.

If the raptors wont take that then forget it.


They'd be better off letting him walk. You're asking them to pay $18 mil for a distant first round pick and Shumpert - a guy who looks like a 2nd round pick.

Give up more than that when the Raptors have absolutely zero leverage? No thanks. This is not a player the raps have under contract for 4 years? How are they better off letting him walk for nothing than they are getting a 1st round pick, a back-up pg and a SG with decent potential...

Lowry is an above average PG but it's not like we're talking about an elite PG.

They can buy a first round pick (which is the only appealing asset we're giving them) for a lot less than $18 mil. Letting him walk is less bad. You're not looking at the finances of the situation.

Teams don't sell first round picks often anymore, and most teams don't have money left at the end of the year to buy the pick. If it was that easy we would have a first round pick every year. You're acting like a first round pick has no value, when has that ever been the case? It's sure as hell better than the whole lot of nothing they'll get when he walks. Where do you get the 18 million figure from, the salaries of Felton and Shumpert combined over the next 3-4 years to sound dramatic? Shumpert is an asset, he's not great but he has upside. If you want to talk salaries, even if we agree to an extension with Lowry it will probably be 40 million/4 years, so we're taking 40 MILLION back in salaries for a player that is playing well in a contract year, and may very quickly revert to a 5 million/year quality player. Then we wasted 20 million AND lost assets. The raptors aren't losing anything besides the chance they had to resign Lowry, which is not very high based on their determination to move him.

There is no risk in this move for Toronto and they have no leverage, it's a perfectly acceptable offer for a player they will lose in a few months. Shumpert and Felton are not net negative players and their contracts are small. I feel like I'm talking to Masai Ujiri right now... The Knicks would be fools to offer anymore than Felton, Shumpert and that pick. Anything more would be laughed at around the league as the Knicks getting fleeced again, outbidding themselves, and rightfully so.


If it sounds dramatic, asking them to spend that much on a 1st round pick in 2018 really is dramatic. It's not monopoly money. They really do have to spend that money. Show me the math. How much is Felton worth? Vet min? OK so that's $1 mil. How much would Shumpert get? I highly doubt more than 2 yrs, $4 mil right now. You're asking them to spend at least $13 mil on a 2018 pick. There's a reason why Toronto rejected that offer. Whether you want to see that reason, doesn't really matter. But show us how the math works out anyway. Or explain why Toronto doesn't care about the total money involved.

You're argument doesn't make sense and frankly it doesn't hold any water which it's why it's seldom used. You're actually using lowball hypothetical contracts to try to justify some point that Toronto would be wasting money signing our players, but your estimates of what the contracts will be are worthless.

Okay, you say Felton is a vet min player that would be signed for one year. I could just as easily, and just as plausibly, turn around and say he's a 3 million dollar a year player and say they'd pay him for three years. Same with Shumpert, you say he's worth 2 million a year, I say teams would be willing to pay him 4 million for 3 years. Oh look my estimates say they are worth 21 million, and that Toronto isn't wasting any money. My point- your estimates of their worth are just as worthless as the ones I just invented. Your argument rests on two points which are both flawed 1) Toronto doesn't overpay players, every player on their roster is worth what he's payed. (Hello Bargnani!)2) Toronto is a team struggling to even afford the salary cap, so much so that overpaying a player by 1 million a year would devastate the team's future. Plus even if Toronto thought the salaries were awful they could trade them because they are on low contracts, especially Shump. The way you're looking at this is just crazy. The raptors lose nothing by making this trade while we lose two assets, they are not losing because you choose to pretend Felton and Shumpert are vet min players that should be payed on 1-2 year contracts their entire careers.

Except the dollar values you're proposing don't pass the laugh test.
You won't find any metric that justifies giving those salaries to Felton or Shumpert
It's not like the eyeball test says they're particularly valuable either
When Felton was a few years younger and healthier, he only got $4 mil a year. And Shumpert is playing like an NBDL call up. There isn't much of a market for starters averaging only 7 points on .388 shooting. The #1 pick of the draft only gets $4 mil per season. A team isn't going to pay him more than they'd pay a new draft pick or give to an undrafted rookie.

RonRon
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1/28/2014  10:29 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/28/2014  10:32 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:Shump, Felton, and a 1st SHOULD be enough.

If the raptors wont take that then forget it.


They'd be better off letting him walk. You're asking them to pay $18 mil for a distant first round pick and Shumpert - a guy who looks like a 2nd round pick.

Give up more than that when the Raptors have absolutely zero leverage? No thanks. This is not a player the raps have under contract for 4 years? How are they better off letting him walk for nothing than they are getting a 1st round pick, a back-up pg and a SG with decent potential...

Lowry is an above average PG but it's not like we're talking about an elite PG.

They can buy a first round pick (which is the only appealing asset we're giving them) for a lot less than $18 mil. Letting him walk is less bad. You're not looking at the finances of the situation.

Teams don't sell first round picks often anymore, and most teams don't have money left at the end of the year to buy the pick. If it was that easy we would have a first round pick every year. You're acting like a first round pick has no value, when has that ever been the case? It's sure as hell better than the whole lot of nothing they'll get when he walks. Where do you get the 18 million figure from, the salaries of Felton and Shumpert combined over the next 3-4 years to sound dramatic? Shumpert is an asset, he's not great but he has upside. If you want to talk salaries, even if we agree to an extension with Lowry it will probably be 40 million/4 years, so we're taking 40 MILLION back in salaries for a player that is playing well in a contract year, and may very quickly revert to a 5 million/year quality player. Then we wasted 20 million AND lost assets. The raptors aren't losing anything besides the chance they had to resign Lowry, which is not very high based on their determination to move him.

There is no risk in this move for Toronto and they have no leverage, it's a perfectly acceptable offer for a player they will lose in a few months. Shumpert and Felton are not net negative players and their contracts are small. I feel like I'm talking to Masai Ujiri right now... The Knicks would be fools to offer anymore than Felton, Shumpert and that pick. Anything more would be laughed at around the league as the Knicks getting fleeced again, outbidding themselves, and rightfully so.


If it sounds dramatic, asking them to spend that much on a 1st round pick in 2018 really is dramatic. It's not monopoly money. They really do have to spend that money. Show me the math. How much is Felton worth? Vet min? OK so that's $1 mil. How much would Shumpert get? I highly doubt more than 2 yrs, $4 mil right now. You're asking them to spend at least $13 mil on a 2018 pick. There's a reason why Toronto rejected that offer. Whether you want to see that reason, doesn't really matter. But show us how the math works out anyway. Or explain why Toronto doesn't care about the total money involved.

You're argument doesn't make sense and frankly it doesn't hold any water which it's why it's seldom used. You're actually using lowball hypothetical contracts to try to justify some point that Toronto would be wasting money signing our players, but your estimates of what the contracts will be are worthless.

Okay, you say Felton is a vet min player that would be signed for one year. I could just as easily, and just as plausibly, turn around and say he's a 3 million dollar a year player and say they'd pay him for three years. Same with Shumpert, you say he's worth 2 million a year, I say teams would be willing to pay him 4 million for 3 years. Oh look my estimates say they are worth 21 million, and that Toronto isn't wasting any money. My point- your estimates of their worth are just as worthless as the ones I just invented. Your argument rests on two points which are both flawed 1) Toronto doesn't overpay players, every player on their roster is worth what he's payed. (Hello Bargnani!)2) Toronto is a team struggling to even afford the salary cap, so much so that overpaying a player by 1 million a year would devastate the team's future. Plus even if Toronto thought the salaries were awful they could trade them because they are on low contracts, especially Shump. The way you're looking at this is just crazy. The raptors lose nothing by making this trade while we lose two assets, they are not losing because you choose to pretend Felton and Shumpert are vet min players that should be payed on 1-2 year contracts their entire careers.

Except the dollar values you're proposing don't pass the laugh test.
You won't find any metric that justifies giving those salaries to Felton or Shumpert
It's not like the eyeball test says they're particularly valuable either
When Felton was a few years younger and healthier, he only got $4 mil a year. And Shumpert is playing like an NBDL call up.

We simply don't do a good job developing
Like Trevor Ariza who was also pretty bad in NYK but turned in to a very good complimentary player in Lakers

We can blame that on our philosophy/system, Iman playing out of position, Iman playing with NO PG (Melo plays point/forward 1/2 the times)
He really tries to do everything from rebounding the ball, defending, pushing the ball, spreading the offense, and the kid doesn't get the credit that with numbers playing out of position

He does in fact need to work on his handle and improve his PG skills, but having players that emphasize PUSHING the ball more, attacking the basket, and better spacing would greatly help
NOT play the PG but work on those skills to help more, he has been playing more liks a SF which he is NOT
He has to be stronger to make up for his size, while he should be working on his speed/quickness and footwork to defend the PG/SG positions but our team is flawed

Lets be honest,
We do need to place a better emphasize on player development, even if Lance Stephenson was drafted by us, he would NEVER have turned out to be a rotational player
That is why we don't value our 2nd round picks

Bonn1997
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1/29/2014  9:10 AM
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Clean wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:I don't think over ever seen teams buy 1st round picks. I've seen 2nd rd picks be sold

Portland acquired James Jones and the draft rights to 24th pick Rudy Fernández from Phoenix in exchange for cash considerations. The trade was finalized on July 11, 2007


Yeah, it happens about once a draft. Usually current first round non-lottery draft picks go for a couple million. I can't imagine how low the value of a 2018 pick would be.

Pretty high in 2018...


Yeah, I thought you were proposing this trade in 2014 though.

It doesn't matter what year a pick is in, unless you think the raptors will be dissolving before 2018. Picks are not like money, a pick today is worth a pick in 5 years. Of course there are better and worse times to have a pick during the lifespan of a team, but this variation is due to external circumstances, the intrinsic value of the picks is not different.


Well then maybe we can get Lebron for all of our picks in the 2100s!
BRIGGS
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1/29/2014  7:35 PM
Watching him right now--the owners of the Raptors arent trading this player. Dolan made a HUGE HUGE mistake not listening on this one.
RIP Crushalot😞
smackeddog
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1/30/2014  4:13 AM
BRIGGS wrote:Watching him right now--the owners of the Raptors arent trading this player. Dolan made a HUGE HUGE mistake not listening on this one.

How much is he going to get paid after this season though? What happens when his athleticism starts to decline in a season or two? He's injury prone too. What happens in 2018- if Melo re-signed he'd be at the end of his career and Lowry on the decline, if Melo didn't re-sign we'd be rebuilding- that would likely be a high pick. I'd love to have him on the Knicks, but it comes at too high a price.

Bonn1997
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1/30/2014  5:28 AM    LAST EDITED: 1/30/2014  5:33 AM
He's averaged about 72 games a season excluding his rookie year. He's really not injury prone. I think Toronto will give him slightly below a max contract - maybe 5 years, 55 mil.
playa2
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1/30/2014  11:09 AM
Waiting to see what you guys say when Toronto trades or allows Lowry to walk.
JAMES DOLAN on Isiah : He's a good friend of mine and of the organization and I will continue to solicit his views. He will always have strong ties to me and the team.
Bonn1997
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1/30/2014  11:17 AM    LAST EDITED: 1/30/2014  11:17 AM
You're taking this too seriously. Toronto has paid many players a lot and I think they will with Lowry but I don't care if they don't.
The Toronto Raptors remain interested in trading Kyle Lowry. Let's get the deal done. How can we do it? give up who?

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