TripleThreat wrote:F500ONE wrote:If all they're going to get you as of today is Dion Waiters and Mozgov and Brandan Wright and Jeff GreenThen I think some of us or overestimating their value
1) The way and manner in which first round draft picks are handled, in terms of franchise rights, slotting for salaries, option years, requirements for guaranteed money, etc - all that is vested until 2020. This provides a COST CERTAINTY to every NBA franchise and it's respective front office.
2) There will be a LABOR WAR in 2016. It's not a question of IF but FOR HOW LONG. Like the last labor war, you are certain to see changes in the format under which teams can build/rearm/acquire talent/retain their own talent.
I simply don't see, in my view, the upside in trading away a first round pick that extends beyond the next true labor war between the owners and the players union. While the vested format for first round draft picks offers COST CERTAINTY, the reality is that changes around the rest of the way teams can operate might raise the valuation of those picks in contrast to other team building methods in a relative sense.
Can and do teams overestimate the value of first round picks and cost controlled years? Yes, it's probably likely in some instances and some cases. Getting four cheap years of a guy at about the level of a Rick Brunson or a Brian Scalabrine isn't going to move the needle for you. It still comes down to finding the RIGHT players.
Should the Knicks refrain from trading first rounders absolutely? No, I don't believe that. I think you have to look at a deal on a case by case basis, given your situation at the time and factor in the league's entire marketplace.
But, considering all that, should the Knicks be trading first round draft picks RIGHT NOW. My take is No. There is no upside to it.
2018 is a LONG LONG LONG WAY OFF when you are considering sports years from now. There is too much volatility in the league's structure right now to safely assume what those picks will be worth. And until you do, you don't trade that far into the future.
Could trading a 2018 first be sensible at some point down the road? Maybe, but you can still make that deal LATER if you need to do it.
There exist very few mechanisms for NBA teams to get better, the Knicks are not in a position now to start limiting those for the future.
I would love if Phil had the juice to
Accumulate picks A La Danny Ainge but in 2016 we have no picks
Guess what we ain't trying to duplicate this season again
Which means Phil will be working in over drive to make sure the cap space pays off
Not just for who he signs but for us more importantly
He can't afford for this team to be bad and get off to a slow start next year
Since his arrival he's essentially acquired 3 2nd picks
And surrendered 3 second round picks although 1 is a swap option
I don't see a pick Centirc exec here, even Hinkie[Philly's GM] knowing his team
Wasn't going to be good didn't simply bank on his 1st round returns by default
He accumulated 2nd rounders by the droves, Ainge has been a burrier of nuts himself
I understand what you're getting about embarking on future endeavors
But giving up a 2018 1st rounder is not going to make or break our success
I'm for 1 who wished we had done a very traditional rebuild from the start
We're kind of past that now