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what is JJ's value on the open market?
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Panos
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1/8/2010  2:01 PM
kam77 wrote:Why do we have to give him 6 yrs though? This guy is not getting the MLE anywhere else.

I agree with extending hiim at a lower number. But it should be 3yrs at maybe 11mil.

JJ's won't make 11 mil over the next three years by taking the 7 option and getting more than 2per anywhere else.

He's a veterans minimum kinda player.

Dude, he's an NBA STARTER, and the ANCHOR on defense! </sarcasm>

AUTOADVERT
fishmike
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1/8/2010  2:05 PM
Markji wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Markji wrote:You don't need to re-sign JJ for 6 years. 3 yrs would be fair as he is probably only worth $2.5 to 3 Mil/year. Give him 3 years at $4, $4.5, $5 mil = $13.5 total.

His player option for 2010 is $6.88 mil . Add 2 years at $3 Mil = $12.88 mil. He would receive this if he accepted his 2010 players option with us and in 2011 signed a 2 year deal with another team for $3 mil. This is his max value.

So JJ does better in the 3 yr deal above using FishMike's concept but shortening it to 3 years from 6 yrs.

We (Knicks) save cap space for 2010 and keep a contributing role player at a more reasonable salary.

is that how you would look at it if your JJ? I wouldnt. I'm looking at next year as my baloon year. A salary I had waited a loooong time for. Your asking JJ to take less. That $$$ makes zero sense to me.

If I am JJ I am pretty happy about the prospects of making $7mm next year. The only way I am walking away from that is if I am offered some kind of long term guarentee. $30mm qualifies. Otherwise I take my $7mm, play hard and look for another MLE contract from a contender who needs a 7 foot guy who can defend 5 spots.

No other team would give JJ 5 years starting in 2011. He'd only get a 2 year contract.
thats your assumption. what if your employer low balled you and told you nobody else will give you a better offer. Chris Anderson is two years older, is coming off a long drug suspension, has inferior skills, plays less minutes and just got a 5 year deal averaging $4mm a year over the length of the deal (it ends in $4.8). If I am JJ and his agent we arent impressed right now with your offer. Gordat just got the full MLE. Dude plays like 12 minutes a night.

There is ALWAYS a market for size in the NBA. This isnt Anthony Roberson. If JJ plays like this this year and next he will get another 4-5 year MLE type deal. Thats the NBA. Thats the market. Look around

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
fishmike
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1/8/2010  2:12 PM
Panos wrote:
kam77 wrote:Why do we have to give him 6 yrs though? This guy is not getting the MLE anywhere else.

I agree with extending hiim at a lower number. But it should be 3yrs at maybe 11mil.

JJ's won't make 11 mil over the next three years by taking the 7 option and getting more than 2per anywhere else.

He's a veterans minimum kinda player.

Dude, he's an NBA STARTER, and the ANCHOR on defense! </sarcasm>

what do you think Larry Brown thought of him after last nights game? Thats going to leave an impression. He's not a min type player. You dont have to appreciate the things he does. Only other GMs do. Ask him to be a core producer and you see he's terrible, but stick with with other guys who will take the shots and handle the ball and he's a very good player. He's not 6'8, he's 6'11. You may not like him, but you have to respect his value in this league and I think its a bit more than what Anderson got in Denver.

Panos... I would pay him $10mm to walk and of year also. Hell, give Eddy $20mm and I bet Dolan would sign both those checks, but we cant. We have to deal with Isiah's contracts. I'm just trying to find a creative way to get every bit of space we can this year, cause this is our one shot at a real star.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
kam77
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1/8/2010  2:13 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/8/2010  2:13 PM
Fishmike you're seriously overvaluing a guy with career averages of 5.2pts and 4.4rebs and .5 blocks.
This year you think he's playing so well, he's getting 3.9pts 3.8rebs and 1.1 blocks.

C'mon no one but Isiah would look at that as MLE type player.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
fishmike
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1/8/2010  2:28 PM
kam77 wrote:Fishmike you're seriously overvaluing a guy with career averages of 5.2pts and 4.4rebs and .5 blocks.
This year you think he's playing so well, he's getting 3.9pts 3.8rebs and 1.1 blocks.

C'mon no one but Isiah would look at that as MLE type player.


Chris Anderson... career 5.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and is 2 years older. Just got a 5 year deal worth $20mm.
Marcin Gortat played 103 NBA games in his career (he's 3 years younger than JJ) and averaged 3.6 points and 4.2 rebs amd .8 blocks. He got a 5 year $30mm (full MLE) contract.

Please offer me any evidence that otherwise suggests the market for JJ is 4-5 years and $4-$5mm per.

Again... back to the original point. I'm doing this because the extra $3mm in cap space might be the difference in keeping a guy like David Lee. The fact that JJ has played very well and seems to fit very well is a bonus.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
TMS
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1/8/2010  2:52 PM
Panos wrote:I'd offer him $10MM cash to not exercise his option.

if only we had that option

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
TheGame
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1/8/2010  2:56 PM
fishmike wrote:
93BUICK wrote:Fishmike, I think you're crazy to extend JJ for a short term $$ savings- we're lucky he's playing well now. That's enough! If we're lucky that he plays well next year or someone else takes his contract that's great but extending it longer means longer contract nightmare.
As far as the nickname goes I understand that you want to be the only Fish-person around here and that's ok.
let me put it to you this way...

offseason comes. You have $24mm in cap space.

You sign Lebron.

Now here is your choice:
You let David Lee walk because all you have to offer his is $8mm and he's taking a deal somewhere else that starts at $11.5
Say goodbye to your froncourt player that gives you 20/10 on 57% shooting everynight.
(But JJ plays his last year for $7mm and is off the books after the year).

OR

You offer JJ a 6 year $30mm deal that starts at $3.8mm which brings your cap# down and you can now offer Lee the same contract he's being offered where ever else (AND HE WILL GET OFFERS).

Thats overpaying JJ (obviously). But it changes your team drastically.

The $3mm might be a make or break # this offseason. Thats how tight this thing is.

Isnt overpaying for a guy like JJ worth being able to bring back your best frontcourt player?

To me it is... and thats 100% of what I am talking about here

I do have a question. Don't these type of agreements violate the NBA rules. I mean, would something like this trigger an investigation by the league. The fact is, no player is giving up the last year to sign another deal starting at a lower salary unless they were promised beforehand a multi-year deal. That being the case, would this violate the NBA rules? It might, which may be the reason no one does these kind of deals in the NBA.

Trust the Process
kam77
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1/8/2010  2:58 PM
fishmike wrote:
kam77 wrote:Fishmike you're seriously overvaluing a guy with career averages of 5.2pts and 4.4rebs and .5 blocks.
This year you think he's playing so well, he's getting 3.9pts 3.8rebs and 1.1 blocks.

C'mon no one but Isiah would look at that as MLE type player.


Chris Anderson... career 5.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and is 2 years older. Just got a 5 year deal worth $20mm.
Marcin Gortat played 103 NBA games in his career (he's 3 years younger than JJ) and averaged 3.6 points and 4.2 rebs amd .8 blocks. He got a 5 year $30mm (full MLE) contract.

Please offer me any evidence that otherwise suggests the market for JJ is 4-5 years and $4-$5mm per.

Again... back to the original point. I'm doing this because the extra $3mm in cap space might be the difference in keeping a guy like David Lee. The fact that JJ has played very well and seems to fit very well is a bonus.


Anderson and Gortat are better.

Andersen - 1.8 blocks per game? Hell yeah he's gonna get paid.
Gortat - True center. Best backup C in the league. Was paid to be a starter in Dallas.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
TMS
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1/8/2010  3:00 PM
Chris Anderson is better than FL & makes a bigger impact on games.. career wise he's put up better numbers over 17 mpg than FL has been able to even with 6 more mpg played... he's 1 of the better shotblockers in the game & has put up some very nice statlines for the Nuggets... the Denver fans absolutely love the guy cuz he makes ann impact every single game he plays... FL can't touch these types of statlines w/this type of regularity, i'm sorry (& btw, Birdman brings the intangibles too... he's all about energy, hustle & defense):

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/gamelog?playerId=1135

Gortat's a scrub but he's a Center... i wouldn't wanna sign him up to a 6 year contract either for that matter

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
fishmike
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1/8/2010  3:09 PM
kam77 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
kam77 wrote:Fishmike you're seriously overvaluing a guy with career averages of 5.2pts and 4.4rebs and .5 blocks.
This year you think he's playing so well, he's getting 3.9pts 3.8rebs and 1.1 blocks.

C'mon no one but Isiah would look at that as MLE type player.


Chris Anderson... career 5.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks and is 2 years older. Just got a 5 year deal worth $20mm.
Marcin Gortat played 103 NBA games in his career (he's 3 years younger than JJ) and averaged 3.6 points and 4.2 rebs amd .8 blocks. He got a 5 year $30mm (full MLE) contract.

Please offer me any evidence that otherwise suggests the market for JJ is 4-5 years and $4-$5mm per.

Again... back to the original point. I'm doing this because the extra $3mm in cap space might be the difference in keeping a guy like David Lee. The fact that JJ has played very well and seems to fit very well is a bonus.


Anderson and Gortat are better.

Andersen - 1.8 blocks per game? Hell yeah he's gonna get paid.
Gortat - True center. Best backup C in the league. Was paid to be a starter in Dallas.


again.. thats your opinion. Anderson's 1.8 blocks = Hell yea but JJ's 1.1 = hell no? JJ is a better player all around. I dont think its really close. Gortat isnt good. Dont know what your watching. He's a big althetic body and is very unskilled. The point is you put out JJs #s to quantify his value but its right there with the last two players of his caliber. 4-5 years, $4-$5mm per.

Just cause YOU dont want to pay him that doesnt mean the market isnt there. Thats my point. I dont want to give JJ a 6 year deal, but I DO want to bring Lee back here. Losing him would be a terrible setback. If the only way I can get Lee back here is to give JJ 6 years and $29mm I am doing it. If we lose Lee JJ's salary off the books does nothing for me.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
TMS
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1/8/2010  3:34 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/8/2010  3:34 PM
the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
fishmike
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1/8/2010  3:40 PM
TMS wrote:the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
are you saying Chris Anderson is a significantly higher caliber player than JJ? You can.. and that would be your opinion. Might be right also. My point is it doesnt matter, because the market has been set for JJ and its something between Anderson and the Orlando guy.

Hey, it also doesnt mean JJ will get it. Lots of guys overvalue themselves, but that also doesnt matter. If you dont offer him a long guarenteed contract like what those guys got he's playing next year and he playing for $7mm

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
TMS
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1/8/2010  3:48 PM
fishmike wrote:
TMS wrote:the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
are you saying Chris Anderson is a significantly higher caliber player than JJ? You can.. and that would be your opinion. Might be right also. My point is it doesnt matter, because the market has been set for JJ and its something between Anderson and the Orlando guy.

Hey, it also doesnt mean JJ will get it. Lots of guys overvalue themselves, but that also doesnt matter. If you dont offer him a long guarenteed contract like what those guys got he's playing next year and he playing for $7mm

both guys are role players, but CA is 1 of the best role players out there IMO... FL does his job & does it pretty well, but there are other areas of his game that are such a liability that it counterbalances the pluses he brings & because of that i don't believe he's worth investing such a longterm contract towards... i would easily try & dump his contract if i could this year & only consider bringing him back in 2011 when his option expires if he would agree to a 2-3 year deal at ~$2.5-3.5 mil per... when the market has been set for a player like CA i find it hard to justify paying the same amount or more for a player who's not as good... i think Gortat got paid much like Big Turd did based on some short stretch of games he played last postseason where guys suddenly fell in love w/his skills, but to me he's still a scrub... i don't see anything about him that would warrant a longterm investment either... IMO neither he nor FL are comparable players to CA.

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
kam77
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1/8/2010  4:34 PM
You keep saying there's a market out there for JJ. What market? Who?? It's easy to say there's a market but where's the proof. Are we getting trade offers? Were we fighting with other teams to sign him 4 years ago? What?
lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
kam77
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1/8/2010  4:41 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/8/2010  4:42 PM
fishmike wrote:
again.. thats your opinion. Anderson's 1.8 blocks = Hell yea but JJ's 1.1 = hell no?

Like TMS said, that's a HUGE difference.


JJ is a better player all around.

that's your opinion. there's nothing you've said to back that up except bring up age. Heck - Birdman was gone for 2 yrs so his legs are the same age.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
crzymdups
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1/8/2010  4:49 PM
TMS wrote:
fishmike wrote:
TMS wrote:the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
are you saying Chris Anderson is a significantly higher caliber player than JJ? You can.. and that would be your opinion. Might be right also. My point is it doesnt matter, because the market has been set for JJ and its something between Anderson and the Orlando guy.

Hey, it also doesnt mean JJ will get it. Lots of guys overvalue themselves, but that also doesnt matter. If you dont offer him a long guarenteed contract like what those guys got he's playing next year and he playing for $7mm

both guys are role players, but CA is 1 of the best role players out there IMO... FL does his job & does it pretty well, but there are other areas of his game that are such a liability that it counterbalances the pluses he brings & because of that i don't believe he's worth investing such a longterm contract towards... i would easily try & dump his contract if i could this year & only consider bringing him back in 2011 when his option expires if he would agree to a 2-3 year deal at ~$2.5-3.5 mil per... when the market has been set for a player like CA i find it hard to justify paying the same amount or more for a player who's not as good... i think Gortat got paid much like Big Turd did based on some short stretch of games he played last postseason where guys suddenly fell in love w/his skills, but to me he's still a scrub... i don't see anything about him that would warrant a longterm investment either... IMO neither he nor FL are comparable players to CA.

chris andersen can't guard chris paul. jared jeffries can. if you don't think that's a valuable skill, i'll just say i'm glad you aren't running the front office.

IF we get a guy like lebron, a guy like jeffries becomes even MORE valuable in my opinion. if we are a contending team, it would be very nice to have jeffries to hound everyone from paul pierce to rashard lewis to joe johnson.

having him opt out and sign a longer deal at a lower cap hold early on in the pact is smart and makes sense for both sides. 6yrs for $30M for jeffries for his role in this defense is a good deal.

¿ △ ?
kam77
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1/8/2010  5:07 PM
crzymdups wrote:
TMS wrote:
fishmike wrote:
TMS wrote:the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
are you saying Chris Anderson is a significantly higher caliber player than JJ? You can.. and that would be your opinion. Might be right also. My point is it doesnt matter, because the market has been set for JJ and its something between Anderson and the Orlando guy.

Hey, it also doesnt mean JJ will get it. Lots of guys overvalue themselves, but that also doesnt matter. If you dont offer him a long guarenteed contract like what those guys got he's playing next year and he playing for $7mm

both guys are role players, but CA is 1 of the best role players out there IMO... FL does his job & does it pretty well, but there are other areas of his game that are such a liability that it counterbalances the pluses he brings & because of that i don't believe he's worth investing such a longterm contract towards... i would easily try & dump his contract if i could this year & only consider bringing him back in 2011 when his option expires if he would agree to a 2-3 year deal at ~$2.5-3.5 mil per... when the market has been set for a player like CA i find it hard to justify paying the same amount or more for a player who's not as good... i think Gortat got paid much like Big Turd did based on some short stretch of games he played last postseason where guys suddenly fell in love w/his skills, but to me he's still a scrub... i don't see anything about him that would warrant a longterm investment either... IMO neither he nor FL are comparable players to CA.

chris andersen can't guard chris paul. jared jeffries can. if you don't think that's a valuable skill, i'll just say i'm glad you aren't running the front office.


and for that you would overpay a guy to cover up for bad PG defense? Why not pay a decent PG for that spot?

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
TMS
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1/8/2010  5:08 PM
crzymdups wrote:
TMS wrote:
fishmike wrote:
TMS wrote:the difference between CA & FL's shotblocking is pretty big... CA is 5th in the NBA in shots blocked per 48... FL is currently 24th
are you saying Chris Anderson is a significantly higher caliber player than JJ? You can.. and that would be your opinion. Might be right also. My point is it doesnt matter, because the market has been set for JJ and its something between Anderson and the Orlando guy.

Hey, it also doesnt mean JJ will get it. Lots of guys overvalue themselves, but that also doesnt matter. If you dont offer him a long guarenteed contract like what those guys got he's playing next year and he playing for $7mm

both guys are role players, but CA is 1 of the best role players out there IMO... FL does his job & does it pretty well, but there are other areas of his game that are such a liability that it counterbalances the pluses he brings & because of that i don't believe he's worth investing such a longterm contract towards... i would easily try & dump his contract if i could this year & only consider bringing him back in 2011 when his option expires if he would agree to a 2-3 year deal at ~$2.5-3.5 mil per... when the market has been set for a player like CA i find it hard to justify paying the same amount or more for a player who's not as good... i think Gortat got paid much like Big Turd did based on some short stretch of games he played last postseason where guys suddenly fell in love w/his skills, but to me he's still a scrub... i don't see anything about him that would warrant a longterm investment either... IMO neither he nor FL are comparable players to CA.

chris andersen can't guard chris paul. jared jeffries can. if you don't think that's a valuable skill, i'll just say i'm glad you aren't running the front office.

IF we get a guy like lebron, a guy like jeffries becomes even MORE valuable in my opinion. if we are a contending team, it would be very nice to have jeffries to hound everyone from paul pierce to rashard lewis to joe johnson.

having him opt out and sign a longer deal at a lower cap hold early on in the pact is smart and makes sense for both sides. 6yrs for $30M for jeffries for his role in this defense is a good deal.

no, he can't guard CP3, but he can damn sure help to make sure CP3 doesn't score when he gets into the lane w/his shotblocking ability & length... i never said Effries doesn't provide a valuable skill, i coulda sworn i just got done praising the man's defensive ability... are u denying how much of a liability he is on the offensive side of the ball tho? if so, i'm glad you aren't running our scouting team... CA is a better player than FL dude, believe it.

IF we get Lebron with Effries still here is a big IF... that means he'd have to agree to come here being the only max type FA & willing to settle for having to bear most of the burden once again, similar to what he's got now in CLE... if he agrees to come here w/o another max FA then fine, but do you know if he would? i don't... i think having the most possible flexibility by dumping our bad contracts if we can is the best way to go... if not, just deal w/not having the extra $4 mil in cap space & wait til Effries' contract expires... THEN u can consider bringing him back on a 2-3 year deal at about half of midlevel dollars, which IMO is about what his value should be.

6 years for Effries is not a good deal, i'm sorry but i disagree w/u & i'm not the only one... this guy is not worth locking up til the age of 34, u are seriously bugging if you think otherwise IMO. (at least u won't be alone, Isiah was buggin' too)

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
jusnice
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1/8/2010  5:18 PM
I hear fishlipsers are passionate like the greeks...
martin
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1/8/2010  5:37 PM
jusnice wrote:I hear fishlipsers are passionate like the greeks...

passionate with their lips?

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what is JJ's value on the open market?

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