[ IMAGES: Images ON turn off | ACCOUNT: User Status is LOCKED why? ]

Kevin Love
Author Thread
holfresh
Posts: 38679
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 1/14/2006
Member: #1081

3/5/2014  10:37 PM
KLove underwhelming against the Knicks..Doesn't react well to physical play...Not able to get loose to create his own shot...Might have to rethink his pairing with Melo...He was really MIA in the Olympics are well where I thought they could use his long ball but got injured..Jury still out...Not sure about this one...
AUTOADVERT
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
3/5/2014  10:39 PM
holfresh wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

Gallo makes 11 mil per, Deng makes about 14 and wants more, Boozer 15/16?, Chandler 14, McGee makes 10...Either u have no idea what a true value of a player is or the rest of the Basketball Universe doesn't know...

deng won't get more although he has more value to a title team than melo does imho because he plays a complete game, boozer is vastly overpaid no doubt, mcgee is a little much at 10, gallo is being paid what he should be.

i know what value to place on players i think.

what are your values for these players pray tell?

So, in your opinion Melo and Gallo are almost equals???

lets stay on point instead of you going down the road of outrage as usual. what price to you put on these players?

Melo is a max player, a top 5 player..Gallo is 8/9 mil per 42% shooter from the field, 37% from three,5 reb a game at 6'10", poor..McGee is 8 per..Deng is 12/13..Boozer 9/10..
Melo is a game changer..Gallo???

so you talk sense about everyone you mentioned except gallinari and anthony.

i like to pay complete players, aka advanced stat players, what they're worth and not overpay for incomplete players.

ujiri locked up gallinari at a good price because ujiri knows value when he sees it.

can't say the same about dolan. in terms of winning he does not know the difference between the price of something and the value of something.

walsh said a player is good at one price and bad at another, ie price viz a viz value.

Please explain to me why Gallo is better than a 8/9 per type player???..My reasoning is that if u think Deng is 12/13 then u must agree that Gallo isn't close to Deng???

both are advanced stat players. deng is worth 13 million and gallinari is worth 2 million less at 11 million.

do the math: we overpaid, vastly overpaid, for melo's actual value. so if i say he is not worth more than 12-13 million then bear in mind we overpaid in the first place. add in that we acquired him in a lopsided trade instead of acquiring him as a free agent-- i want to play for the knicks.

bottom line incomplete players should only be acquired as free agents. that's why as much as we overpaid for stoudemire as an incomplete player, that was not as damaging as subsequently acquiring anthony in both a trade and a max.

do you understand why acquiring incomplete players in a trade is damaging to a team?


Screw advance stat...I don't want to include ft% in the value of a player, it's silly...Gallo isn't even close to Deng, no way, no how..

You realize that free throws count on the scoreboard, right?

Yeah sure but when u have it as a huge variable that effects over view of a player it's misplaced..If you are trying to rate a player off TS%, being a high ft% can significantly skew your numbers while not giving a good overall view of that player's game..

I think it's much more important for me to know Gallo is a 42% shooter from the field and 37% from three than he is an 84% ft shooter...The individual components gives me a much better view of who this player is...


The weighting for FTs in TS% is based specifically on the value of them. TS% is the total points divided by the number of true shot attempts, where each FT is counted as .44 shot attempts because the average FT uses up .44 possessions. (That's the exact weighting based on the frequency of fouls on 2 point attempts, 3 point attempts, and 1s, and technicals.) There's no other logical weight to give to FTs - it certainly doesn't make sense to give them zero weight and just look at FG%.
yellowboy90
Posts: 33942
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 4/23/2011
Member: #3538

3/5/2014  10:39 PM
Like I said in the other thread I wouldn't overreact to one poor game from Love. I wonder if Love can move to the 5 one day. Maybe he is Dirk like though and needs an athletic 5.
holfresh
Posts: 38679
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 1/14/2006
Member: #1081

3/5/2014  10:51 PM    LAST EDITED: 3/5/2014  10:53 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
holfresh wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

Gallo makes 11 mil per, Deng makes about 14 and wants more, Boozer 15/16?, Chandler 14, McGee makes 10...Either u have no idea what a true value of a player is or the rest of the Basketball Universe doesn't know...

deng won't get more although he has more value to a title team than melo does imho because he plays a complete game, boozer is vastly overpaid no doubt, mcgee is a little much at 10, gallo is being paid what he should be.

i know what value to place on players i think.

what are your values for these players pray tell?

So, in your opinion Melo and Gallo are almost equals???

lets stay on point instead of you going down the road of outrage as usual. what price to you put on these players?

Melo is a max player, a top 5 player..Gallo is 8/9 mil per 42% shooter from the field, 37% from three,5 reb a game at 6'10", poor..McGee is 8 per..Deng is 12/13..Boozer 9/10..
Melo is a game changer..Gallo???

so you talk sense about everyone you mentioned except gallinari and anthony.

i like to pay complete players, aka advanced stat players, what they're worth and not overpay for incomplete players.

ujiri locked up gallinari at a good price because ujiri knows value when he sees it.

can't say the same about dolan. in terms of winning he does not know the difference between the price of something and the value of something.

walsh said a player is good at one price and bad at another, ie price viz a viz value.

Please explain to me why Gallo is better than a 8/9 per type player???..My reasoning is that if u think Deng is 12/13 then u must agree that Gallo isn't close to Deng???

both are advanced stat players. deng is worth 13 million and gallinari is worth 2 million less at 11 million.

do the math: we overpaid, vastly overpaid, for melo's actual value. so if i say he is not worth more than 12-13 million then bear in mind we overpaid in the first place. add in that we acquired him in a lopsided trade instead of acquiring him as a free agent-- i want to play for the knicks.

bottom line incomplete players should only be acquired as free agents. that's why as much as we overpaid for stoudemire as an incomplete player, that was not as damaging as subsequently acquiring anthony in both a trade and a max.

do you understand why acquiring incomplete players in a trade is damaging to a team?


Screw advance stat...I don't want to include ft% in the value of a player, it's silly...Gallo isn't even close to Deng, no way, no how..

You realize that free throws count on the scoreboard, right?

Yeah sure but when u have it as a huge variable that effects over view of a player it's misplaced..If you are trying to rate a player off TS%, being a high ft% can significantly skew your numbers while not giving a good overall view of that player's game..

I think it's much more important for me to know Gallo is a 42% shooter from the field and 37% from three than he is an 84% ft shooter...The individual components gives me a much better view of who this player is...


The weighting for FTs in TS% is based specifically on the value of them. TS% is the total points divided by the number of true shot attempts, where each FT is counted as .44 shot attempts because the average FT uses up .44 possessions. (That's the exact weighting based on the frequency of fouls on 2 point attempts, 3 point attempts, and 1s, and technicals.) There's no other logical weight to give to FTs - it certainly doesn't make sense to give them zero weight and just look at FG%.

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Uptown
Posts: 31325
Alba Posts: 3
Joined: 4/1/2008
Member: #1883

3/5/2014  11:19 PM
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

holfresh
Posts: 38679
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 1/14/2006
Member: #1081

3/5/2014  11:46 PM
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

Amen to that...

Jmpasq
Posts: 25243
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 4/10/2012
Member: #4182

3/6/2014  6:52 AM
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...


Look at the product we have to watch. I think the basketball in the NBA right now is horrible. Maybe my opinion is skewed because my favorite team has absolutely zero direction and no hope but I dont think so. Outside aof a few teams and a handful of players this league is terrible. They need to retract some of the teams
Check out My NFL Draft Prospect Videos at Youtube User Pages Jmpasq,JPdraftjedi,Jmpasqdraftjedi. www.Draftbreakdown.com
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
3/6/2014  7:22 AM
holfresh wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
holfresh wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

Gallo makes 11 mil per, Deng makes about 14 and wants more, Boozer 15/16?, Chandler 14, McGee makes 10...Either u have no idea what a true value of a player is or the rest of the Basketball Universe doesn't know...

deng won't get more although he has more value to a title team than melo does imho because he plays a complete game, boozer is vastly overpaid no doubt, mcgee is a little much at 10, gallo is being paid what he should be.

i know what value to place on players i think.

what are your values for these players pray tell?

So, in your opinion Melo and Gallo are almost equals???

lets stay on point instead of you going down the road of outrage as usual. what price to you put on these players?

Melo is a max player, a top 5 player..Gallo is 8/9 mil per 42% shooter from the field, 37% from three,5 reb a game at 6'10", poor..McGee is 8 per..Deng is 12/13..Boozer 9/10..
Melo is a game changer..Gallo???

so you talk sense about everyone you mentioned except gallinari and anthony.

i like to pay complete players, aka advanced stat players, what they're worth and not overpay for incomplete players.

ujiri locked up gallinari at a good price because ujiri knows value when he sees it.

can't say the same about dolan. in terms of winning he does not know the difference between the price of something and the value of something.

walsh said a player is good at one price and bad at another, ie price viz a viz value.

Please explain to me why Gallo is better than a 8/9 per type player???..My reasoning is that if u think Deng is 12/13 then u must agree that Gallo isn't close to Deng???

both are advanced stat players. deng is worth 13 million and gallinari is worth 2 million less at 11 million.

do the math: we overpaid, vastly overpaid, for melo's actual value. so if i say he is not worth more than 12-13 million then bear in mind we overpaid in the first place. add in that we acquired him in a lopsided trade instead of acquiring him as a free agent-- i want to play for the knicks.

bottom line incomplete players should only be acquired as free agents. that's why as much as we overpaid for stoudemire as an incomplete player, that was not as damaging as subsequently acquiring anthony in both a trade and a max.

do you understand why acquiring incomplete players in a trade is damaging to a team?


Screw advance stat...I don't want to include ft% in the value of a player, it's silly...Gallo isn't even close to Deng, no way, no how..

You realize that free throws count on the scoreboard, right?

Yeah sure but when u have it as a huge variable that effects over view of a player it's misplaced..If you are trying to rate a player off TS%, being a high ft% can significantly skew your numbers while not giving a good overall view of that player's game..

I think it's much more important for me to know Gallo is a 42% shooter from the field and 37% from three than he is an 84% ft shooter...The individual components gives me a much better view of who this player is...


The weighting for FTs in TS% is based specifically on the value of them. TS% is the total points divided by the number of true shot attempts, where each FT is counted as .44 shot attempts because the average FT uses up .44 possessions. (That's the exact weighting based on the frequency of fouls on 2 point attempts, 3 point attempts, and 1s, and technicals.) There's no other logical weight to give to FTs - it certainly doesn't make sense to give them zero weight and just look at FG%.

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...


All you ever do is list FG%s, though. You don't seem to want to see the "variance." On the rare occasions when you do look at the variance, you probably aren't giving the right weighting to the FTs and FGs anyway. This is like a guy who only wants to know a hitter's "single percentage" because he doesn't care about doubles, triples, and homers. The overall batting average (or now there are better stats like OPS) is much more important because it captures the overall impact. If you do want to see the break down, there's no harm in that but you have to first, honestly look at all components (not just obsess over one like singles or FG%) and second, you have to somehow(?) know how much weight to give each (a double is worth more than a single). You're closer to the guy who says, "Sure, there's value to doubles, triples, and homers, but I'm only going to use singles to evaluate players"
And there's no cut-off between value and dis-value to FTs. It's not like they only start counting on your tenth free throw. The more you take and make the better. Five per game is much better than 2.5 per game. After layups, they're the best scoring opportunity.
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
3/6/2014  7:30 AM
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

If you didn't at least give weight to primitive stats like FG%, you'd pick up on very little. There's no way you'd notice the difference between even a 50 and 45% shooter. That's one more make per 40 attempts (20 per player) for the first player. You can't remember 40 shots and notice that player A makes 1 more than player B. You're giving a lot of weight to the stats whether you realize it or not. You'll never notice any differences in efficiency except on the extremes (like 60 vs. 35%). Your eyes might then "see" the differences you're expecting based on your knowledge of FG%s, but we know people can't hold 40 specific items of info. in their current memory and compare pieces of info.

And more to the point, giving weight to the eyeball test is what led many here (including me - last time I do that!) to think this was around a 50 win team, and many even thought the whole east was strong this year.

fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  8:28 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

If you didn't at least give weight to primitive stats like FG%, you'd pick up on very little. There's no way you'd notice the difference between even a 50 and 45% shooter. That's one more make per 40 attempts (20 per player) for the first player. You can't remember 40 shots and notice that player A makes 1 more than player B. You're giving a lot of weight to the stats whether you realize it or not. You'll never notice any differences in efficiency except on the extremes (like 60 vs. 35%). Your eyes might then "see" the differences you're expecting based on your knowledge of FG%s, but we know people can't hold 40 specific items of info. in their current memory and compare pieces of info.

And more to the point, giving weight to the eyeball test is what led many here (including me - last time I do that!) to think this was around a 50 win team, and many even thought the whole east was strong this year.

has nothing to do with the eyeball test. you still dont get that. Its about watching the games. Last night I watched Melo make 4 passes in a five minute stretch that all should have been assists. One to a wide open Felton who bricked a 3. Another to a wide open Shump who passed on an open 3 and instead passed it to THjr who hit the 3. Another to JR who instead of taking the open spot up jumper put the ball on the floor.

Thats the eyeball test. Thats the difference between looking at a guy's stat sheet, seeing no assists and saying "he doesnt pass" vs. actually watching the game and seeing that a guy was doing a good job moving the ball

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  8:31 AM
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

nice way to dodge the point.

Whats Paul George worth? Isnt he your guy? Is he worth more than MElo? Just wondering as MElo beat him out last year (2nd all NBA vs 3rd). Did they get it wrong? Just trying to establish your criteria is to devalue Melo, you seem to be running out of tricks

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654
Alba Posts: 2
Joined: 2/2/2004
Member: #581
USA
3/6/2014  8:43 AM
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

If you didn't at least give weight to primitive stats like FG%, you'd pick up on very little. There's no way you'd notice the difference between even a 50 and 45% shooter. That's one more make per 40 attempts (20 per player) for the first player. You can't remember 40 shots and notice that player A makes 1 more than player B. You're giving a lot of weight to the stats whether you realize it or not. You'll never notice any differences in efficiency except on the extremes (like 60 vs. 35%). Your eyes might then "see" the differences you're expecting based on your knowledge of FG%s, but we know people can't hold 40 specific items of info. in their current memory and compare pieces of info.

And more to the point, giving weight to the eyeball test is what led many here (including me - last time I do that!) to think this was around a 50 win team, and many even thought the whole east was strong this year.

has nothing to do with the eyeball test. you still dont get that. Its about watching the games. Last night I watched Melo make 4 passes in a five minute stretch that all should have been assists. One to a wide open Felton who bricked a 3. Another to a wide open Shump who passed on an open 3 and instead passed it to THjr who hit the 3. Another to JR who instead of taking the open spot up jumper put the ball on the floor.

Thats the eyeball test. Thats the difference between looking at a guy's stat sheet, seeing no assists and saying "he doesnt pass" vs. actually watching the game and seeing that a guy was doing a good job moving the ball



Huh?
Regardless, this is an example of why your assessments with the eyeball test are so wrong, Fish. Anyone can have a 5 shot stretch like that but Melo's teammates are hitting only 1 less shot out 50 on passes than the average player, which corresponds to about 0.1 assists a game.
dk7th
Posts: 30006
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 5/14/2012
Member: #4228
USA
3/6/2014  8:55 AM
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

nice way to dodge the point.

Whats Paul George worth? Isnt he your guy? Is he worth more than MElo? Just wondering as MElo beat him out last year (2nd all NBA vs 3rd). Did they get it wrong? Just trying to establish your criteria is to devalue Melo, you seem to be running out of tricks

paul george is more valuable than melo. paul george is a complete player and melo is not. moreover paul george is a facilitator much the way paul pierce has been a facilitator, and facilitating is an underappreciated aspect of basketball especially in the crucible of the playoffs.

there are two seasons and paul george excels at the one that counts more. paul george should earn around 14-15 million range by next contract. paul george could win two titles by then because of how well that team has been put together.

yes the sportswriters and broadcasters got it wrong.

knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  9:41 AM
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
fishmike wrote:
dk7th wrote:
Knixkik wrote:
dk7th wrote:
holfresh wrote:
actofgod wrote:Melo excels as a PF, Love is a PF. Locking the vast majority of our money on two fours would be inane. This team will go nowhere without a quality 1 and 2.

Melo is usually cover by 3s(George, Battier, Bron,KD...Melo has trouble guarding 4s(West and ZBo comes to mind)..Melo is a 3 who can moonlight at 4..

in other words he is a tweener

Actually he would be considered a hybrid, not a tweener, because his advantage is he can effectively play either position, unless major mismatches are presented. Tweeners struggle to play either position effectively in most cases.

you just contradicted yourself and made my point. he can present mismatches on offense but then struggles on defense in both positions. tweener

He's a 10 time all star but cant play D, doesnt have a position and is a loafer. We get it

what does a popularity contest have to do with his effectiveness on defense? he isn't a complete player. this is a list that tells me a little more something of his value since it is not based on casual fan voting but sportswriters and columnists:

2005-06 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2006-07 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2008-09 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2009-10 NBA All-NBA (2nd)
2011-12 NBA All-NBA (3rd)
2012-13 NBA All-NBA (2nd)

notice no first team appearances. when you are 3rd team it translates to all-star reserve. second team means you are possibly an all-star starter but it is not a given.

sooo.... 6x times he's voted by people YOU VALUE as being the 2nd or 3rd best player in the NBA at his position and you view that as a negative?

Thank you DK... so since this is a viable critera your agreeing that Melo is essentially the best forward in the league not named KD or Lebron or KD or Duncan? OOOOOO-KAY

bottom line is Melo is there EVERY YEAR. I think even the most die hard Melo supporters (and Im NOT one) would agree that Melo is a notch below this list of players (when having their BEST seasons) who have kept him off the all NBA first team:
Lebron
Dirk
Kevin Garnett (Minn years)
Duncan (younger)
Kevin Durant

How did he beat out Paul George last year? Isnt that your favorite player? (assuming you and TFK are same guy)

carmelo anthony's value from that rating is 12-13 million a year. that's all that matters at this point since winning titles is alla true knick fan cares about. we overpaid him and gave up assets too and now it's time for him to give back by asking for an amount that is in keeping with his actiual value to a team.

a player is good at one pricer and bad at another. carmelo is bad at the price we paid.

nice way to dodge the point.

Whats Paul George worth? Isnt he your guy? Is he worth more than MElo? Just wondering as MElo beat him out last year (2nd all NBA vs 3rd). Did they get it wrong? Just trying to establish your criteria is to devalue Melo, you seem to be running out of tricks

paul george is more valuable than melo. paul george is a complete player and melo is not. moreover paul george is a facilitator much the way paul pierce has been a facilitator, and facilitating is an underappreciated aspect of basketball especially in the crucible of the playoffs.

there are two seasons and paul george excels at the one that counts more. paul george should earn around 14-15 million range by next contract. paul george could win two titles by then because of how well that team has been put together.

yes the sportswriters and broadcasters got it wrong.

there you have it... DK knows more than the sportswriters and broadcasters who's lives are spent following basketball. Good to know.

So lets recap DK's views for everyone at home:
Melo is not a max player
There is too much dunking in basketball and the rim should be 11 feet
DK knows more about hoops then sportswriters and broadcasters

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  9:46 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
Uptown wrote:
holfresh Wrote:

There certainly is a value to it but not if you are taking 3/4 or 5 ft per game...The more ft's u take, the more I think it's value is worth as the number increases...Where the value shows up is when u are taking close to 10 fts per game, that is what dk7 might be referring to as having an impact in the playoffs, but Gallo isn't that player...Back to TS%...I would much rather to see the variance of stats as opposed to a single number to determine worth and value...U can't possibly get a good picture of a player looking at one number..I want to know how he gets him job done, where he gets his job done and what he does to get his job done...

Best way to get a clear picture of a player is to actually watch him play...Nowadays, people don't watch the game as carefully as we used to. People number watch now...

If you didn't at least give weight to primitive stats like FG%, you'd pick up on very little. There's no way you'd notice the difference between even a 50 and 45% shooter. That's one more make per 40 attempts (20 per player) for the first player. You can't remember 40 shots and notice that player A makes 1 more than player B. You're giving a lot of weight to the stats whether you realize it or not. You'll never notice any differences in efficiency except on the extremes (like 60 vs. 35%). Your eyes might then "see" the differences you're expecting based on your knowledge of FG%s, but we know people can't hold 40 specific items of info. in their current memory and compare pieces of info.

And more to the point, giving weight to the eyeball test is what led many here (including me - last time I do that!) to think this was around a 50 win team, and many even thought the whole east was strong this year.

has nothing to do with the eyeball test. you still dont get that. Its about watching the games. Last night I watched Melo make 4 passes in a five minute stretch that all should have been assists. One to a wide open Felton who bricked a 3. Another to a wide open Shump who passed on an open 3 and instead passed it to THjr who hit the 3. Another to JR who instead of taking the open spot up jumper put the ball on the floor.

Thats the eyeball test. Thats the difference between looking at a guy's stat sheet, seeing no assists and saying "he doesnt pass" vs. actually watching the game and seeing that a guy was doing a good job moving the ball



Huh?
Regardless, this is an example of why your assessments with the eyeball test are so wrong, Fish. Anyone can have a 5 shot stretch like that but Melo's teammates are hitting only 1 less shot out 50 on passes than the average player, which corresponds to about 0.1 assists a game.
weird because I saw them miss more shots than .1

How can this be?

yea.. anyone can. Anyone can make a great play. Anyone can make a great pass, and all shots, assists and stats have exactly the same impact on the game at all time. All shots are created equal. The game is the same constantly right? Defenses are the same at every moment in the game right? I mean 2 points is 2 points.

Great. Got it.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  10:14 AM
oh... and whether you watched or just looked at the box score Melo destroyed Love last night. Wasnt even close who the best player on the floor was for both teams.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
yellowboy90
Posts: 33942
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 4/23/2011
Member: #3538

3/6/2014  10:15 AM
Those .6 more assists really make George a super point forward. I wonder what going 0-9 and 1 ast would get other players?
SupremeCommander
Posts: 34064
Alba Posts: 35
Joined: 4/28/2006
Member: #1127

3/6/2014  10:28 AM
I find the statistical bible of basketball to be helpful but ultimately waaaaaaaaaaaaaaay inferior to the eyeball test. None of the stat humpers seem able to grasp the fact that baseball stats are far superior because it follows a "discrete time" structure whereas basketball stats operate under the "continuous time" structure.

When you realize that the Black and Scholes options pricing model operates under a continuous time structure and they won a Nobel for the math being incredibly brilliant, you start wonder what the actual value of advanced stats on a messageboard where grown men post about other dudes is actually worth.

DLeethal wrote: Lol Rick needs a safe space
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  10:38 AM
SupremeCommander wrote:I find the statistical bible of basketball to be helpful but ultimately waaaaaaaaaaaaaaay inferior to the eyeball test. None of the stat humpers seem able to grasp the fact that baseball stats are far superior because it follows a "discrete time" structure whereas basketball stats operate under the "continuous time" structure.

When you realize that the Black and Scholes options pricing model operates under a continuous time structure and they won a Nobel for the math being incredibly brilliant, you start wonder what the actual value of advanced stats on a messageboard where grown men post about other dudes is actually worth.

and you have one of the best GMs in the league say that yea.. we look at those advanced stats to possibly give an edge but you go with your gut. But Danny Ainge only built a championship so what does he know.

Yea... baseball stats are a different beast all together.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
fishmike
Posts: 53864
Alba Posts: 1
Joined: 7/19/2002
Member: #298
USA
3/6/2014  10:42 AM
yellowboy90 wrote:Those .6 more assists really make George a super point forward. I wonder what going 0-9 and 1 ast would get other players?
well you have to factor in usage rates. As well as the opponent's defensive measure of points per possession surrendered. If you can manage those #s properly you will see that despite 15 or so trips to the all star game and all NBA team lists you will learn that Melo actually sucks, and Gallo's contract is better.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
Kevin Love

©2001-2025 ultimateknicks.comm All rights reserved. About Us.
This site is not affiliated with the NY Knicks or the National Basketball Association in any way.
You may visit the official NY Knicks web site by clicking here.

All times (GMT-05:00) Eastern Time.

Terms of Use and Privacy Policy