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gunsnewing
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7/14/2014  9:33 AM    LAST EDITED: 7/14/2014  9:36 AM
fishmike wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:$122,000,000.00

What happens if Carmelo misses time? His contract becomes albatross but like I said par for the course for the Knicks. Fingers crossed I guess

your cutting his checks now? Is he playing on surgically repaired joints? Everything in life has a downside. Everything has risk. This is why you dont trade draft picks right? How many future first rounders has Phil traded away yet?

That is true. I don't think Phil would panic like our precious GM's and starphuch for our picks. Looking at it like that maxing out Melo isn't the end of the world for now.

I would love the opportunity to do what the spurs did 17yrs ago when David Robinson went down. Cheap young superstar talent

AUTOADVERT
meloshouldgo
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7/14/2014  9:37 AM
CrushAlot wrote:
meloshouldgo wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:And nix there are reports the cap could hit $80mm after the tv deal.

Yeah I mean people need to get off this obsession with one players salary. That isn't going to stop us from doing anything. What kills you is contracts like STAT's and Bargs. Since we only have them for one season and maybe less, that isn't worth biotching about. NEW F'N DAY!!! We aren't in cap hell anymore and we have talent and picks in the future. This is about what Phil and his staff can do from here to put together a winning team using every option draft picks, trades, FA's alike.

Would you continue to feel this way if Melo needs shoulder surgery or tears an ACL in the first 40 games? The reason we don't like this type of contract is it then becomes an albatross for this franchise for the next 5 years. Melo at the max is being overpaid no matter how you spin it. Melo at the max and injured means we will never compete for anything and we won't be allowed to get better. Apparently going thru this with Amare clearly want enough to figure this out. We are paying someone who will only delivery a championship IF he buys in, IF he changes his style of play, IF he plays defense consistently, IF he gets enough support from the roster around it, IF he had another superstar on the team. Is it truly work the risk/reward trade off to pay a guy like that the max with that many IFs?


Amare was given his contract despite it not being able to be insured because of his knees. Doctors in Phoenix advised the Suns not to give amare a long term deal. Unlike Melo this offseason where any team with cap space wanted him, teams were not chasing amare with max deals. Only one guy was and he worked for the Knicks. If doctors said melo has a preexisting condition that most likely ends or limits his career then I think it is a bad deal. That hasn't happened. Phil could have pursued a sign and trade. He wanted melo.

I don't think you understood my post. I was pointing out what one injury to Melo would do to us by using Amare as an example. Not trying to imply that the two contracts are similar in how they got created.

Any transaction of this significance should be evaluated in terms of overall value. And the way to do that is to understand the risk versus reward potential. In my pinion the risks of this agreement far outweigh the reward potential.

We can look at any of those IFs and pick them apart all day long to make the case that I am being negative or Melo will overcome this or that or learn the system quickly. The point however is that the combination of all those risks are in my opinion insurmountable. Which is why I am and havealways been flat out against giving him anything over 90M for 5 years. And I would have preferred 80M.

I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
fishmike
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7/14/2014  9:50 AM
gunsnewing wrote:
fishmike wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:$122,000,000.00

What happens if Carmelo misses time? His contract becomes albatross but like I said par for the course for the Knicks. Fingers crossed I guess

your cutting his checks now? Is he playing on surgically repaired joints? Everything in life has a downside. Everything has risk. This is why you dont trade draft picks right? How many future first rounders has Phil traded away yet?

That is true. I don't think Phil would panic like our precious GM's and starphuch for our picks. Looking at it like that maxing out Melo isn't the end of the world for now.

I would love the opportunity to do what the spurs did 17yrs ago when David Robinson went down. Cheap young superstar talent

now your coming around...

Its not about Melo anymore. He's an expensive scorer (as great scorers usually are) but he's a piece, and thats it. This is Phil's baby and Fisher is driving this ride, not Melo. Considering we went into this offseason with no picks and no cap space and no MLE Phil has already infused the roster with some fresh legs and higher IQ guys.

Can he make us elite? I dont know, but I see this year is setting up a style of play and getting back to the playoffs. If thats as a low seeded first round and out so be it. Thats still a good first step to go into next season with $20mm + in cap space and our own first rounder to continue to build this thing up the right way.

Better days are ahead amigo. Enjoy the ride. Dont let the Melo haters get in your ear. This is all about the Knicks now.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  10:04 AM
Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?
yellowboy90
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7/14/2014  10:27 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

fishmike
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7/14/2014  10:30 AM
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
Anji
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7/14/2014  10:46 AM
That's not ho contracts work.......
"Really, all Americans want is a cold beer, warm p***y, and some place to s**t with a door on it." - Mr. Ford
F500ONE
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7/14/2014  10:47 AM
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Probably a little extreme to refer to Deng as 'low impact'.

Cleveland was a mess in every sense last year


Define low impact. What's the measuring criteria because Melo would have to be classified as the same if we're talking wins and losses as a Knick.

Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  11:05 AM    LAST EDITED: 7/14/2014  11:06 AM
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo
meloshouldgo
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7/14/2014  11:11 AM
fishmike wrote:
meloshouldgo wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:And nix there are reports the cap could hit $80mm after the tv deal.

Yeah I mean people need to get off this obsession with one players salary. That isn't going to stop us from doing anything. What kills you is contracts like STAT's and Bargs. Since we only have them for one season and maybe less, that isn't worth biotching about. NEW F'N DAY!!! We aren't in cap hell anymore and we have talent and picks in the future. This is about what Phil and his staff can do from here to put together a winning team using every option draft picks, trades, FA's alike.

Would you continue to feel this way if Melo needs shoulder surgery or tears an ACL in the first 40 games? The reason we don't like this type of contract is it then becomes an albatross for this franchise for the next 5 years. Melo at the max is being overpaid no matter how you spin it. Melo at the max and injured means we will never compete for anything and we won't be allowed to get better. Apparently going thru this with Amare clearly want enough to figure this out. We are paying someone who will only delivery a championship IF he buys in, IF he changes his style of play, IF he plays defense consistently, IF he gets enough support from the roster around him, IF he had another superstar on the team. Is it truly worth the risk/reward trade off to pay a guy like that the max with that many IFs?

IF any one of those iFs are not fulfilled we ate guaranteed to be mediocre for the next 5 years.

your right. We should focus on only signing players with no chance of ever getting hurt.

Whos been more durable? Melo or Derrick Rose? You cant plan around injuries and Melo has never missed time because of knees or ankles. When he did have to shut it down because of the shoulder he did rehab and I believe played through some pain to win ECF player of the month no?

Injuries is why you dont trade picks. If your big guns get hurt and disaster strikes the silver lining is you get more talent in the draft. Pretty straightforward.

Injury is just one of the many concerns I listed. If you don't account for a players age and injury potential and general wear and tear based on pay history before handing out 5/129 type deals then you obviously work for the New York Knicks.

Again the point was the for this particular player in this particular situation the combination of risks make this contract self defeatoing for the Knicks in my opinion. Comparing each risk to other players separately in completely different situations is somewhat naive.

Rose is younger, Lebron doesn't need to learn how to play defense or be unselfish, Amare was a even worse contact when it was signed. But each example is unique. I feel in THIS case given Melo's baggage this was to high a risk.

I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
meloshouldgo
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7/14/2014  11:16 AM
knicks1248 wrote:
meloshouldgo wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:And nix there are reports the cap could hit $80mm after the tv deal.

Yeah I mean people need to get off this obsession with one players salary. That isn't going to stop us from doing anything. What kills you is contracts like STAT's and Bargs. Since we only have them for one season and maybe less, that isn't worth biotching about. NEW F'N DAY!!! We aren't in cap hell anymore and we have talent and picks in the future. This is about what Phil and his staff can do from here to put together a winning team using every option draft picks, trades, FA's alike.

Would you continue to feel this way if Melo needs shoulder surgery or tears an ACL in the first 40 games? The reason we don't like this type of contract is it then becomes an albatross for this franchise for the next 5 years. Melo at the max is being overpaid no matter how you spin it. Melo at the max and injured means we will never compete for anything and we won't be allowed to get better. Apparently going thru this with Amare clearly want enough to figure this out. We are paying someone who will only delivery a championship IF he buys in, IF he changes his style of play, IF he plays defense consistently, IF he gets enough support from the roster around him, IF he had another superstar on the team. Is it truly worth the risk/reward trade off to pay a guy like that the max with that many IFs?

IF any one of those iFs are not fulfilled we ate guaranteed to be mediocre for the next 5 years.


None of those "IFS" are guaranteed from any athlete in any sport, Melo has obviously earned is max money or else they wouldn't be offering it. He's on a different level dude, he's top 3 at his position. You can spin it, and call it how you like, the facts will remain the same, he's not your ordinary player.

Guaranteed? Of course not. But the argument is each situation is unique and not all the same risks apply to each. No one is looking for guarantees. My assessment of Melo's ability to change his game, his willingness to play in a system and play defense, or ability to get the types of players for the roster we couldn't get the lady 4 years, injury concern amplified by a potential no-trade clause ALL put together lead me to believe this is a bad deal for the Knicks. And I don't think we should have made this offer.

I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  11:32 AM
meloshouldgo wrote:
fishmike wrote:
meloshouldgo wrote:
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:And nix there are reports the cap could hit $80mm after the tv deal.

Yeah I mean people need to get off this obsession with one players salary. That isn't going to stop us from doing anything. What kills you is contracts like STAT's and Bargs. Since we only have them for one season and maybe less, that isn't worth biotching about. NEW F'N DAY!!! We aren't in cap hell anymore and we have talent and picks in the future. This is about what Phil and his staff can do from here to put together a winning team using every option draft picks, trades, FA's alike.

Would you continue to feel this way if Melo needs shoulder surgery or tears an ACL in the first 40 games? The reason we don't like this type of contract is it then becomes an albatross for this franchise for the next 5 years. Melo at the max is being overpaid no matter how you spin it. Melo at the max and injured means we will never compete for anything and we won't be allowed to get better. Apparently going thru this with Amare clearly want enough to figure this out. We are paying someone who will only delivery a championship IF he buys in, IF he changes his style of play, IF he plays defense consistently, IF he gets enough support from the roster around him, IF he had another superstar on the team. Is it truly worth the risk/reward trade off to pay a guy like that the max with that many IFs?

IF any one of those iFs are not fulfilled we ate guaranteed to be mediocre for the next 5 years.

your right. We should focus on only signing players with no chance of ever getting hurt.

Whos been more durable? Melo or Derrick Rose? You cant plan around injuries and Melo has never missed time because of knees or ankles. When he did have to shut it down because of the shoulder he did rehab and I believe played through some pain to win ECF player of the month no?

Injuries is why you dont trade picks. If your big guns get hurt and disaster strikes the silver lining is you get more talent in the draft. Pretty straightforward.

Injury is just one of the many concerns I listed. If you don't account for a players age and injury potential and general wear and tear based on pay history before handing out 5/129 type deals then you obviously work for the New York Knicks.


Hilarious
Anji
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7/14/2014  11:32 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

So the Cavs made the playoffs last year???
"Really, all Americans want is a cold beer, warm p***y, and some place to s**t with a door on it." - Mr. Ford
newyorknewyork
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7/14/2014  11:33 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

Denver acquired like 4 players in return for Melo. Knicks gave up 4 players who fit MDA's system for 2 star players who didn't. Bulls traded Deng for Bynum and cut him basically getting nothing immediate in return and didn't miss a beat. Cavs swapped mediocre wife stealing Bynum with Deng and hardly got any better.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  12:27 PM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

Denver acquired like 4 players in return for Melo. Knicks gave up 4 players who fit MDA's system for 2 star players who didn't. Bulls traded Deng for Bynum and cut him basically getting nothing immediate in return and didn't miss a beat. Cavs swapped mediocre wife stealing Bynum with Deng and hardly got any better.


You're saying guys like Gallo and Mozgov were upgrades over Melo?!
mreinman
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7/14/2014  12:29 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

Denver acquired like 4 players in return for Melo. Knicks gave up 4 players who fit MDA's system for 2 star players who didn't. Bulls traded Deng for Bynum and cut him basically getting nothing immediate in return and didn't miss a beat. Cavs swapped mediocre wife stealing Bynum with Deng and hardly got any better.


You're saying guys like Gallo and Mozgov were upgrades over Melo?!

Certainly an IR upgrade.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Dagger
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7/14/2014  12:52 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/14/2014  1:03 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

You should know better than most that the farther a player's production deviates from league average (or productivity of replacement) the more exponentially their salary grows. Deng's value to a team is more easily replaceable than Melo's.

Essentially, since the number of players on the court is always limited, a team full of average players will be bad because the team can only get the mediocre production of those 5 players at any one time. Meanwhile, a team with a star player and 4 average players will be superior, not because the star player provides production equal to the 5 average starters on the other team, but because his value is much greater than the ONE average player in the starting 5 that he replaced. Clearly a player with a 20 mil contract does not provide 3x the production of a 7 mil player, but the discrepancy in talent between good and great rapidly increases salary as the difference widens.

I know you were just making a joke, but I hope people don't actually compare salaries like this in a serious manner.

newyorknewyork
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7/14/2014  1:04 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

Denver acquired like 4 players in return for Melo. Knicks gave up 4 players who fit MDA's system for 2 star players who didn't. Bulls traded Deng for Bynum and cut him basically getting nothing immediate in return and didn't miss a beat. Cavs swapped mediocre wife stealing Bynum with Deng and hardly got any better.


You're saying guys like Gallo and Mozgov were upgrades over Melo?!

No, Deng was acquired by the Cavs who basically gave up 3 draft picks for him. So there should have been more immediate success. Bulls dumped Deny and got only future assets in return. So they shouldn't have had the success they had while losing a core piece.

Knicks traded away 4 rotational players who fit a system and got back two star players who didn't fit the specific system so lack of immediate success is understandable. Denver acquired 4 players who fit there system to form a deep 10 man rotation of solid players who fit a system. Immediate success is understandable.

If Woodson was the coach instead of MDA with Billups and Melo we would have probably saw more immediate success even if Woodson wasn't a long term answer.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  1:44 PM
Dagger wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

You should know better than most that the farther a player's production deviates from league average (or productivity of replacement) the more exponentially their salary grows. Deng's value to a team is more easily replaceable than Melo's.

Essentially, since the number of players on the court is always limited, a team full of average players will be bad because the team can only get the mediocre production of those 5 players at any one time. Meanwhile, a team with a star player and 4 average players will be superior, not because the star player provides production equal to the 5 average starters on the other team, but because his value is much greater than the ONE average player in the starting 5 that he replaced. Clearly a player with a 20 mil contract does not provide 3x the production of a 7 mil player, but the discrepancy in talent between good and great rapidly increases salary as the difference widens.

I know you were just making a joke, but I hope people don't actually compare salaries like this in a serious manner.


No joke. I think losing six above average starters (six players of Deng's calibre) would set a franchise back much more than losing Melo would. Melo himself is a good starter but I don't think he'd replace even half that number.
Bonn1997
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7/14/2014  1:48 PM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Is melo worth six Luol Dengs?

Is luol Deng worth 1 luol Deng?

low impact player. Bulls might have gotten better with time gone. They certainly didnt miss him. Zero impact in Cle

Sounds a lot like Denver's first two years after Melo

Denver acquired like 4 players in return for Melo. Knicks gave up 4 players who fit MDA's system for 2 star players who didn't. Bulls traded Deng for Bynum and cut him basically getting nothing immediate in return and didn't miss a beat. Cavs swapped mediocre wife stealing Bynum with Deng and hardly got any better.


You're saying guys like Gallo and Mozgov were upgrades over Melo?!

No, Deng was acquired by the Cavs who basically gave up 3 draft picks for him. So there should have been more immediate success. Bulls dumped Deny and got only future assets in return. So they shouldn't have had the success they had while losing a core piece.

Knicks traded away 4 rotational players who fit a system and got back two star players who didn't fit the specific system so lack of immediate success is understandable. Denver acquired 4 players who fit there system to form a deep 10 man rotation of solid players who fit a system. Immediate success is understandable.

If Woodson was the coach instead of MDA with Billups and Melo we would have probably saw more immediate success even if Woodson wasn't a long term answer.


I think you're making way too much out of half of one season in Cleveland (and I'm not convinced by any of those excuses or explanations above). Melo and his teams have had some bad half seasons too.
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