Author | Thread |
AUTOADVERT |
mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
![]() That's incorrect.
75 points per 60 possession would be fantastic. It would be nicer if he can get off these half court shots early the possessions (at that same rate obviously). You know why? Because then we could have many more possessions for many more attempts at the 25 pointer. TKF, I don't think you are comprehending the numbers or the statistical argument/facts. This argument is a falacy and proven to be very wrong. Houston as a team takes ~35% of their shots from 3 and are hitting 35.7 percent of them (just above average). The rockets take almost all their shots either beyond the arc or within 15 feet. In between, are far lower percentage and inefficient shots and shots in this are are also contested at a much higher rate, hence the lower percentages. Morey, embraces advanced stats and he is doing a great job with them. Most other teams are late but are now trying to catch up. I saw you post from Grantland yesterday. So I hope you will read this. It does a very good job explaining what you are not seeing. http://grantland.com/features/the-reliance-3-pointer-whether-not-hurting-nba/ so here is what phil is thinking ....
|
tkf
Posts: 36487 Alba Posts: 6 Joined: 8/13/2001 Member: #87 |
![]() mreinman wrote:That's incorrect. for a team, but not for an individual.. here is my point if you are shooting 1-20 that is 5%, so what happens the game he only takes 10 shots? he may not even make a shot that game.. is that good? is that efficient? I comprehend the numbers.. I think you are misusing the numbers.. you do understand that no team has won a finals taking a high number of threes, right? I like morey, but he also uses other sorts of advanced metrics, not just TS.. I read an article where it goes into all types of advanced stats he looks at, and each are considered differently for each player, different situations.. you are trying to take the TS and apply it as a positive in every situation, ignoring the simple fact that you want to make more shots than you miss..... do you not? Houston as a team takes ~35% of their shots from 3 and are hitting 35.7 percent of them (just above average). The rockets take almost all their shots either beyond the arc or within 15 feet. In between, are far lower percentage and inefficient shots and shots in this are are also contested at a much higher rate, hence the lower percentages. maybe houston needs to work on the midrange shot.. I watch them a lot and they do take a lot of threes.. maybe houston would be an even better offensive team if they take more of the shots they hit more of the time...
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser...............
TKF
|
mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
![]() tkf wrote:mreinman wrote:That's incorrect. TKF, yet again, it looks like you did not read the article I posted. Did you? If you did read it or have all the others that I posted, you could not have responded this way still completely missing the basic facts. "team has never won the finals taking a high number of threes" What is a high number of threes? Did you actually check the stats on that? No, you did not because I did. Of course Morey or any other sane person does not only look at TS because if he did, he would be an idiot. TS is a very good measure of (proper/adjusted) FG%. While FG is not really used anymore (by non simpletons) since it does not value 3's and FT's, and eFG% which is better but only values 2's and 3's, TS values all 3 so it is obviously the best of the 3. Please tell me where I have misused this. You have said this numerous times but you do not ever make a case for this. Pick one advanced metric and make a case for your guys (Iverson, , !Melo, Spreewel ...) and don't say finals, playoffs, wins etc ... that does not fly in this world. Show me the metric that shows positive sum contribution. Win Shares, Wins Produced, ORtg, Drtg, efficiency etc ... Advanced stats are far more than TS (obviously). If you take some time and research sabermetrics, you may find it very enlightening. There are many players with a weak TS but still very much net positive players (e.g. Jason Kidd). However, these players always show their net positive in other metrics (not in the grit and heart test). Maybe Morey needs to have his team take more midrange shots? You mean 15 - 22 range? You read my post of why they are smarter then that right? TS does what it sets out to do And what is that? but I think it is just mis-applied by most... How is that? as I said in the end.. I think everyone prefers those who make most of the shots they take.. THIS comment shows how you are completely missing the boat, have not read anything that I posted and have not read any of the supporting articles that I posted. And, forget about basic math and basic common sense. If you choose to ignore the basics and you are definitely CHOOSING to ignore them, then I can't help you. As I have said, if you are willing to listen and be open minded then I am willing to inform you. I have given you statistical arguments every step of the way. I have made it impossible to refute. I have given you supporting articles with finite conclusions yet you choose to continuously ignore them in a very illogical way. Stick with FG% if you prefer ... so here is what phil is thinking ....
|
tkf
Posts: 36487 Alba Posts: 6 Joined: 8/13/2001 Member: #87 |
![]() mreinman wrote:tkf wrote:mreinman wrote:That's incorrect. for your guys (Iverson, , !Melo, Spreewel ...) my guys Iverson and melo? what the hell are you smoking? I have given you statistical arguments every step of the way. I have made it impossible to refute. I have given you supporting articles with finite conclusions yet you choose to continuously ignore them in a very illogical way. no you havent you have yet to explain to me, how making more shots than you miss is not preferred? what you are doing is using TS to make up for players not shooting well.. that is not using it correctely.. are you telling me you don't want to make more shots than you miss? just answer that question? when you do that.. TS becomes less relevant.... If you choose to ignore the basics and you are definitely CHOOSING to ignore them, then I can't help you. As I have said, if you are willing to listen and be open minded then I am willing to inform you.
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser...............
TKF
|
mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
![]() tkf wrote:mreinman wrote:tkf wrote:mreinman wrote:That's incorrect. !Melo. Do you know what (!) infers? I can try to create a puppet show for you but I don't have the puppets - sorry. You don't want to make more shots than you miss, you want to get the most points per you number of game possessions. Do you get that? Whats better 38 percent from 3 or 51 percent from 2? PLEASE ANSWER THIS! so here is what phil is thinking ....
|