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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
newyorknewyork wrote:mreinman wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:nixluva wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:It depends on the price for these players. However, it's striking how bad the options for a top player are besides Durant. It was / is the league average over a number of seasons is what I would think. How WS works is documented on BRef. This year there were many players in the mid .090's so of course things can fluctuate. Just did a quick sort of the number of players who played > 1000 minutes. There were 275 players of which 131 had a WS48 .100+ ... Also, if you make the min .098 then you have 139 players that meet that criteria (more than half). .100 is not a premium, it's average (with a small margin of error +/- from season to season) so here is what phil is thinking ....
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. I am happy that we got wroten and that we have him on a cheap deal with many caveats. He got this type of deal because of the low chances of success that he has. That is not a bad thing and one that you should get defensive about. I would not expect much from a guy like this and if we get something out of him, I will be thrilled. As I have said, I always expect very little and I am happy if they perform above expectations / contract. This is not about arguing what he is capable and how tall he is and how fast he is ... I expect players to play up to their contract. The contract he got was dictated by the level of expectations that the knicks and the market expected of him. As I have said, I wish and hope that we try out 10 Tony Wroten's. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. All this you wrote and still you feel it's necessary to add that we should not expect much out of Wroten anytime his name comes up. Then you wonder why I would respond and argue over the notion. What his contract is should not be the determining factor on what we should expect from him. There are circumstances that made it the practical thing to do given his injury history. That doesn't mean that he will play down to the level of the contract he was given nor that we should expect that. His contract wasn't about expectations but rather about risk. |
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle.
I am completely ok if you or others "hope" for him to exceed his contract but I will not expect more than his worth on the open market. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. I disagree. I don't think his contract is indicative of his actual talent. He is young and clearly needs more development, which the Knicks are actively doing. If he's healthy I expect he'll greatly outperform his contract. I think what Horn is likely to do with this team will benefit Wroten, Jerian and Gallo. If Horn has them doing what he's done in PHX, they should all improve playing a bit more uptempo and with PnR. |
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. You have the right to disagree with the market and have believe that he will outperform his contract. That is like saying that you believe that a team will win by 28 points when they are favored by 3. They can win by 40 but the market is not predicted that and not even close. We have had these discussions before and we seem to always disagree. I play market even money ... so here is what phil is thinking ....
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nixluva
Posts: 56258 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 10/5/2004 Member: #758 USA |
mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. None of that has any impact on a players work ethic, preparation and determination to improve. It can't predict if a guy like Bruce Bowen would work his butt off and develop a jumper where he had none. Wroten is not devoid of talent. He's a 23 yr old 1st rd draft pick. There's the potential for him to improve. If Phil didn't think there was anything there he wouldn't have signed at ANY PRICE! There were lots of healthy D League guards he could've taken a chance on. |
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dk7th
Posts: 30006 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 5/14/2012 Member: #4228 USA |
how big a factor is usage on win shares
knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
dk7th wrote:how big a factor is usage on win shares none. http://www.basketball-reference.com/about/ws.html so here is what phil is thinking ....
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. potential and expectation ... how does that translate? Nobody can predict a Bruce Bowen, nobody expected bruce to be bruce. Nobody is arguing if he has talent. "Officially, according to Yahoo, the New York Knicks and Tony Wroten are finalizing a two-year deal. Which comes on the heel of the Knicks not renewing their original 10-day contract that they signed Jimmer Fredette to last week. It looks like I will never be able to get my point across here so I will move on. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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newyorknewyork
Posts: 30259 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 1/16/2004 Member: #541 |
mreinman wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:mreinman wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:nixluva wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:It depends on the price for these players. However, it's striking how bad the options for a top player are besides Durant. I see, there is a big difference between 131 or 139 out of 275 and 167 out of 476. But your measurement of players who played at least 1000 mins would be a better representation. So its a standard that players should preform to at minimal. The availability of the players that do is 35% among all players and 50.5% among players that play at least 1000 mins. https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
mreinman wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:nixluva wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:It depends on the price for these players. However, it's striking how bad the options for a top player are besides Durant. It is the average production an NBA player gives per 48 minutes. It's a standardized equation. So it will by definition be average every season as far as I can tell. I've never sorted it like Nixluva did but I think this is what's going on: The better players play more minutes. So there will be fewer of them but they take up more playing time. (This might be what you're asking.) For example, a team might have 5 starters getting 32 min and averaging WS ratings around .130. Then they might have 7 backup players averaging around .080. But those 7 backup players together account for less playing time than the 5 starters. So the average production is .100. The median player (the guy in the middle if you rank order them) is probably a little below .100, though. This shouldn't come as a surprise. There are so many league min players and 10 day contract players. |
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newyorknewyork
Posts: 30259 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 1/16/2004 Member: #541 |
mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. Wroten makes so little money that anything he produces aside from hurting the team in anyway would exceed his salary lol. But I'm not ready to put any expectations on him. First lets see if he can fully recover from injury. Then lets see if he can stay healthy. Then lets see if he is able to earn playing time from Hornacek. Then from Wroten's own work we can start to develop expectations of him. https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
Bonn1997 wrote:mreinman wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:nixluva wrote:newyorknewyork wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:It depends on the price for these players. However, it's striking how bad the options for a top player are besides Durant. ah ... good clarification and completely makes much more sense. Interesting how my 1000 minute player avg was right around 50%. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
newyorknewyork wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:mreinman wrote:nixluva wrote:stopstandthere wrote:newyorker4ever wrote:nixluva wrote:Knixkik wrote:nixluva wrote:To help get some kind of idea of what Horn was doing in PHX, here's a video breaking down his offense, which I would assume he'll use to some extent here in NY even if mixed with some Triangle. Yes. Good signing and I hope we try many more like it. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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