Splat wrote:I've been thinking all morning about what Phil Jackson is up to.The official story is 11 rings, Zen Mucky Muck, coming home to NYC, cherry on top of his career, etc.
Now I've said it is possible there is a bit of hustle aspect to all of this. After all, the man extracted an amazing chunk of money out of Dolan for his services. Players get that dough, but management? OK, so he got paid. Draw your own conclusions, but if the one stipulation was he had to retain Melo, then it was a tainted deal.
Of course, the official story is total autonomy. Maybe he has it now (or for now), yet if it came with terms like this then it is suspect as to Phil's motivations.
One of the first things I posted that drew major objections was suggestions the things Phil and Fish say publicly are often going to have political motivations and to believe everything they say so literally is just naive. Boy did people get hot over that. As if everything they say is the whole story and unvarnished truth. As if.
But this morning I felt there was one more angle I had not fully considered, which is Phil may just think he is above it all, i.e. better and smarter than everyone and that he can work miracles.
This is what I call Jackson's potential Hubris Factor. I like the guy, so I'm not predisposed to saying these things, but the more I look at all the angles, the more I think this is very much likely. If Phil really thinks his poop don't stink, he may have the ability to delude himself into thinking he can:
Outfox other GMs
Reinvent Carmelo Anthony
Implement the Triangle System without the players capable of running it
Think about it. All that stuff in pre-season about how he was going to help Melo find another level or two higher in his game and make him the true superstar he was always meant to be, I think Phil was either:
1) Arrogant enough to believe that; or
2) Saying that to justify the signing, because he wanted the job and the paycheck.
Or both. Either way, I think Phil is still a very sharp guy. I respect his intelligence, but I'm not completely comfortable with his motivations. As Triple Threat has pointed out, he really already has one foot out the door. He is that old, Donnie Walsh old, with just as many physical ailments as Walsh had. Five years? We'll see.
But there are other very sharp GMs who know what they are doing. And we signed a non-max player to a max contract and that to me is pretty damn suspect, because either Phil has his own personal financial agenda or his hubris got the better of him and he psyched himself into believing he would transform Melo into his next mini-Kobe Jordan.
Whatever the deal with Phil is, something is off in my estimation as the Melo signing does not add up to either common sense or full autonomy. In other words, Phil was compromised from the very beginning by his own greed or an overestimation of his own abilities.
Its possible yet at the same time he made it clear that Melo wasn't those guys. I can't speak for Phil's agenda or thought process though it will be made very clear this off season or possibly some time during the season.
For me though it comes down to upside vs downside, but most importantly how manageable is the downside. And really all Phil has to do is keep the draft picks and manage the cap, that's it. If in 5yrs we don't win any championships but we have 4 first round draft picks and a healthy cap situation to show for it then fans can live with that. If Melo gets injured and turns into an Amare or Houston type of contract. Then we will have lottery picks to fall back on if he keeps his picks. If Melo doesn't perform at his 124mil tag its not the end of the world if we keep our draft picks and manage the cap.
When Isiah traded for Marbury looking back he got incredible value on that deal. Lampe & Milos turned into nothing and the 2 first round picks were only valuable due to the crappy moves made afterward. And at the end of the day if Isiah just kept his draft picks going forward Ariza, Aldrige and Noah could have been the front line even after trading for Marbury making the team well prepared to move forward if Marbury didn't work out. Hopefully we learn from that bit of history. Taking a chance on a Melo is apart of basketball. Just have to make sure you manage the downside properly.
There are signs that Phil is looking with a long term vision though. Hiring a rookie coach, not trading Amare & or Bargs and giving up a bunch of assets to do it. Comments about avoiding being in the luxary tax. So we will see.
Denver Nuggets traded Melo for more assets then we would be able to trade Melo for today and yet 5yrs later they missed the playoffs, are 1-5 right now. But at least they had that one 62win season which they lost in the first round again(Can't blame Melo's chucking for that one).
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