Posted by TrueBlue:
Posted by martin:
Posted by islesfan:
[quote]Posted by djsunyc:
obviously, having the 6th pick is better than having the 16th but dropping down all those slots may not yield a player that much worse.
and there's no guarantee that the 6th pick will pan out better than the 16th.
no guarantee but statistically it does prove out.
Not really I stopped at the 200 draft
If we keep going further back
1999 6. Wally Z. 16. Ron Artest
1998 6. Robert Traylor 16. Bryce Drew
1997 6. Ron Mercer 16. Brevin Knight
1996 6. Antoine Walker 16. Tony Delk
1995 6. Big Country 16. Alan Henderson
1994 6. Sharone Wright 16. Cliff Rozier
1993 6. Calbert Chaney 16. Rex Walters
1992 6. Googs 16. Randy Woods
1991 6. Doug Smith 16. Chris Gatling
1990 6. Felton Spencer 16. Terry Mills
1989 6. Stacey King 16. Dana Barros
1988 6. Hersey Hawkins 16. Derrick Cheivous
1987 6. Kenny Smith 16. Christian Welp
1986 6. William Bedford 16. Mo Martin
1985 6. Joe Klein 16. Bill Wennington
1984 6. Mel Turpin 16. John Stockton
1983 6. Russell Cross 16. Jon Sundvold
1982 6. Trent Tucker 16. Terry Teagle
1981 6. Orlando Woolridge 16. Darnell Valentine
1980 6. Mike Okoren 16. Hawkeye Whitney
I just don't see the clear cut edge through statistical history.
No one would use this formula to determine the talent disparity between 6-16--you would have to not only throw in everyone drafted 6-15 but you would also have to cancel out the years that hs players were drafted because they are not eligible anymore--so their history is out the door. There are no more Monta ellis in round 2--there are no kobe bryants at 16--that is done.