yellowboy90
Posts: 33942
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 4/23/2011
Member: #3538
|
mreinman wrote:CrushAlot wrote:mreinman wrote:ChuckBuck wrote:Knixkik wrote:ChuckBuck wrote:Gross....comparing Me7o to The Truth who won a NBA Finals MVP and made it to 2 NBA Finals.Disgusting comparison. Look at them as individual talents. Remember, his championship and finals mvp aren't possible without Garnett and Allen. 2 stars. Prior to the celtics adding those 2 players, their careers were very comparable, even with Melo possibly having a slight advantage (to age 31). Remember, there were years Pierce missed the playoffs in the east. But Pierce has had a better career, for the reasons you stated. Agreed, they were comparable, pre big 3(4). Pierce 2007-2008 season on, a better all around player than Me7o, for reasons stated in the previous posts. No matter who they brought in, you still have to play the games. Kobe had Dwight and Nash before that experiment failed. Barkley went to Houston with Pippen even. No matter what players come in, you have to make it work and Pierce made it harmoniously so, after averaging 25-26 pts/game for his Boston career. He could've easily said, this is my team, you guys make sure I average my 25, but he sacrificed. again ... melo never had years like PP did in 2005 and 2006 Celtics won 33 games in 06. and? So its possible I guess to have efficient stats with shytty teammates. You know KnickerBlogger had an interesting discussion on Melo's efficiency a few days ago. It heats up here..http://knickerblogger.net/knicks-morning-news-2015-08-05/#comment-506576 some key points..
Take this link. http://bkref.com/tiny/v02QdIt’s all player seasons of the last 3 years with TS% above 54.5 and pts/36 above 24. Looks like Carmelo Anthony is right there with everyone else. Then sort by TS% or WS, and Melo goes to the bottom with Boogie, Klay Thompson, and 52 year old Kobe Bryant. Notice that the top slots are all LeBron, Durant, Curry, and Harden. AD also makes his first appearance just outside of those 4.
@143 first off thats a great list. Second there are alot of repeats of names so it makes it look like the list is bigger than it is. There are only 11 unique players on that list of 16 entries. Only Melo, KD, LBJ and Harden are on there more than once. If you sort by FG% harden is dead last.Your list is a list of elite, so i dont understand the point that you were trying to prove?
Well, first if you’re familiar with Bill James, you’ll know the “make a list” fallacy. Carmelo Anthony looks like an elite scorer depending on how you parse the lines. Why did I arbitrarily draw the line at 54.5% ts% and 24 pts/36? Why not 56.5% and 20 pts/36? Then ‘Melo falls off the list and you get Kyrie Irving and Goran Dragic and Isaiah Thomas, among others.Second is that even if we draw the lines favorably to Melo, it makes it seem like he’s in the same group as LeBron and Durant. But sort the list and it’s pretty easy to notice the gap between the truly elite and Melo. Actually, Mike, what you demonstrated is that it’s pretty damn hard to average above 24pts/36 and to have a TS% of over 55%. Only players in the conversation of “elite players” make the list. He is also near the top of that sort in usage and by far the best in turnovers vs. possessions used. He’s near the top in offensive rebounding. So while PER, WS and TS% don’t bear him out so well, other things do.Also note that his 2 best years are wrapped around last year’s LeBron. Does that mean that at his best, Melo is similar to LeBron’s current level of performance, at a league-leading usage? I’m good with that.
http://bkref.com/tiny/JGjtOHere’s a search of player-seasons since 2000 of over a 30% with a TS% of .560 or above. It’s a very elite list. The only non-consensus HOFer on that list is Arenas, and maybe Amare. Change the sort to a TS% below .560: http://bkref.com/tiny/mlB8e Quite a few new players show up: Stackhouse, Webber, Baron Davis, Ben Gordon, etc.
So Carmelo is a rare player. That doesn’t make him highly productive.If anything, that rarity should suggest that a team does not need a high volume scorer to be successful.
Here’s a search of player-seasons since 2000 of over a 30% with a TS% of .560 or above. It’s a very elite list. The only non-consensus HOFer on that list is Arenas, and maybe Amare. Why 56% and 30%? Why not 56.5%? I changed it to ts% of 60%, usage of 25% and minutes to 2500. Guess who shows up? Rk Player Season USG% TS% 1 LeBron James 2012-13 30.2 .640 2 Kevin Durant 2013-14 33.0 .635 3 Kevin Durant 2012-13 29.8 .647 4 LeBron James 2009-10 33.5 .604 5 James Harden 2014-15 31.3 .605 6 Dirk Nowitzki 2006-07 28.9 .605 7 Kevin Durant 2009-10 32.0 .607 8 LeBron James 2013-14 31.0 .649 9 Stephen Curry 2014-15 28.9 .638 10 Amare Stoudemire 2007-08 28.2 .656 ... http://knickerblogger.net/knicks-morning-news-2015-08-05/#comment-506604
PPP 2012-2014FWIW Melo: 1.13 Harden: 1.13 Durant: 1.20 James: 1.22 When turnovers are considered, Melo is not “slightly above average”!! Not even close. The most efficient offense in the NBA the last 3 years is the Los Angeles Clippers. They have averaged 1.12 points per possession. Melo averaged 1.13 prior to last year, according to NBA wowy. Melo is more efficient on the possessions he uses than the most efficient offense in the league. The league average PPP the last three years is about 1.06, (an offensive rating of 106). Melo is worth 7 more points per 100 possessions than the average offensive player. That’s WAY above average. It’s not off the charts like Lebron, Durant, and Paul, but it’s at the end of the chart. 1.002, 1.033, 1.032, 1.05, 1.07, 1.03, 1.12, 1.05, 1.06, 1.10, 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.06, 1.055, 1.02, 1.08, 1.07, 1.04, 1.06, 1.09, 1.10, 1.05, 1.09, `1.05, 1.08, 1.087, 1.03
What is Melo’s value to an NBA offense?Year, +/-, O-Rating ’14-15: +12.5, 107.9 ’13-14: +6, 109.4 ’12-13: +5.7, 113.4 ’11-12: +2.1, 105.5 ’10-11:+2.7, 114 ’09-10: +4.3, 113.5 ’08-09: +7.5, 113.5 When Melo is on the floor, regardless of teammates/synergies etc., you can bank on having a really good offense.
Mike, there is a huge difference (bell curve-wise) between 25% and 30+% usage, you know that. You are actually helping to make my points, which are:1. Only HOF-level talents are able to maintain a solidly above league-average TS% at the high extremes of usage. Melo is clearly one of those talents, as only he, Bryant, LeBron, Durant, Wade, and O’Neal have done it at least 4 times. This makes him an elite offensive talent, albeit the least efficient in that group. I won’t argue that Carmelo Anthony is an above average scorer. Very high usage. Above average efficiency. But let’s not pretend he’s in the same category as Bryant, James, Durant, etc. Because if he is, then so is Cousins. And then you don’t really have a group of elite players. Rather you have a group of players that score a lot at a pretty good efficiency. “…when a player decreases his usage by 1%, his efficiency increases roughly by 0.2 (in offensive rating), while increasing his usage by 1% decreases his efficiency by 0.2.(http://ascreamingcomesacrossthecourt.blogspot.com/2013/05/usage-versus-efficiency.html)
|