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The real fallout of the Durant move - Lockout next summer
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simrud
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7/6/2016  1:19 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/6/2016  1:20 PM
The truth is that the top players are all severely underpaid and a lot of the middling and bottom level players are extremely overpaid - the market is inefficient because, gasp, it is a self regulating monopoly run by 2 governing bodies - owners and the players union. Neither side has any interest in what's best long term. But that's OK, keep voting for Sanders in the primaries because maybe socialism will work this time.
A glimmer of hope maybe?!?
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Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  1:19 PM
crzymdups wrote:
SwishAndDish13 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Durant passed on 53mil to join the Warriors. There is nothing you can really do about that. The players are independent contractors. Can't stop them from playing where they want to play when they are free agents.

He's really only passing up on 3 mil. He will opt out and get a better long term deal. Agreed that the only question was his mental toughness since he went there in pursuit of a lesser role and decreased accountability.

I think he was frustrated by Westbrook. It seemed to be an overreaction to them blowing a 3-1 lead. But also, maybe the thought that if they couldn't get by GSW fully healthy with a 3-1 lead when Curry was clearly limited, they never would.

That said - Durant's reasoning isn't really going to impact the other owners' reaction. Hopefully Silver can explain it that way, but I could really see it leading to a lockout. And other people involved in the league are saying the same thing.

A strike seems like more likely possibility, as the players gave up 6% of revenue in the last CBA negotiations and the owners struck it rich immediately after, but given the money they're now very publicly getting, that too will be a difficult PR hill to climb.

Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  1:21 PM
simrud wrote:The truth is that the top players are all severely underpaid and a lot of the middling and bottom level players are extremely overpaid - the market is inefficient because, gasp, it is a self regulating monopoly run by 2 governing bodies - owners and the players union. Neither side has any interest in what's best long term.

Both sides are getting filthy rich for at least the next 9 years.

What is best, again?

But that's OK, keep voting or Sanders in the primaries because maybe socialism will work this time.

Which primaries would that be?

simrud
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7/6/2016  1:31 PM
Knickoftime wrote:
simrud wrote:The truth is that the top players are all severely underpaid and a lot of the middling and bottom level players are extremely overpaid - the market is inefficient because, gasp, it is a self regulating monopoly run by 2 governing bodies - owners and the players union. Neither side has any interest in what's best long term.

Both sides are getting filthy rich for at least the next 9 years.

What is best, again?

But that's OK, keep voting or Sanders in the primaries because maybe socialism will work this time.

Which primaries would that be?

The owners are getting more than what they should be getting, and so are the non-superstar players, of course to a smaller degree. Mostly the owners are just underpaying the players in general because of how much of the team value is coming from the top 2-3 guys on the roster and using the rest of the players to help them with the robbery - that's kind of how socialism works - the elite few band together to take away what's not theirs from the actual wealth producers while throwing a few bones to the brain washed masses who are content to get their bread and entertainment - Julius Caesar pioneered the approach.

And I'm sure Bernie is still running for something somewhere in his mind lol

A glimmer of hope maybe?!?
crzymdups
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7/6/2016  2:57 PM


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

¿ △ ?
Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  3:10 PM
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

fishmike
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7/6/2016  3:35 PM
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

I was just thinking this.. when has there been competitive balance in the NBA? Ive only been watching since the late 80s but I have never seen it. Pistons, Bulls, Rockets, more Bulls, lots of Spurs, Lakers... I mean its always been a couple of top teams year after year. The NFL this is not.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
crzymdups
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7/6/2016  3:42 PM
fishmike wrote:
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

I was just thinking this.. when has there been competitive balance in the NBA? Ive only been watching since the late 80s but I have never seen it. Pistons, Bulls, Rockets, more Bulls, lots of Spurs, Lakers... I mean its always been a couple of top teams year after year. The NFL this is not.

True - but that doesn't stop some of the newer owners from wanting it. Ken Berger and Wojo wrote a lot about this in the last lockout. There's a lot of younger owners in the league now and they want parity. They don't want to lose their superstars they draft to super teams, etc.

I don't disagree with what you're saying - I'm just saying the owners have their own perspective and they're the ones who can pull the trigger on this lockout.

¿ △ ?
Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  3:52 PM
http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=16814492

Nailed it.

Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  3:54 PM
crzymdups wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

I was just thinking this.. when has there been competitive balance in the NBA? Ive only been watching since the late 80s but I have never seen it. Pistons, Bulls, Rockets, more Bulls, lots of Spurs, Lakers... I mean its always been a couple of top teams year after year. The NFL this is not.

True - but that doesn't stop some of the newer owners from wanting it. Ken Berger and Wojo wrote a lot about this in the last lockout. There's a lot of younger owners in the league now and they want parity. They don't want to lose their superstars they draft to super teams, etc.

I don't disagree with what you're saying - I'm just saying the owners have their own perspective and they're the ones who can pull the trigger on this lockout.

Good luck to the owners tying to win the PR war that they should get to more control where these mostly young black men get to play their entire careers, unlike any other sport.

Bonn1997
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7/6/2016  4:07 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/6/2016  4:08 PM
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.
crzymdups
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7/6/2016  4:16 PM
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

I was just thinking this.. when has there been competitive balance in the NBA? Ive only been watching since the late 80s but I have never seen it. Pistons, Bulls, Rockets, more Bulls, lots of Spurs, Lakers... I mean its always been a couple of top teams year after year. The NFL this is not.

True - but that doesn't stop some of the newer owners from wanting it. Ken Berger and Wojo wrote a lot about this in the last lockout. There's a lot of younger owners in the league now and they want parity. They don't want to lose their superstars they draft to super teams, etc.

I don't disagree with what you're saying - I'm just saying the owners have their own perspective and they're the ones who can pull the trigger on this lockout.

Good luck to the owners tying to win the PR war that they should get to more control where these mostly young black men get to play their entire careers, unlike any other sport.

I don't wish them any luck in that endeavor.

¿ △ ?
Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  4:21 PM
crzymdups wrote:
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Knickoftime wrote:
crzymdups wrote:


Whether it's true or not, the Durant move has created unrest on both the player side and the owner side. It's not good heading into labor negotiations.

The obvious counter to this is the Lebron formed the Heatles and it coincided with an unprecedented rise in popularity of the league and a $24 billion tv deal.

Will the money from the tv deal be enough to keep everyone happy? Or will there be squabbling about issues like competitive balance? I think it could well be the latter. Especially since competitive balance will be tied to closely to issues of player movement in free agency, Max salaries, franchise player tags, etc.

Jordan's Bulls won 6 of 8 titles and it was the best thing to ever happen to the league.

Houston won the two in between and then you had San Antonio and the Lakers for 3 in a row.

People are reacting in the heat of the moment, as they do now. Anybody with a thought can find a venue to voice their opinion and the venue makes it seem profound to them so they want to say something that sounds profound. Nobody just wants to say it sucks but whatever. They want to correctly gauge the impact.

I don't like Durant to the Warriors either, but this is lot to do about nothing. It'll pass after people get over their 15 mins of profoundness inclinations.

I was just thinking this.. when has there been competitive balance in the NBA? Ive only been watching since the late 80s but I have never seen it. Pistons, Bulls, Rockets, more Bulls, lots of Spurs, Lakers... I mean its always been a couple of top teams year after year. The NFL this is not.

True - but that doesn't stop some of the newer owners from wanting it. Ken Berger and Wojo wrote a lot about this in the last lockout. There's a lot of younger owners in the league now and they want parity. They don't want to lose their superstars they draft to super teams, etc.

I don't disagree with what you're saying - I'm just saying the owners have their own perspective and they're the ones who can pull the trigger on this lockout.

Good luck to the owners tying to win the PR war that they should get to more control where these mostly young black men get to play their entire careers, unlike any other sport.

I don't wish them any luck in that endeavor.

Indeed.

SwishAndDish13
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7/6/2016  4:23 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship take a lesser role on a team already heavily favored to win a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.

I edited the above. No need to glorify laziness and complacence.

Bonn1997
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7/6/2016  6:55 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/6/2016  7:13 PM
SwishAndDish13 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship take a lesser role on a team already heavily favored to win a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.

I edited the above. No need to glorify laziness and complacence.


That's crazy. There's no such thing as an easy road to an NBA championship or a way to be lazy and win championships. He helped his odds compared to staying in OKC but still will have to work extremely hard and play MVP level ball. I can't think of any line of work where you do your job well and help your organization and you don't get credit just because the organization was good beforehand. I can't think of any area where you're supposed to join a bad organization so that you can get credit for turning it around, or even just where you're supposed to stay away from the top organizations. The metrics (and perhaps eyeball test) both allow you to examine how well the player is doing independently of his team. It's possible that a player is (a) on a great team and (b) played great and deserves a lot of credit. So if GSW wins a championship, it will not be difficult to get an idea of how much he is contributing and how much credit he deserves.
newyorknewyork
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7/6/2016  9:03 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
SwishAndDish13 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship take a lesser role on a team already heavily favored to win a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.

I edited the above. No need to glorify laziness and complacence.


That's crazy. There's no such thing as an easy road to an NBA championship or a way to be lazy and win championships. He helped his odds compared to staying in OKC but still will have to work extremely hard and play MVP level ball. I can't think of any line of work where you do your job well and help your organization and you don't get credit just because the organization was good beforehand. I can't think of any area where you're supposed to join a bad organization so that you can get credit for turning it around, or even just where you're supposed to stay away from the top organizations. The metrics (and perhaps eyeball test) both allow you to examine how well the player is doing independently of his team. It's possible that a player is (a) on a great team and (b) played great and deserves a lot of credit. So if GSW wins a championship, it will not be difficult to get an idea of how much he is contributing and how much credit he deserves.

His mental toughness was already in question prior to this decision. OKC has been one of the most well run organizations in the NBA for almost a decade. KD leaving OKC isn't because OKC isn't capable of putting enough talent around KD to win championships.

GSW before KD also proven the could be taken.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
Bonn1997
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7/6/2016  9:13 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/6/2016  9:13 PM
newyorknewyork wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
SwishAndDish13 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship take a lesser role on a team already heavily favored to win a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.

I edited the above. No need to glorify laziness and complacence.


That's crazy. There's no such thing as an easy road to an NBA championship or a way to be lazy and win championships. He helped his odds compared to staying in OKC but still will have to work extremely hard and play MVP level ball. I can't think of any line of work where you do your job well and help your organization and you don't get credit just because the organization was good beforehand. I can't think of any area where you're supposed to join a bad organization so that you can get credit for turning it around, or even just where you're supposed to stay away from the top organizations. The metrics (and perhaps eyeball test) both allow you to examine how well the player is doing independently of his team. It's possible that a player is (a) on a great team and (b) played great and deserves a lot of credit. So if GSW wins a championship, it will not be difficult to get an idea of how much he is contributing and how much credit he deserves.

His mental toughness was already in question prior to this decision. OKC has been one of the most well run organizations in the NBA for almost a decade. KD leaving OKC isn't because OKC isn't capable of putting enough talent around KD to win championships.

GSW before KD also proven the could be taken.


OK, but I don't think any of that contradicts what I said. He should work for the best organization he can, and we'll be able to tell how much he specifically contributes to that organization's success.
Knickoftime
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7/6/2016  10:39 PM
Heh,

So owners are going to lock the players out so they can hold onto players like Durant longer, until THEY don't want them anymore like Wade.

Yeah, that'll work. Foolproof.

crzymdups
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7/6/2016  10:47 PM
Knickoftime wrote:Heh,

So owners are going to lock the players out so they can hold onto players like Durant longer, until THEY don't want them anymore like Wade.

Yeah, that'll work. Foolproof.


No one says the owners are logical. I think this piece gets at some of the inherent contradictions in the owners' thinking. But just because there are contradictions doesn't mean they're not there...

But the last lockout was supervised by rigid ideologues like Bob Sarver of Phoenix and Dan Gilbert of Cleveland who won their fight over revenue percentages but stopped short of having the fight over philosophy. That fight is about basic freedom of player movement, and how contracts are routinely breached by forces beyond ownership control.

You see, no system is foolproof for owners save one in which players have no rights at all, and that’s been tried (see “everything before the 1967 Oscar Robertson case”). Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine the owners not recognizing the smell of roasted money this offseason and the knowledge that there will be more a year from now and deciding to go to the mattresses to prevent it again.

This doesn’t mean the owners will prevail, mind you. They can be bloody-minded when they need to be, and they have the inherent billionaires’ advantage of being billionaires, but the best way to lose a lockout is to bring up an issue that is so easy to understand that labor can galvanize around it without much internal wrangling. An NHL lockout was once won by the players over the issue of child care.

Free agency is one of those issues. In fact, free agency might be THE issue.

NBA players have been the most successful at realizing their power to work the edges of the current system to create teams of their own volition (the Heat with James, for example), and though the Durant deal was well within normal parameters in that he was free to do as he wished and chose Golden State willingly, that doesn’t change the owners from seeing the system they fought for being undermined by first the players and then their brethren.

Put another way, Joe Lacob isn’t very popular with a lot of his brethren right now, and not just because of the New York Times piece. That makes him even more admirable in a lot of ways, but doesn’t help him when political infighting at owners’ meetings is on the menu.

And while Lacob didn’t violate the system, he benefited from a system that isn’t working the owners’ way so much any more, even though that system is failing solely because the owners got richer by taking a bloated television deal. They just wanted the deal to be completely in their favor, and the adaptability and cunning of the outside world has foiled them.

So what will be management’s response? One guess is a new system that punishes teams and owners who sign free agents of more than a certain dollar value through changing the luxury tax provisions. The response of the players union would almost certainly be swift, sure and unmistakably litigious, because the players would want their second Christmas, and the perks of player empowerment defended at all costs.

And then you would have what you currently cannot envision – an all-points battle over access to the golden goose’s neck.

In other words, it’s that old law of science being put into play – that for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.

And in other other words, things are going too good for everyone involved for someone not to want it to go even better by making it worse.

http://www.csnbayarea.com/warriors/will-durant-bolting-warriors-result-another-nba-lockout

¿ △ ?
SwishAndDish13
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7/6/2016  11:16 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
SwishAndDish13 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:Its more of a question of Durant's mental toughness then the NBA structure.

He's tough enough to pursue a championship take a lesser role on a team already heavily favored to win a championship and not care what critics on message boards think.
FWIW, the Warriors probably wouldn't have won any championships if the Cavs had been healthy 2 years ago. They need Durant and if he helps them win championships, he'll definitely be in the HOF and remembered well. Once you're in the HOF, your critics don't really have anything of merit to say anyway.

I edited the above. No need to glorify laziness and complacence.


That's crazy. There's no such thing as an easy road to an NBA championship or a way to be lazy and win championships. He helped his odds compared to staying in OKC but still will have to work extremely hard and play MVP level ball. I can't think of any line of work where you do your job well and help your organization and you don't get credit just because the organization was good beforehand. I can't think of any area where you're supposed to join a bad organization so that you can get credit for turning it around, or even just where you're supposed to stay away from the top organizations. The metrics (and perhaps eyeball test) both allow you to examine how well the player is doing independently of his team. It's possible that a player is (a) on a great team and (b) played great and deserves a lot of credit. So if GSW wins a championship, it will not be difficult to get an idea of how much he is contributing and how much credit he deserves.

It's not really that crazy. He basically said that he didn't want to feel as if he needed to carry the team at times, not be. That is kind of quitting no matter how you look at it. Obviously, he will still need to put in work but he was looking for less responsibility among other things.

I agree with we will need to see how he contributes. This will be especially difficult in this situation given they were favs to win it all to begin with. That said, it is possible he emerges as the team leader. However, I am highly skeptical that he has any interest in doing that.

The real fallout of the Durant move - Lockout next summer

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