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question... does anyone here doubt we are trying to win?
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Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  11:51 AM
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by djsunyc:

i actually thought our team had cohesion - i mean, it basically was iso's for spree and allan, but ward was always at the same spot for 3's and kurt was around the elbow. nothing to write home about, but those teams actually had chemistry, albeit they were undertalented.

as for expiring contracts, 4 words - NO MORE MAX PLAYERS!!!
agreed... we won 37 games with the worst froncourt I have ever seen on a pro team. We took care of the ball and took high % 3's off Houston and Spree creating on the perimeter. I always thought with some better role players that was at least a playoff team. Fortson and Tony Battie were the two guys I thought would help.

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.
I bet that team would go about 31-51 in the east this year consider how much stronger the east is now than it was then.

[Edited by - Bonn1997 on 04/05/2005 11:53:53]
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gunsnewing
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4/5/2005  12:00 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by djsunyc:

i actually thought our team had cohesion - i mean, it basically was iso's for spree and allan, but ward was always at the same spot for 3's and kurt was around the elbow. nothing to write home about, but those teams actually had chemistry, albeit they were undertalented.

as for expiring contracts, 4 words - NO MORE MAX PLAYERS!!!
agreed... we won 37 games with the worst froncourt I have ever seen on a pro team. We took care of the ball and took high % 3's off Houston and Spree creating on the perimeter. I always thought with some better role players that was at least a playoff team. Fortson and Tony Battie were the two guys I thought would help.

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.
I bet that team would go about 31-51 in the east this year consider how much stronger the east is now than it was then.

[Edited by - Bonn1997 on 04/05/2005 11:53:53]

exactly what I was gonna say!

its a lot easier winning 37 games with the Nets & Celtics at the top of the conference versus the great Miami and Detroit teams we have in the East today!

[Edited by - gunsnewing on 04/05/2005 12:01:46]
djsunyc
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4/5/2005  12:10 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:


I bet that team would go about 31-51 in the east this year consider how much stronger the east is now than it was then.

you mean, kinda like what we are now, only $200 mil later?
djsunyc
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4/5/2005  12:13 PM
Posted by fishmike:

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.

it's funny b/c i wanted to give him the rest of the 03/04 season with marbs. he did have the team playing hard in those previous years. to me, it was always about the talent. was he coach of the year, nope, but getting 37 wins out of that groups AFTER dice went down for the year (minus camby) and AFTER spree was gone the first 8 games was a pretty good accomplishment.
tkf
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4/5/2005  12:22 PM
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by djsunyc:

i actually thought our team had cohesion - i mean, it basically was iso's for spree and allan, but ward was always at the same spot for 3's and kurt was around the elbow. nothing to write home about, but those teams actually had chemistry, albeit they were undertalented.

as for expiring contracts, 4 words - NO MORE MAX PLAYERS!!!
agreed... we won 37 games with the worst froncourt I have ever seen on a pro team. We took care of the ball and took high % 3's off Houston and Spree creating on the perimeter. I always thought with some better role players that was at least a playoff team. Fortson and Tony Battie were the two guys I thought would help.

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.

I think the 37 wins was a little bit misleading back then, although I do think chaney did a fine job. The east was even weaker back than, over the past two years, teams like the magic, bulls, pistons, got better, I mean the bulls beat us what 3 times this year, even the expansion bobcats were no easy pushover this year.. I also think that the 37 win knicks team had a lot of veterans, which IMO counted for some wins, but that team was not good, not at all, sometimes you can't judge good and bad from the wins and loss column. That team was many players away from being a contender, I don't think this team is that far away, I really don't, I think with a good draft and a key FA signing or signd and trade the knicks will be right back in the hunt..
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gunsnewing
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4/5/2005  12:23 PM
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by fishmike:

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.

it's funny b/c i wanted to give him the rest of the 03/04 season with marbs. he did have the team playing hard in those previous years. to me, it was always about the talent. was he coach of the year, nope, but getting 37 wins out of that groups AFTER dice went down for the year (minus camby) and AFTER spree was gone the first 8 games was a pretty good accomplishment.


Again the East was terrible then. Layden would've still traded our picks this year for Zach Randolph or even worse Shandon/Eisely part 2!

at least with Isiah you know he'll draft good players. Imagine a GM with Isiah's eye for talent and Jerry West trading vision! That would make one incredible GM

[Edited by - gunsnewing on 04/05/2005 12:25:29]
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4/5/2005  12:23 PM
I was just going to say the same thing...we definitely have a style of play...I did not care for the knicks post ewing...however, I like this crop of players...we know two PF's are out of here and Penny is definitely gone (he better be).

Replace them with a young hungry Center and SG and we're right back to being elite...I'm not sure how Ray Allen being hurt last year saves the Sonics and Houston being hurt this year is a non factor in our record?

We lost Houston for the ENTIRE YEAR...those 37 win teams atleast had Houston and Spree and Kurt healthy...heck, they pretty much had everyone healthy and still only managed 37 wins.

We lost houston for the year, craw (toe) in January, Tim for a spell (not counting his first half family funk), Penny in January and still, we don't get any slack.

I'm actually suprised we won as many games as we did...with Houston playing all year, we are a self proclaimed .500 team.

is that not rebuilding?

I'd rather rebuild with stars (we were already over the cap) then with no names like Charlotte or New Orleans.

After 16 months, Zeke has added I nice core of athletic and young players.

Starting lineup when we make our championship run in the 2006/2007 season:

Marbs, Crawford, Ariza, PF (guessing ROSE), shot blocking center (dalembert?)

Bench of Tiny Tim, JYD, Sweetney and Pure SG (ala fred hoiberg)

And, as you can see, Zeke is headed in that same direction.

He has acquired or in the process of acquiring the starting lineup above and with two more deals alone can secure the SG and shot blocking low post presence...in just TWO more deals.

Forget the fact that we may find our SG in the draft THIS YEAR and who says we won't be able to draft that shot blocking big man.

So, yes, there is a plan...in the first full year, it's just ugly...like a hair cut...first you lop off a ton of hair...if you stopped there, you would be ugly and the haircut a failure, however, if you continue to trim the edges (shot blocker, SG) you will be extremely happy with the finished product.

I'm not sure why we are going ballistic after lopping off the hair?
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Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  12:50 PM
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by Bonn1997:


I bet that team would go about 31-51 in the east this year consider how much stronger the east is now than it was then.

you mean, kinda like what we are now, only $200 mil later?
Nope; statements like that result from blindly looking at W/L records. That team consisted solely of players in or past their primes. In contrast, the current team has young players whose best days are ahead of them in Ariza, Crawford, and maybe Sweetney and a star with many years left in Marbury, and four 1st rd picks over the next 2 years.
(I'm not sure where you get the idea from that this team costs $200 mil more than that team, either. There were many overpaid players on that team too. I believe we led the league in team payroll that year like this year.)
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4/5/2005  2:58 PM
Posted by codeunknown:

It's quite explicit that we maintain sizeable assets without the trade. And presently we have a critical but uncertain asset in Marbury.

Sure, McDyess was not the only thing we gave up. But, he was clearly the centerpiece to the whole trade for Phoenix; the rest were frills, offset to some extent by the garbage contracts they had to take back. If we did not trade McDyess, he would have either walked or resigned with us at a reasonable rate. In either scenario, our net assets take a significant hit.

Think of it this way: could we have done the Marbury trade this year? Nope. We wouldn't have had McDyess's valuable expiring contract, and as such, we wouldn't have the net quality of assets we'd have needed to make the trade. We had a pretty good line of assets in Camby and the #7; we traded that for an injured Dyess, in other words, basically for nothing. Dyess did have one last gasp of trade value for us in his expiring year, and Isiah seized on that value before it vanished for good.
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tomverve
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4/5/2005  3:25 PM
Posted by fishmike:

Tom.. I have a pretty high respect for your opinion. Ive read you for awhile on the NYTimes board, so let me ask you this; do you think Isiah has done a good job so far?

I think he's done a pretty good job, given what he had to work with. It is essential to take into account the various constraints and assets that Isiah inherited upon coming here, and how they have conditioned what he has been able to do; player movement is not done in a vacuum. Simply put, Isiah stepped into a very poor situation; lots of roster garbage, very little tradable assets, an astronomical cap figure. It is just not realistic to expect anyone to turn around a situation like that overnight.

That we've even been able to assemble the modest talent we have on our roster now is impressive. Go back a year and a half, and tell a random Knicks fan that pretty soon NY will have acquired an All Star PG, a young SG with some promise, and a 19 year old SF just oozing with athleticism and potential. The random Knick fan will probably give you a funny look and say something about 5 more years of hamstrung cap hell where it'll be impossible to do anything like that in only a year.

Of course, most of the trades Isiah has made thus far do not come without their various caveats; but, again, I think this results largely from having to work from a position of weakness. Given where we started from at the end of the Layden era, if we were to build up our talent base through trades, it simply could not have been done without having to give a little extra in terms of future assets or take a little extra in terms of salary. It's just the way things work, just the price we had to pay for accelerating our rebuilding by a couple of years; perhaps in an ideal world we wouldn't have had to have done that, but as I said earlier, I'm just completely convinced now that no properly done, long term rebuild will be tolerated by NY fans.

This is not to say that Isiah gets a pass on whatever moves he might make. This coming draft, we'll finally be in a favorable position to acquire talent, instead of working from a position of weakness. It's fair to say that Isiah must do something to significantly improve our roster this summer for the long term, simply because he will finally have the means to do it in the first place. This is why I urge us fans to wait for the summer before we get too worried about what direction we're headed in. Fans have mostly complained about the compromises we've made in various transactions, without appreciating the circumstances surrounding those compromises. For once, Isiah will not have to compromise one way or the other to get something good for us this summer.
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codeunknown
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4/5/2005  3:25 PM
Posted by tomverve:


Think of it this way: could we have done the Marbury trade this year? Nope.

And why should we do that? Sorry, that's weak logic. Instead of appraising our total assets in each scenario, you think that "whether we can do Marbury trade" in a particular year is the best assessment of our total worth? Thats peculiar. Phoenix clearly wanted expiring contracts (which, in TT and Hardaway, we could offer them next year anyway if you desperately wanted). But, general assets extend far beyond expiring contracts - what would have been a top 5 draft pick is not negligible just because Phoenix may or may not accept that in a trade.

Our assets don't take a significant hit - ignoring the "frills," as you put it, is insane as those players/picks/cap space = many opportunities for the Knicks. Mcdyess was of value to them and that we gave them. Whether or not Phoenix values the rest of the package is irrelevant - those assets were definitely valuable to us.

Think of it this way: can we presently trade Marbury for the assets we gave up for him? I doubt it. Because those assets in all probability are worth more. Thus, the Marbury trade was a gamble.

[Edited by - codeunknown on 04/05/2005 15:30:38]
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Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  3:29 PM
Posted by tomverve:
Posted by fishmike:

Tom.. I have a pretty high respect for your opinion. Ive read you for awhile on the NYTimes board, so let me ask you this; do you think Isiah has done a good job so far?

I think he's done a pretty good job, given what he had to work with. It is essential to take into account the various constraints and assets that Isiah inherited upon coming here, and how they have conditioned what he has been able to do; player movement is not done in a vacuum. Simply put, Isiah stepped into a very poor situation; lots of roster garbage, very little tradable assets, an astronomical cap figure. It is just not realistic to expect anyone to turn around a situation like that overnight.

That we've even been able to assemble the modest talent we have on our roster now is impressive. Go back a year and a half, and tell a random Knicks fan that pretty soon NY will have acquired an All Star PG, a young SG with some promise, and a 19 year old SF just oozing with athleticism and potential. The random Knick fan will probably give you a funny look and say something about 5 more years of hamstrung cap hell where it'll be impossible to do anything like that in only a year.

Of course, most of the trades Isiah has made thus far do not come without their various caveats; but, again, I think this results largely from having to work from a position of weakness. Given where we started from at the end of the Layden era, if we were to build up our talent base through trades, it simply could not have been done without having to give a little extra in terms of future assets or take a little extra in terms of salary. It's just the way things work, just the price we had to pay for accelerating our rebuilding by a couple of years; perhaps in an ideal world we wouldn't have had to have done that, but as I said earlier, I'm just completely convinced now that no properly done, long term rebuild will be tolerated by NY fans.

This is not to say that Isiah gets a pass on whatever moves he might make. This coming draft, we'll finally be in a favorable position to acquire talent, instead of working from a position of weakness. It's fair to say that Isiah must do something to significantly improve our roster this summer for the long term, simply because he will finally have the means to do it in the first place. This is why I urge us fans to wait for the summer before we get too worried about what direction we're headed in. Fans have mostly complained about the compromises we've made in various transactions, without appreciating the circumstances surrounding those compromises. For once, Isiah will not have to compromise one way or the other to get something good for us this summer.

That's a great post! When Isiah was first hired, I wasn't going to judge the first year or 15 months by Ws and Ls. I just wanted the team to get some young, talented players with upside, which Isiah has begun to do as Tom pointed out. When the Knicks made the playoffs last year, it was an unexpected bonus. This bonus, however, raised everyone's (including mine) expectations that rebuilding could be achieved very rapidly
Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  3:34 PM
Posted by fishmike:
Posted by djsunyc:

i actually thought our team had cohesion - i mean, it basically was iso's for spree and allan, but ward was always at the same spot for 3's and kurt was around the elbow. nothing to write home about, but those teams actually had chemistry, albeit they were undertalented.

as for expiring contracts, 4 words - NO MORE MAX PLAYERS!!!
agreed... we won 37 games with the worst froncourt I have ever seen on a pro team. We took care of the ball and took high % 3's off Houston and Spree creating on the perimeter. I always thought with some better role players that was at least a playoff team. Fortson and Tony Battie were the two guys I thought would help.

Chaney getting 37 wins from that team was impressive to me.
Was that frontcourt really so much worse than our current one? Let's see:
SF: Sprewell vs. Tim Thomas. I've criticized Spree before but I'd take him (especially when he was younger back then) over Tim Thomas.
PF: Weatherspoon vs. Sweetney. Sweetney's better but it's probably not by a huge margin. Sweetney has much more upside, but that's in the future; we're talking about the present.
C: Kurt Thomas vs. Kurt Thomas. This one looks like a tie to me!

The frontcourts look pretty similar (maybe even a small edge to the 37 win Chaney team). If that was the worst frontcourt ever, then this one can't be too far behind. That's why I'v said we need to get Marbury at least one good frontcourt player before we call him a loser and we need to give Isiah a reasonable amount of time to do that. I'd wait at least until the trade deadline of next season.

[Edited by - Bonn1997 on 04/05/2005 15:36:44]
tomverve
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4/5/2005  3:47 PM
Posted by codeunknown:

And why should we do that? Sorry, that's weak logic. Instead of appraising our total assets in each scenario, you think that "whether we can do Marbury trade" in a particular year is the best assessment of our total worth? Thats peculiar.

It seems fair to use Marbury as an example, since 1) we know that we could have acquired him with the net assets that we had at the time, since we in fact did acquire him, and 2) Marbury is roughly representative of the kind of very high quality, All Star or borderline All Star players we should be interested in acquiring. With McDyess's expiring contract, we had the wherewithal to pick up that kind of player; without it, we wouldn't have.
Our assets don't take a significant hit - ignoring the "frills," as you put it, is insane as those players/picks/cap space = many opportunities for the Knicks. Mcdyess was of value to them and that we gave them. Whether or not Phoenix values the rest of the package is irrelevant - those assets were definitely valuable to us.

Of course, we'd have been left with some assets had we just let McDyess expire. But what, really? Thus far, Lampe hasn't seemed to be anything special, and Vujanic is a lost cause. Neither have figured heavily either in terms of on court production or trade value. So it largely comes down to the picks. I'm not sure where you're getting a top 5 pick from-- perhaps a projection of how bad we would have been last year, had we not acquired Marbury?
Think of it this way: can we presently trade Marbury for the assets we gave up for him? I doubt it. Because those assets in all probability are worth more. Thus, the Marbury trade was a gamble.

We're trying to evaluate the value McDyess had for us a trading chip, right? So we should ask, could we trade Marbury for a package similar to the one we used to get him, sans the huge expiring contract? Could we trade Marbury and a bad contract for another team's bad contracts, plus a couple of lottery protected, mid first round picks and a couple of big question mark Euros? I think the answer is clearly yes.
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djsunyc
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4/5/2005  3:51 PM
Posted by tomverve:

This is not to say that Isiah gets a pass on whatever moves he might make. This coming draft, we'll finally be in a favorable position to acquire talent, instead of working from a position of weakness. It's fair to say that Isiah must do something to significantly improve our roster this summer for the long term, simply because he will finally have the means to do it in the first place. This is why I urge us fans to wait for the summer before we get too worried about what direction we're headed in.

i do believe this will be the summer that will cement isiah's legacy here as the GM. the draft combined with what he does with tim and penny (preferably nothing) will dictate the direction of this franchise for the next 5 years.

with that said, you said we are working from a position of strength and by that i'm assuming you mean the draft picks. if that's the case, then we gave up a #1 last year, which probably would've been in the lottery as well if we didn't do the marbury deal. we had frank that earned his way into the starting lineup. i'm not fool and know marbury is 100x than frank but the decisions made last season did not put us in a position of strength like you say. frank, sweets, lampe, + #1 is a pretty decent pipeline in place. and if isiah came in and used that #2 on ariza, then you potentially have 4 of the 5 positions locked up for the next 10 years.

but i digress...if we use these picks now, and here's the key, and KEEP them, by the time they develop, marbury will be 30-31. at that point, i have no clue what type of player he'll be and with the amount of phsyical play he puts in, i wouldn't doubt it if all of the sudden the 20/8's become 16/6's. i made a post a few weeks back saying that marbury was actually the stop gap player that isiah needed to keep selling tickets while accumulating picks and younger players but that theory sort of went a little sideways with the mo deal (philosphically that is).

tho you've given a solid argument from your perspective, there's an equally solid one from the other side, which i admit is easier b/c of the results so far. at this point, i don't think either one of us has ANY idea what isiah is thinking. is it drafting the players or is it trading for finley? we don't know.

i, for one, used to believe rebuilding via the draft and letting the big deals expire wouldn't be tolerated in ny...but it's now been 3 years since the dice deal and the results still aren't there. will they come with isiah, only time will tell, but after seeing it all unfold, my view HAS changed and i do believe we should've just kept acquiring picks and keeping them while letting these deals expire. it looked like layden was kind of leaning that way towards the end there after the disastrous dice deal but his time was up.
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4/5/2005  3:53 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:

When the Knicks made the playoffs last year, it was an unexpected bonus. This bonus, however, raised everyone's (including mine) expectations that rebuilding could be achieved very rapidly

the mandate from dolan was to make the playoffs. it was not unexpected. the team was 8 games under when layden got fired but in isiah's first press conference, dolan said they're making the playoffs.
Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  4:02 PM
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by Bonn1997:

When the Knicks made the playoffs last year, it was an unexpected bonus. This bonus, however, raised everyone's (including mine) expectations that rebuilding could be achieved very rapidly

the mandate from dolan was to make the playoffs. it was not unexpected.
So, whatever Dolan mandates becomes unexpected? If he mandates a championship next year, a championship becomes expected? What kind of logic is that?
djsunyc
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4/5/2005  4:05 PM
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by Bonn1997:

When the Knicks made the playoffs last year, it was an unexpected bonus. This bonus, however, raised everyone's (including mine) expectations that rebuilding could be achieved very rapidly

the mandate from dolan was to make the playoffs. it was not unexpected.
So, whatever Dolan mandates becomes unexpected? If he mandates a championship next year, a championship becomes expected? What kind of logic is that?

it means that isiah's orders for the rest of the season was to make the playoffs. "welcome to the playoffs" was not an unexpected speech. that's what he was ordered to do and that was his way of declaring it to everybody.
Bonn1997
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4/5/2005  4:22 PM
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by Bonn1997:
Posted by djsunyc:
Posted by Bonn1997:

When the Knicks made the playoffs last year, it was an unexpected bonus. This bonus, however, raised everyone's (including mine) expectations that rebuilding could be achieved very rapidly

the mandate from dolan was to make the playoffs. it was not unexpected.
So, whatever Dolan mandates becomes unexpected? If he mandates a championship next year, a championship becomes expected? What kind of logic is that?

it means that isiah's orders for the rest of the season was to make the playoffs. "welcome to the playoffs" was not an unexpected speech. that's what he was ordered to do and that was his way of declaring it to everybody.
So you really do expect the team to accomplish whatever Dolan says it will? I don't place that much stock in what any of these guys (much less Dolan) tells the media; I prefer to critically evaluate the situation on my own. But you can do whatever you want.
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4/5/2005  4:33 PM
Posted by tomverve:
Posted by codeunknown:

And why should we do that? Sorry, that's weak logic. Instead of appraising our total assets in each scenario, you think that "whether we can do Marbury trade" in a particular year is the best assessment of our total worth? Thats peculiar.

It seems fair to use Marbury as an example, since 1) we know that we could have acquired him with the net assets that we had at the time, since we in fact did acquire him, and 2) Marbury is roughly representative of the kind of very high quality, All Star or borderline All Star players we should be interested in acquiring. With McDyess's expiring contract, we had the wherewithal to pick up that kind of player; without it, we wouldn't have.
Our assets don't take a significant hit - ignoring the "frills," as you put it, is insane as those players/picks/cap space = many opportunities for the Knicks. Mcdyess was of value to them and that we gave them. Whether or not Phoenix values the rest of the package is irrelevant - those assets were definitely valuable to us.

Of course, we'd have been left with some assets had we just let McDyess expire. But what, really? Thus far, Lampe hasn't seemed to be anything special, and Vujanic is a lost cause. Neither have figured heavily either in terms of on court production or trade value. So it largely comes down to the picks. I'm not sure where you're getting a top 5 pick from-- perhaps a projection of how bad we would have been last year, had we not acquired Marbury?
Think of it this way: can we presently trade Marbury for the assets we gave up for him? I doubt it. Because those assets in all probability are worth more. Thus, the Marbury trade was a gamble.

We're trying to evaluate the value McDyess had for us a trading chip, right? So we should ask, could we trade Marbury for a package similar to the one we used to get him, sans the huge expiring contract? Could we trade Marbury and a bad contract for another team's bad contracts, plus a couple of lottery protected, mid first round picks and a couple of big question mark Euros? I think the answer is clearly yes.

1. No its not fair to use Marbury as an example because the actualization of a trade proposal depends on team specific demands. Our actual assets in each case (trade/no trade) are not markedly different.

2. With regard to my draft pick projection, you said we would win "15 games" without the trade. The #5 pick seems conservative considering that estimation. We can argue that if you disagree.

3. No we're not simply trying to evaluate the value of Mcdyess as a trading chip. If your argument is that Isiah salvaged Mcdyess's value, it was only through overpaying in terms of other assets. More importantly, we're discussing the value of the trade as a whole and in which future scenarios, the sacrifice is justified is the issue.

4. The reason why you ask if you can reverse the trade is not to determine Mcydess's trade value. It is to determine the uncertainty of the trade from either perspective. Also, its useful as a standard to check if Marbury's trade value is diminishing.

5. We will not get a similar package for Marbury. I guarantee it. You keep saying that Phoenix took back garbage contracts. Wrong. That would be 1 and only 1 bad contract in Eisley. We will not get 15 mil in ending contracts + 2 1st round picks + 2 euro prospects. No team will give up 4 prospects and that much cap space. To break even, we need to get a package better than what we gave up. Reverting to building blocks doesn't take into account time wasted.

[Edited by - codeunknown on 04/05/2005 16:35:11]
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