holfresh wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:holfresh wrote:dk7th wrote:holfresh wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:holfresh wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:holfresh wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:holfresh wrote:mreinman wrote:@holfreshI completely missed your point.

Edit: I see now ... I think that the misses are more costly.
Again, look at the Harden vs Blake numbers. How did Blake have a higher TS?
No, as in the example above..2-2 free throws = 2 pts = TS%113.6...FG 1-1 = 2pts TS%100..As in the player examples posted above..Thus 2pts at the ft line is more valuable than 2 pts scored on the court..Simple stuff..I'm not sure why you can't understand that...A 3 pointer, FG 1-1= TS%150..Can't make this sh!t up...So Harden can go 7-20 every game..Hit some ft and keep jacking threes, Morey will show u the vault...
Plug the values I have into your formula and see the results for yourself...Please do tell me the findings..I hope you are seated..
Scoring at the line *is* more valuable than from the field. You're getting the opposing team in foul trouble.
If Melo's being guarded by Lebron and you give me the choice of Melo making an FG or getting a foul on Lebron (and making both FTs), I'll take the latter.
I'm looking at numerical value while you are looking at strategic value..How does one quantify strategic value?
Well, numerically, the issue is that the average free throw uses up 0.44 possessions. That's because sometimes a player will go to the line without a possession being used up (a technical or flagrant) and other times 3 FTs = 1 possession. Also, if you make the FG and get fouled, the 1 FTA doesn't use up any possessions - the 1 FGA already does. So the .44 value works correctly with a large sample. There isn't enough data in the box score to actually check how many possessions each FT did take up. You have to use this general conversion rate.
So included in the formula is the FG attempts that aren't counted by traditional stats that I keep bringing up..So saying that Harden scored 31 pts on 20 shots isn't what is represented in TS%..In this particular case, TS% says he took 28 shots..(.44X18)..Some one needs to break this to mreinman..I hope he is seated..
That's correct (except I'd use the term possessions rather than shots).
Note that 31 points on 28 possessions is fairly good, though. Mreinman never said they weren't possessions. He said they weren't shots.
I do agree with you that there are much better stats than points per shot though.
Shot attempts/possessions same thing..U guys just want to speak differently in your exclusive boys club..Enjoy..
what would you rather have harden do?
Nothing..Harden is fine..Its you guys trying to tell me I'm watching efficiency..Save it please..
You yourself said that Harden had 31 points on 28 possessions. That's 111 points per 100 possessions. It's below Harden's average but it's still good. That number over the course of a full season would put him just outside of the top 20 in the league.
I was more questioning the methodology of analyzing Harden's numbers where ft is more highly valued..But 7-20 is 35% in the conventional world..U are trying to put lipstick on a pig...
Ah .... the double standard .... lipstick on a pig (I like how that sounds)
X=player who can do no wrong and who shall remain nameless
PPG
Harden = 26.7
x = 28.9
FG (your fav stat that was made famous in the 1800's)
Harden = 42.6
X = 40.6 (lipstick on pig?)
eFg (even you probably don't ignore this one)
Harden = 49.8
X = 43.4 (oy vey)
TS (the gold standard (for those who are not on gilligan's island))
Harden = 61.8
X = 49.7
Assists
Harden = 8.0
X = 2.3
FTA
Harden - 10.4
X = 7.3
Rebounds
Harden = 4.8
X = 6.6 (yipeeeeeeee he got this one)
WS48 (ouch ... stay away from the fancy stuff)
Harden = .203
X = .114
maybe algebra, X, and math are not my thing ... but I do smell something funny.
Whats lipstick on a pig for one is kate upton to another (with rosy shades)
so here is what phil is thinking ....